Key Rasmussen Polls - Page 52 - Politics Forum.org | PoFo

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By Doug64
#14941141
Albert wrote:So heading into the midterm, will Republicans retain their majority?

In the House, the money is on "No" -- the Democrats are on track to win 26 seats, the average take for the opposition party in a mid-term election and enough to give them control. In the Senate that would be incredibly unlikely, the Democrats would have to win every single toss-up race.
User avatar
By Drlee
#14941797
Very hard to say. Never underestimate the power of the democrats to fuck up a campaign. Most say it is likely. What that will mean with the democrats driving the investigation is another thing altogether. The loss of the house will be a much bigger thing for the republicans in 2020 because of the effect of a democratic party controlled house investigation on their elect-ability in general.
By Doug64
#14942789
Here's this weekend's round-up of polls. Anyone that wants to check out any possible links over the next week can go to the link to the left. (Anyone wanting more details on a particular poll, just ask):

    Democrats are hoping they don’t have to wait until 2020 to erase Hillary Clinton’s 2016 debacle, but voters in general aren’t that impatient.

    By a 50% to 44% margin, voters say this week’s highly publicized conviction of Paul Manafort and guilty pleas by Michael Cohen are not likely to lead to criminal charges against President Trump. Democrats think charges are coming; Republicans and independent voters disagree.

    Democrats also hope that if they take over the Congress after the midterm elections, the Manafort and Cohen cases will provide them with the ammunition to impeach the president. In early May, voters strongly believed impeachment was not the best strategy for Democrats running for Congress. We’ll update those findings early next week.

    Meanwhile, the Generic Congressional Ballot has Democrats and Republicans tied for this first time since May. Democrats had been leading for the last three months.

    The president’s daily job approval ratings haven’t been noticeably impacted by the Manafort and Cohen cases and continue to run about the same or better than Barack Obama’s at this same stage of his presidency.

    Former Vice President Joe Biden remains the clear favorite among Democrats to be their presidential nominee in 2020. Bernie Sanders, the Vermont senator who challenged Hillary Clinton for the party’s nomination in 2016, is a fading second.

    Voters agree with Trump that America should come first on the world stage but don't think the Democratic party's next presidential nominee is likely to agree.

    New York Governor Andrew Cuomo, another hopeful for the Democratic Party’s 2020 presidential nomination, said recently, “We’re not going to make America great again. It was never that great.” One-in-five Democrats agree, but a sizable majority of all voters thinks he’s off-base.

    Voters, in fact, are even more confident these days that the United States will remain the world’s most powerful nation at the end of the 21st century.

    Forty-three percent (43%) say the country is headed in the right direction. That compares to the mid- to upper 20s for most weeks during 2016, Obama’s last full year in office.

    Consumer and economic confidence remain at or near record highs.

    Seventy-five percent (75%) of Americans now rate their lives as good or excellent.

    Just 10%, however, think the country’s opioid drug crisis has gotten better over the past year, while 40% think it’s gotten worse.

    Only 50% of Americans know what the national minimum wage is, but 75% think it should be higher whatever it is.

    Fewer voters now say they’re following the news, but then just 35% consider the news they get Very Reliable.

    Voters think the police do a good job dealing with violent protesters but think the media sides more with the protesters than with the cops.

    In other surveys last week:

    -- Nearly one-in-four regular watchers of the National Football League say the threat of continuing on-the-field protests may make them turn off pro football this year.

    -- In January, 37% of Americans said they did ultimately watch fewer NFL games last season because of the on-field player protests.

    -- Soul diva Aretha Franklin died last week at the age of 76, and most Americans have R.E.S.P.E.C.T. for her work.
By Doug64
#14944205
I hope everyone in the US had a fun and safe Labor Day weekend! Here's this weekend's round-up of polls. Anyone that wants to check out any possible links over the next week can go to the link to the left. (Anyone wanting more details on a particular poll, just ask):

    Mexico and the United States on Monday completed negotiations for a new trade pact that would replace the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), and U.S. and Canadian officials on Friday were attempting to arrive at a deal to meet President Trump’s deadline that day.

    Voters approve of President Trump’s decision to scrap NAFTA and think the new U.S. trade deal with Mexico is better for America.

    However, considering U.S. neighbors, voters continue to believe illegal immigration is a major problem, and few feel the government is doing enough to handle it.

    A sizable majority of voters say illegal immigration is a critical issue for them in the upcoming congressional elections, but they also suspect most candidates raise the topic for political purposes only, not to deal with it.

    Despite the ongoing feud between President Trump and U.S. Attorney General Jeff Sessions, Trump on Thursday said the AG’s job is safe through the 2018 midterm elections.

    Twenty-seven percent (27%) of voters think the president should fire Sessions, but another 27% are undecided. Democrats are more protective of the Republican official than GOP voters are.

    Voters now see President Trump's impeachment as even less likely and think Democrats need to focus on policy issues instead.

    The president earned a monthly job approval of 47% in August, up one point from July and just a point shy of 49% in April, his high for the year to date.

    However, after a neck-and-neck race last week, Democrats have once again jumped into the lead on the Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot.

    Most voters, including Republicans, don’t want to see President Donald Trump use his constitutional power to pardon Paul Manafort and Michael Cohen.

    Americans recognize the importance of police officers but one-in-five think their local cops need to dial down their tactics.

    A New York police union is offering a $500 reward to any civilian who helps police officers subdue a suspect who is resisting arrest, but Americans aren’t convinced such a proposal is a good idea in their community.

    In other surveys last week:

    -- It’s back-to-school time around the country: kids in many states have already returned to class, while many others are gearing up to start in the coming weeks. But overall, Americans prefer starting school after Labor Day and keeping summer vacation.

    -- As children start returning to school, most parents continue to think highly of their local schools.

    -- Voters continue to prioritize making sure the economy is growing over making sure it is fair, but they think government involvement would make society less fair.

    -- Forty-one percent (41%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction.
By Doug64
#14945339
I'm actually on time this week! (If only barely.) Here's this weekend's round-up of polls. Anyone that wants to check out any possible links over the next week can go to the link to the left. (Anyone wanting more details on a particular poll, just ask):

    Two hundred thousand new jobs were added in August as the U.S. economy continues to grow at a record pace, but the Washington press corps continues to fixate on trivia. It’s another week in America.

    Consumer and economic confidence appear to have plateaued, but they remain at record highs, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports Consumer Spending Update.

    Forty-three percent (43%) of voters again this week think the country is heading in the right direction. This finding has been running in the 40s for most weeks this year after being in the mid- to upper 20s for much of 2016, President Obama's last full year in office.

    New York Governor Andrew Cuomo, a hopeful for the Democratic Party’s 2020 presidential nomination, said recently, “We’re not going to make America great again. It was never that great.” One-in-five Democrats agree, but a sizable majority of all voters thinks he’s wrong.

    If the economy still matters to most, it may be good news for Republicans that voters think the upcoming midterm elections are more about Trump than about individual candidates and issues.

    Seventy-one percent (71%) say Democrats should focus more on policy areas where they disagree with the president rather than focus on their hopes for impeachment.

    Democrats hold a four-point lead on the latest Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot.

    Trump ended the week with his job approval rating at 48%. Obama’s approval was at 45% on the same day in his second year in office.

    In August, Trump earned a monthly job approval of 47%, up a point from the month before. His high for the year to date is 49% in April.

    Voters agree with the president that the country needs to “drain the swamp” of the political establishment, but they’re not optimistic he’ll get the job done because of resistance from most politicians.

    Democrats are trying to derail the nomination of Judge Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, hoping that if they win control of the Senate in November they can force Trump to pick a more liberal candidate for the high court. Kavanaugh's confirmation hearings began this week, and 69% of voters think he is likely to be confirmed by the Republican-controlled Senate. We’ll update that finding early next week.

    Democrats insist their fight against Kavanaugh is based on the issues, but Republicans and independent voters think it’s chiefly about politics.

    Voters trust the Supreme Court much more than the other branches of the federal government these days.

    At the close of its latest session in June, the Supreme Court, which handed down some major wins for conservatives and the Trump administration, earned its highest approval rating in several years.

    In other surveys last week:

    -- The Roman Catholic Church has been making headlines recently for all the wrong reasons. Most Americans – including Catholics – think the church has a serious sexual predator problem.

    -- Just 36% of voters have participated in a boycott of a product or place for political reasons, perhaps because only 12% believe such boycotts are Very Effective.

    -- Voters overwhelmingly agree that government officials should not be allowed to freeze out a business from their community because they disagree with the political views of the business owner.

    -- More Americans were celebrating the “labor” in Labor Day this year.
User avatar
By Drlee
#14946895
I would like to point something out. This is a permanent thread and so its validity ought to be questioned.

Let's dig into one poll question of 1000 likely voters:

On its site Rasmussen posts the answer to this question thusly:

Voters agree with the president that the country needs to “drain the swamp” of the political establishment, but they’re not optimistic he’ll get the job done because of resistance from most politicians.


Ok. Did their questions elicit this exact response? No. Not at all.

Here are the questions Rasmussen said it asked:


1* Do you agree or disagree with the following statement – “It’s time to drain the swamp in Washington, D.C.”?


Let me point out that this question did not mention Trump nor does it imply that the person answering it "agree(s) with the president". The part about agreeing with Trump is a rather obvious example of Rasmussen's obvious political opinion.

I need not say it but if I was asked if I thought it was time to drain the swamp in Washington D.C. I might reply yes. This in no way would mean that I agree with President Trump on his methods, and could, in fact, mean that I consider President Trump and his cronies as the very 'swap' to which I refer.

Rasmussen goes on to say "but they’re not optimistic he’ll get the job done because of resistance from most politicians."

How do they know this? Certainly not from the next question. It is:


2* Do most politicians in Washington, D.C. agree or disagree that it’s time to drain the swamp?


Nothing about resistance. If I answered "no" to this question does that mean that I would in any way be implying that it is "most politicians in Washington D.C." are the reason President Trump is failing to "drain the swamp"? Not at all. I very much might point to the fact that he has deliberately and very openly appointed people who are the very insiders and establishment hacks who comprise the so-called "swamp" to high public office. So again. Rasmussen is deliberately slanting the results of their poll to be more favorable to the President and the Republican Party.

Then in the same call Rasmussen asked:


3* When President Trump leaves office, will the swamp be bigger or smaller? Or will it remain about the same?


Does this question provide the evidence for this assertion of theirs?:

"they are not optimistic he will get the job done"

Maybe and maybe not. A strong negative might do so. But then my answer, and the answer of the overwhelming majority of democrats might be: "....but he is not even trying to do that."

It is also important to realize that the results of these questions are NOT posted when you click on the link to the questions.

So really folks. This bias is not really open to debate. A look at the above CLEARLY shows that they are either forwarding a republican agenda, are deliberately misrepresenting results for some other reason, or are perhaps the worst pollsters in history. Arguments are made that they must be good because their predictions sometimes are correct. This is not true. Nor is it mutually exclusive that they present political bias and still make reasonably accurate predictions. One did not have to support the Big Deal to predict that Roosevelt was going to win reelection.

I think it is a good idea for us to be very careful about what we are reading when we look at polls. There are any number of organizations with personal axes to grind. Rasmussen is one of the least subtle of them. It borders on comical.
User avatar
By Stormsmith
#14946924
Trump, as you noted, has stuffed Washington with the very sludge he claimed to want rid of. But Robert Mueller seems to be doing a fair job of it.
By Doug64
#14946925
I'm on time this week again! (If only barely -- again.) Here's this weekend's round-up of polls. Anyone that wants to check out any possible links over the next week can go to the link to the left. (Anyone wanting more details on a particular poll, just ask):

    Storms over the direction of the U.S. Supreme Court and off the coast of the Carolinas dominated this week’s headlines, but both turned out to be less powerful than originally projected.

    Confidence that Judge Brett Kavanaugh will be the next U.S. Supreme Court justice has jumped following his tempestuous Senate confirmation hearings.

    Democrats insist their fight against Kavanaugh is based on the issues, but Republicans and independent voters think it’s chiefly about politics.

    Voters give senators who support Kavanaugh the electoral edge this November.

    That’s good news for some incumbents, since most voters say they are likely to vote for someone new in the upcoming midterm elections.

    Incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson and retiring Republican Governor Rick Scott are in a virtual tie in Rasmussen Reports' first look at the hotly contested U.S. Senate race in Florida.

    Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters in the Sunshine State say the upcoming election is a referendum on President Trump’s agenda, while slightly fewer (43%) say it’s more about the candidates and issues. This compares to 48% and 38% respectively among voters nationwide.

    The president’s daily job approval rating remains in the mid- to upper 40s again this week.

    Democrat Andrew Gillum holds a six-point lead over Republican Ron DeSantis in the race to be Florida’s next governor.

    When asked about the massacre in February at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School near Miami, just 39% of Florida voters blame the lack of adequate gun control. Fifty-three percent (53%) say the failure of government agencies to respond to numerous warning signs from the prospective killer is more to blame. This is comparable to findings nationally.

    Gillum earns 88% support among voters who blame a lack of adequate gun control. DeSantis gets 69% of the vote from those who think the failure of government agencies is more to blame.

    Voters feel more strongly than they have in years that a candidate’s political positions carry more weight than how much money he or she has to spend on their campaign.

    Former President Obama is back on the campaign trail, but only 38% say they are more likely to vote for a candidate he campaigns for.

    Democrats continue to hold a slight lead on the latest Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot. Thirty-seven percent (37%) of Democrats say they’re more likely to contribute time or money to a campaign this year, compared to 30% of Republicans and 26% of voters not affiliated with either major political party.

    Most voters continue to favor a smaller, more hands-off government with lower taxes than a larger, more hands-on one with higher taxes. But while voters think Republicans share their beliefs, they see Democrats as preferring bigger government instead.

    Voters agree with the president that the country needs to “drain the swamp” of the political establishment, but they’re not optimistic he’ll get the job done because of resistance from most politicians.

    Despite the release of additional private text messages this week discussing an anti-Trump effort among senior federal law enforcement officials, most voters don’t expect anyone to be punished.

    As recently as late April, 54% favored the naming of a special prosecutor to investigate the FBI’s actions during the 2016 presidential campaign.

    Tuesday marked the 17th anniversary of the radical Islamic terrorist attacks on September 11, 2001 that killed 3,000 Americans and injured another 6,000. Americans are more convinced these days that their sacrifice has not been forgotten, although many still wonder.

    Voters are more confident than they have been in years that the country is safer today than it was before the 9/11 attacks, and confidence that the United States and its allies are winning the ongoing War on Terror is at its highest level since 9/11 mastermind Osama bin Laden was killed seven years ago.

    Eighty-six percent (86%) of voters approved of Obama's decision authorizing the mission to kill bin Laden in early May 2011 just after it happened. Fourteen percent (14%) would have preferred to bring bin Laden to trial.

    In other surveys last week:

    -- Forty-two percent (42%) of voters say the country is headed in the right direction.

    -- Twenty-three percent (23%) of Americans are more likely to buy Nike products now that the company has hired former San Francisco 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick as its new spokesman.Thirty-eight percent (38%) are less likely to buy Nike now.

    -- Twenty-five percent (25%) of National Football League fans say they are less likely to follow the league this season if the on-field protests inspired by Kaepernick continue.
By Doug64
#14948234
Here's this weekend's round-up of polls. Anyone that wants to check out any possible links over the next week can go to the link to the left. (Anyone wanting more details on a particular poll, just ask):

    Floodwaters in the Carolinas and Virginia are cresting this weekend in the aftermath of Hurricane Florence, which has already killed 42 people. But also rising are the floodwaters of the eleventh-hour Democrat opposition to the Judge Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court.

    Voters are closely divided over whether Kavanaugh attempted to sexually assault a girl when he was in high school, although many are still withholding judgment. But confidence that Kavanaugh will ultimately be confirmed by the Senate is down. While 78% of all voters still think Kavanaugh is likely to be confirmed by the Senate, just two weeks ago, 84% shared that confidence.

    Meanwhile, Democrats have widened their lead over Republicans on this week's Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot.

    In Pennsylvania, Democratic incumbent Tom Wolf is sitting comfortably in his bid for reelection in that state’s gubernatorial race with a 12-point lead over Republican Scott Wagner.

    Incumbent Democrat Bob Casey Jr. appears comfortably on his way to reelection in Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate race with a 14% lead over Republican Lou Barletta.

    As campaigning for November’s midterm elections ramps up, voters are split over the level of racial discussions on the campaign trail but think those issues only come up in the first place to get votes.

    Voters also view so-called political correctness as a problem and see it as a wedge used to silence opposition. President Obama was politically correct, they say; President Trump is not.

    Most voters still think they personally know the issues when they go to vote but question whether others do.

    However, the weather disaster in three states has delivered a reality that is beyond question.

    In light of Hurricane Florence in the Carolinas and other calamities, the Trump administration may begin using a program which sends out text alerts to all Americans in the event of an emergency, though not without pushback. Voters are generally on board with the idea, but now have a slightly less favorable opinion of the agency behind the alerts.

    Otherwise, voters are much more likely these days to believe that global warming is causing more extreme weather events in the United States. But they still aren’t willing to pay more in taxes to fight against it.

    Forty-four percent (44%) of Americans say first responders are not obliged to rescue residents who refuse to follow a mandatory evacuation order, while 38% think first responders are still obligated to help them. Eighteen percent (18%) are undecided.

    In other surveys last week:

    -- When it comes to political labels, moderate and conservative are best for candidates; socialist is the worst.

    -- Voters in both major parties are equally enthusiastic — and determined — about casting their ballots this fall.

    -- Some southern California businesses have announced plans to go cashless, but the use of cash probably isn’t going away anytime soon, even though nearly half of adults still say they’ve gone a week without it — and that number’s even higher among younger adults.

    -- Up two points from the previous week, 44% of voters think the country is heading in the right direction.
By Doug64
#14949649
I haven't had the chance (and been a bit too angry) to get back to the thread on the Kavanaugh nomination for a few days and I'm going to be busy this weekend, but here's a couple polls of Likely Voters that might be of interest. The first poll was taken on September 19-20, a week before yesterday's hearing. Rasmussen will be taking another poll after the hearing and reporting it early next week. The second poll was conducted September 25-26, just before the hearing:


A California woman has accused Kavanaugh of attempting to sexually assault her when they were teenagers. Kavanaugh denies the claim. Who is telling the truth – Kavanaugh or his accuser? ​

  • Kavanaugh 38%
  • The accuser 33%
  • Not sure 29%

​Republicans
  • Kavanaugh 59%
  • The accuser 16%
  • Not sure25%

​Independents
  • Kavanaugh 32%
  • The accuser 29%
  • Not sure 39%

Democrats
  • Kavanaugh 21%
  • The accuser 55%
  • Not sure 24%

Men
  • Kavanaugh 43%
  • The accuser 31%
  • Not sure 26%

​Women
  • Kavanaugh 33%
  • The accuser 35%
  • Not sure 32%

​Ages 18-39
  • Kavanaugh 33%
  • The accuser 31%
  • Not sure 36%

​Ages 40-64
  • Kavanaugh 40%
  • The accuser 34%
  • Not sure 26%

Ages 65+
  • Kavanaugh 42%
  • The accuser 34%
  • Not sure 24%

​Attended High School
  • Kavanaugh 43%
  • The accuser 25%
  • Not sure 32%

​High School Graduate
  • Kavanaugh 59%
  • The accuser 21%
  • Not sure 20%

​Attended College
  • Kavanaugh 38%
  • The accuser 32%
  • Not sure 30%

​College Graduate
  • Kavanaugh 34%
  • The accuser 35%
  • Not sure 32%

​Graduate School
  • Kavanaugh 30%
  • The accuser 41%
  • Not sure 29%

Which comes closest to your own view of the current Kavanaugh controversy - that it’s an honest attempt to determine criminal wrongdoing or that it’s a partisan witch hunt?

  • It's an honest attempt to determine criminal wrongdoing 45%
  • It's a partisan witch hunt 44%
  • Not sure 11%

Republicans
  • It's an honest attempt to determine criminal wrongdoing 21%
  • It's a partisan witch hunt 72%
  • Not sure 8%

​Independents
  • It's an honest attempt to determine criminal wrongdoing 46%
  • It's a partisan witch hunt 43%
  • Not sure 11%

​Democrats
  • It's an honest attempt to determine criminal wrongdoing 68%
  • It's a partisan witch hunt 19%
  • Not sure 13%

​Men
  • It's an honest attempt to determine criminal wrongdoing 47%
  • It's a partisan witch hunt 47%
  • Not sure 6%

​Women
  • It's an honest attempt to determine criminal wrongdoing 44%
  • It's a partisan witch hunt 42%
  • Not sure 15%

​Ages 18-39
  • It's an honest attempt to determine criminal wrongdoing 46%
  • It's a partisan witch hunt 39%
  • Not sure 15%

​Ages 40-64
  • It's an honest attempt to determine criminal wrongdoing 46%
  • It's a partisan witch hunt 46%
  • Not sure 9%

​Ages 65+
  • It's an honest attempt to determine criminal wrongdoing 42%
  • It's a partisan witch hunt 51%
  • Not sure 7%

​Attended High School
  • It's an honest attempt to determine criminal wrongdoing 32%
  • It's a partisan witch hunt 58%
  • Not sure 10%

​High School Graduate
  • It's an honest attempt to determine criminal wrongdoing 44%
  • It's a partisan witch hunt 46%
  • Not sure 10%

Attended College
  • It's an honest attempt to determine criminal wrongdoing 38%
  • It's a partisan witch hunt 53%
  • Not sure 10%

College Graduate
  • It's an honest attempt to determine criminal wrongdoing 47%
  • It's a partisan witch hunt 41%
  • Not sure 12%

​Graduate School
  • It's an honest attempt to determine criminal wrongdoing 54%
  • It's a partisan witch hunt 38%
  • Not sure 8%
By Doug64
#14950150
Here's this weekend's round-up of polls. Anyone that wants to check out any possible links over the next week can go to the link to the left. (Anyone wanting more details on a particular poll, just ask):

    The Senate Judiciary Committee Friday afternoon voted 11-10, strictly along partisan lines, to approve for full Senate action Judge Brett Kavanaugh's nomination to the United States Supreme Court.

    However, Arizona Senator Jeff Flake, a Republican, said he will not vote for Judge Kavanaugh unless there is a week's delay on the full Senate vote to allow for an FBI investigation of Christine Ford's sexual assault allegations against him. Kavanaugh adamantly denies the allegations over which America is a nation evenly divided against itself.

    As America becomes more familiar with Kavanaugh, voters are developing strong opinions about the Supreme Court nominee, but their willingness to vote for senators who support him hasn’t wavered.

    Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell insists the U.S. Senate will vote on the Kavanaugh nomination, and most voters still support that decision. There’s also only slightly less urgency in their minds about getting the job done.

    Judge Kavanaugh’s Supreme Court confirmation has been top news for weeks, and voters don’t think the media is trying to do him any favors.

    President Trump will be in West Virginia tonight for a second campaign rally for state Attorney General Patrick Morrisey's bid for the U.S. Senate.

    Earlier in the week President Trump reinforced his “America First” doctrine in a rejection of globalism. Nonetheless, voters still to support our continued involvement in the UN, and a growing number say the United States should continue to be the organization’s biggest benefactor.

    While Trump's signature rallying cry has been “Make America Great Again,” nearly two years into Trump's presidency, almost half of U.S. voters think more needs to be done.

    While the Kavanaugh confirmation proceedings have dominated news this week, the Republican-led Congress has produced yet another big spending bill that fails to fund President Trump's border wall even though a sizable majority of GOP voters supports the project.

    With the new spending bill heading through Congress once again to keep the government operating, most voters don’t see significant government spending cuts coming anytime soon, even though they think those cuts are good for the economy.

    Most voters also think any new spending should be offset by cuts in other areas of the budget.

    In other surveys last week:

    -- Several high-profile actors, politicians and journalists have been accused of sexual wrongdoing in the wake of the #MeToo movement. But most voters think these public figures aren’t getting a fair shake by the media.

    -- The newly legalized marijuana industry in California is trying to discourage the use of terms like “pot” and “stoner” because they think they carry a negative connotation, and even pot smokers tend to agree.

    -- The Democratic lead over Republicans has narrowed on this week's Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot.

    -- Forty-two percent (42%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction.
By Doug64
#14950326
And here's the follow-up on who people believe, taken Thursday and Friday after the hearing.

A California woman has accused Kavanaugh of attempting to sexually assault her when they were teenagers. Kavanaugh denies the claim. Who is telling the truth – Kavanaugh or his accuser? ​

  • Kavanaugh 39%
  • His accuser 38%
  • Not sure 23%

​Republicans
  • Kavanaugh 66%
  • His accuser 14%
  • Not sure 20%

​Independents
  • Kavanaugh 36%
  • His accuser 38%
  • Not sure 26%

​Democrats
  • Kavanaugh 16%
  • His accuser 62%
  • Not sure 22%

​Men​
  • Kavanaugh 43%
  • His accuser 37%
  • Not sure 20%

​Women
  • Kavanaugh 36%
  • His accuser 39%
  • Not sure 25%

​Ages 18-39
  • Kavanaugh 32%
  • His accuser 41%
  • Not sure 27%

​Ages 40-64
  • Kavanaugh 42%
  • His accuser 34%
  • Not sure 24%

​Ages 65+
  • Kavanaugh 48%
  • His accuser 42%
  • Not sure 10%

​Attended High School
  • Kavanaugh 69%
  • His accuser 8%
  • Not sure 23%

​High School Graduate
  • Kavanaugh 45%
  • His accuser 37%
  • Not sure 18%

​Attended College
  • Kavanaugh 44%
  • His accuser 29%
  • Not sure 27%

​College Graduate
  • Kavanaugh 37%
  • His accuser 39%
  • Not sure 24%

​Graduate School
  • Kavanaugh 34%
  • His accuser 45%
  • Not sure 21%
By Doug64
#14950866
And another question on the Kavanaugh/Ford hearing, Rasmussen asked if Likely Voters agree with part of Kavanaugh's opening statement:

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: "This confirmation process has become a national disgrace. The Constitution gives the Senate an important role in the confirmation process, but you have replaced advise and consent with search and destroy."

  • Agree 56%
  • Disagree 30%
  • Not sure 14%

Republicans
  • Agree 77%
  • Disagree 13%
  • Not sure 10%

Independents
  • Agree 51%
  • Disagree 34%
  • Not sure 14%

Democrats
  • Agree 40%
  • Disagree 43%
  • Not sure 17%

Men
  • Agree 56%
  • Disagree 33%
  • Not sure 11%

Women
  • Agree 56%
  • Disagree 28%
  • Not sure 16%

Ages 18-39
  • Agree 59%
  • Disagree 30%
  • Not sure 11%

Ages 40-64
  • Agree 52%
  • Disagree 33%
  • Not sure 14%

Ages 65+
  • Agree 57%
  • Disagree 24%
  • Not sure 19%

Attended High School
  • Agree 42%
  • Disagree 17%
  • Not sure 41%

High School Graduate
  • Agree 66%
  • Disagree 16%
  • Not sure 19%

Attended College
  • Agree 61%
  • Disagree 26%
  • Not sure 12%

College Graduate
  • Agree 58%
  • Disagree 28%
  • Not sure 14%

Graduate School
  • Agree 42%
  • Disagree 50%
  • Not sure 8%
By Doug64
#14951832
Here's this weekend's round-up of polls. Anyone that wants to check out any possible links over the next week can go to the link to the left. (Anyone wanting more details on a particular poll, just ask):

    Maybe it’s because he’s out of the headlines, but President Trump is enjoying his highest job approval rating since just after his inauguration last year. For U.S. Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh, it’s still a battle.

    At week’s end, 51% of voters approve of the job the president is doing in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Trump’s monthly approval held steady at 47% in September.

    The president announced early in the week the completion of a new trade agreement with Canada and Mexico to replace the much-maligned North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) that dates from the 1990s. Voters have long been suspicious of free trade deals and expected Trump to negotiate a better NAFTA.

    Responding to the drumbeat of support by Democrats for the still unproven sexual assault allegations against Kavanaugh, the president said earlier this week, “It’s a very scary time for young men in America when you can be found guilty of something that you may not be guilty of.” Most voters agree.

    Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters say that when a public figure is accused of sexual wrongdoing, the media will regard him as guilty until proven innocent. A plurality (47%) thinks when most reporters write or talk about Kavanaugh, they are trying to defeat his confirmation.

    Following Christine Ford’s recent appearance before a Senate committee, voters are slightly more likely to believe her allegations of sexual assault against Kavanaugh, but most voters still think the Supreme Court nominee’s Senate confirmation is likely.

    An angry Kavanaugh at the same hearing denied multiple allegations of sexual assault when he was in high school and said: “This confirmation process has become a national disgrace. The Constitution gives the Senate an important role in the confirmation process, but you have replaced advise and consent with search and destroy.” Most voters think he's right. Even Democrats are conflicted.

    After that hearing, the FBI was asked to look into the sexual assault allegations against Kavanaugh. But even before the FBI report was finished this week, voters were saying its findings wouldn't satisfy anyone.

    But then most voters disapprove of how the U.S. Senate has conducted Kavanaugh's confirmation process and say the Supreme Court nominee has been investigated enough.

    Given the emotions surrounding the Kavanaugh nomination, it’s no surprise that 65% of voters think there is a greater danger of political violence now compared to past years.

    Democrats are trying to derail Kavanaugh, hoping that if they win control of the Senate in November they can force the president to pick a more liberal candidate for the Supreme Court. But most voters continue to believe that Trump cannot possibly pick a candidate for the court who will be acceptable to senators in both political parties.

    Democrats still hold a small lead on the Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot. We’ll be looking to see if future numbers reflect any changes because of the Kavanaugh controversy.

    Two-out-of-three voters (67%) still think Americans should be required to show photo identification before being allowed to vote.

    In the upcoming midterm elections, West Virginia will be the first state to allow voters to cast their ballots using their mobile phones, but most voters, fearful of voting fraud, don't want their state to follow suit.

    Only 19% think it’s too hard to vote in America today.

    In other surveys:

    -- Forty percent (40%) say the country is heading in the right direction.

    -- Americans agree that social media sites need to do a better job of separating fact from opinion in their feeds but have very little confidence that they'll do it fairly.

    -- Fifty percent (50%) of voters think social media like Facebook and Twitter have had a bad impact on politics in America.

    -- October is Breast Cancer Awareness Month, and more than a quarter of Americans have lost someone close to breast cancer.

    -- Seventy-nine percent (79%) rate their personal health as good or excellent, but many continue to pass on medical checkups and prescription drugs to save money.
By Doug64
#14951852
Now that the Kavanaugh confirmation is a done deal, here's a study that doesn't deal with that horror show. And it isn't even Rasmussen! The Voter Study Group took a look at the attitudes of Trump voters based on church attendance, and the results were rather interesting. Those that attend church weekly are warmer toward Blacks, Hispanics, Asians, and Jews; less likely to consider being White to be "extremely important" to their identity; more likely to agree that multicultural acceptance is core to the American identity; less likely to support the Wall or stricter immigration policies and more likely to support a path to citizenship; more likely to support increasing international trade (a support that grew from 2016 to 2017); more likely to oppose the death penalty; more likely to say that poverty is a "very important" issue; and more likely to do volunteer work.

They also have a study that breaks the Trump voters down into five groups:

    Staunch Conservatives (31 percent) They are steadfast fiscal conservatives, embrace moral traditionalism, and have a moderately nativist conception of American identity and approach to immigration.

    Staunch Conservatives comprise the second major tier of core Trump supporters in the Republican primaries, with Ted Cruz being their second choice. (The American Preservationists constitute the core Trump constituency.) Staunch Conservatives are the most loyal Republican voters, and they have maintained highly favorable views of Trump since the election.

    Staunch Conservatives tend to be slightly older, more male than female, and upper middle class with moderate levels of education. They are the most likely group to own guns and to be NRA members. They are the most politically interested and aware group and one of the most likely groups to have correct knowledge of political facts.

    While not as hardline on immigration as the American Preservationists, they are deeply skeptical of it—both legal and illegal—and worry particularly about Muslim immigration. They feel that having lived in the U.S. for most of one’s life and being Christian are very or fairly important components of being a real American. Although their attitudes toward racial minorities are similar to the attitudes of non-Trump voter groups, they are more worried that discrimination against whites is a major problem.

    On economic issues, Staunch Conservatives and the Free Marketeers share an overwhelming opposition to tax hikes on the wealthy, business regulation, and government-provided health care. They have high levels of social trust in other people and worry less about whether the system is rigged. They also take conventional conservative positions on the environment and on cultural issues like same-sex marriage.

    Free Marketeers (25 percent) They are small government fiscal conservatives, free traders, with moderate to liberal positions on immigration and race. Their vote was a vote primarily against Clinton and not a vote for Trump.

    Although they are a loyal Republican voting group, Free Marketeers are the most skeptical of Trump. A minority voted for him in the early primaries, while Ted Cruz was their other favorite. For the general election, most say their aversion to Clinton, not support of Trump, was their true motivator.

    More likely to come from the West, Free Marketeers skew male, are middle aged, and are the most educated and highly paid of the Trump groups (and non-Trump voters).

    They are the most likely to be working full time, own their own homes, and have private health insurance. They are more cosmopolitan, the most likely group to know LGBT people, and they are least likely to watch TV or to smoke. Along with Staunch Conservatives, they are one of the most politically engaged and informed voter groups.

    They align with Staunch Conservatives’ steadfast fiscal conservativism—except that they are even more supportive of free trade. Nearly 100 percent of them believe that the free market better solves complex economic problems than strong government. They are, however, more liberal than Anti-Elites when it comes to matters of immigration and identity. Immigration is not their priority, they have warm feelings toward immigrants, and they only tepidly support a temporary Muslim travel ban. Their own racial identity is not salient to them, and they are similar to Democrats in their warm feelings toward members of minority groups. They also reject nativist conceptions of American identity.

    American Preservationists (20 percent) These Trump voters lean economically progressive, believe the economic and political systems are rigged, have nativist immigration views, and a nativist and ethnocultural conception of American identity.

    Although American Preservationists are less loyal Republicans than other Trump voter groups, and nearly half had positive views of Clinton in 2012, American Preservationists comprise the core Trump constituency that propelled him to victory in the early Republican primaries.

    American Preservationists have low levels of formal education and the lowest incomes of the Trump groups—and non-Trump voters as well. Despite being the most likely group to say that religion is “very important” to them, they are the least likely to attend church regularly. They are the most likely group to be on Medicaid, to report a permanent disability that prevents them from working, and to regularly smoke cigarettes. Despite watching the most TV, they are the least politically informed of the Trump groups.

    American Preservationists appear more likely to desire being around people like themselves, who have similar backgrounds and cultural experiences. They are far more likely to have a strong sense of their own racial identity and to say their Christian identity is very important to them. They take the most restrictionist approach to immigration— staunchly opposing not just illegal but legal immigration as well, and intensely supporting a temporary Muslim travel ban. They feel the greatest amount of angst over race relations: they believe that anti-white discrimination is as pervasive as other forms of discrimination, and they have cooler feelings (as measured on a feeling thermometer scale) toward minorities.(2) They agree in overwhelming numbers that real Americans need to have been born in America or have lived here most of their lives and be Christian.

    American Preservationists are trade skeptics and look more like Democrats on domestic economic issues, particularly on the nation’s wealth distribution, concern over old-age entitlement programs, and animus toward Wall Street. They feel powerless against moneyed interested and the politically connected and tend to distrust other people. They also share liberals’ views on the environment, believing that global warming is a serious threat and human activity is primarily to blame.

    Anti-Elites (19 percent) This group of Trump supporters leans economically progressive, believes the economic and political systems are rigged, and takes relatively more moderate positions on immigration, race, and American identity than American Preservationists. They are also the most likely group to favor political compromise.

    Anti-Elites have relatively cooler feelings toward Donald Trump than American Preservationists, and nearly half had favorable opinions of Clinton in 2012. This group shifted most dramatically, however, against Clinton by November 2016. They were the least likely group to mobilize in the Republican primary, but of those who did, they disproportionately turned out for John Kasich.

    Anti-Elites are middle-class voters with moderate levels of education, and they skew slightly younger than other Trump groups. They are the least likely group to own guns, go to church, and be politically informed.

    Anti-Elites believe that moneyed and political elites take advantage of the system against ordinary people and they support increasing taxes on the wealthy. Compared to the American Preservationists, they take more moderate positions on immigration, race, American identity, religious traditionalism including gay marriage, and the environment. Why are they not Democrats? Perhaps because they take less liberal positions on legal immigration and the temporary Muslim travel ban. Democrats who moderate their positions on immigration might win over some Anti-Elite voters.

    The Disengaged (5 percent) This group does not know much about politics, but what they do know is they feel detached from institutions and elites and are skeptical of immigration.

    The Disengaged are less loyal Republicans who largely came to vote for Trump in the general election. They skew younger, female, and they are religiously unaffiliated. They are not very politically informed and have limited knowledge of political facts.

    The Disengaged do not reveal many strong preferences on surveys, but what they do reveal is they are concerned about immigration and support the temporary Muslim travel ban. They feel unable to influence political and economic institutions and believe the system is biased against them.
By Doug64
#14955052
I just realized that I blew this off last weekend, so here's last week's before it can be replaced tomorrow. Last weekend's round-up of polls. Anyone that wants to check out any possible links over the next week can go to the link to the left. (Anyone wanting more details on a particular poll, just ask):

    While Category 4 Hurricane Michael ripped through the Florida panhandle and the Mid-Atlantic States this week, stock market selloffs driven by rising interest rates and international trade uncertainties tore into capital valuation and retirement portfolios. But the downturn paused yesterday, the same day a Turkish court ordered the release of American Pastor Andrew Brunson.

    With the release of last week’s jobs report reflecting a near 50-year low for unemployment, consumer confidence has started to rise once again.

    Fewer Americans than ever now know someone out of work.

    Despite escalating tensions between China and the United States over new tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, voters are much more optimistic these days in the United States’ trade future with China.

    How will recent news, including a new trade deal with Mexico and Canada, a strong U.S. economy, successful placement of Justice Brett Kavanaugh on the Supreme Court, and progress in international relations affect voters’ choices next month?

    It’s difficult to say, but with 24 days to the midterm Election Day, the Generic Congressional Ballot is now dead even.

    As the midterm elections draw near, voters are seeing President Trump as more of a positive than they did a year ago.

    Voters are now more confident than they have been in over six years that U.S. elections are fair to voters, though more than one-in-four still think it’s too easy today to vote in this country.

    Also, voters are less enthusiastic these days about taking the Electoral College out of the presidential election process. Interestingly, opponents of the Electoral College are less likely to know what it does.

    Meanwhile, it’s a done deal: Judge Brett Kavanaugh is now a member of the U.S. Supreme Court, and voters tend to think that’s okay.

    Republicans are madder about the Kavanaugh controversy than Democrats and are more determined to vote in the upcoming elections because of it.

    In other surveys last week:

    -- California now requires all publicly traded companies in the state to have at least one woman on their board of directors by the end of 2019. While men and women don’t see eye-to-eye on whether they’d want a law like this in their state, they do agree that the decision shouldn’t be up to the government.

    -- The sexual assault allegations against new U.S. Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh have renewed discussions about women’s role in society, and most voters now see a bigger place for women leaders. But voters still don't buy into Hillary Clinton's rosy view of a female future.

    -- Discussions of sexual harassment and sexual assault still dominate the public and political sphere. Nonetheless, slightly fewer Americans now consider sexual harassment in the workplace a serious problem than they did a year ago, even though the number of instances hasn’t changed.

    -- Schools in New Jersey may soon be required to screen all middle and high school students for depression, and with the teen suicide rate climbing, many think that’s a good idea.

    -- Forty-three percent (43%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction.
By Doug64
#14955277
And here's this weekend's round-up of polls. Anyone that wants to check out any possible links over the next week can go to the link to the left. (Anyone wanting more details on a particular poll, just ask):

    With just a little over two weeks left until Election Day, the battle for control of Congress looks closer to us than it does for a lot of other pollsters.

    The Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot remains in a near tie after the Democrats’ longtime lead vanished following the Kavanaugh confirmation controversy.

    Republicans are madder about the Kavanaugh thing than Democrats are and more determined to vote in the upcoming elections because of it.Will they still feel that way a couple weeks from now?

    Most voters think Democrats are likely to take charge of the House of Representatives following next month’s elections but expect them to fall short of capturing the Senate.

    Just before the 2014 midterm elections, 62% of voters said a GOP takeover of the Senate was likely, but only 34% thought Democrats would win control of the House. Republicans gained seats in both chambers to take full control of the Congress.

    Voters are much more confident in Congress than they have been in over a year following the Kavanaugh confirmation.

    Hillary Clinton recently urged Democrats not to be civil with Republicans over political issues, prompting rare disagreement from former First Lady Michelle Obama. Voters also disagree with Clinton but, unlike her, don’t expect things to improve even if Democrats return to power in Congress.

    Pocahontas or president? Despite Senator Elizabeth Warren’s bungled attempt this week to prove her claims of Native American heritage, the Massachusetts Democrat edges President Trump in a hypothetical 2020 presidential election matchup.

    A survey in January found TV personality Oprah Winfrey beating Trump 48% to 38% in a hypothetical 2020 matchup.

    The president earned 47% approval among likely voters in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll on Friday, down from a high of 51% at the beginning of the week.

    Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters now have a favorable opinion of First Lady Melania Trump, comparable to attitudes about Michelle Obama in her husband’s last year in office.

    Forty-three percent (43%) of voters say the country is headed in the right direction.

    With unemployment at a near-50-year low, consumer and economic confidence, already near record highs, have started to rise once again.

    Sixty-eight percent (68%) of voters say they still get their political news from news reports, but that’s down from 74% before the mid-term elections eight years ago.

    While this is the season of candidate debates, voters are almost evenly divided over whether debates help voters to decide or are just a waste of time.

    A lot of voters don't like it when candidates in their state finance their campaigns with money from outsiders, and they aren't moved much by celebrity or political endorsements from out-of-staters either.

    Only 12% say the political views of celebrities are important to their own political thinking.

    In other surveys last week:

    -- Americans like Amazon but worry that the online mega-market will continue to put more traditional retail outlets like Sears out of business.

    -- The iconic Sears, Roebuck and Co. this week joined the list of retail giants who have filed for bankruptcy as Americans continue to gravitate to online shopping outlets. A startling 86% say they have purchased an item from Sears at some point in their lives.

    -- Flu season didn’t hit too many Americans last winter, but nonetheless, most still plan to get a flu shot this year.

    -- Pennsylvania is considering legislation that would require all state lawmakers to be tested for illegal drugs, and voters think that’s a great idea.

    -- Sixty-one percent (61%) of Americans believe drug testing should be required of applicants for all or most jobs.
By Doug64
#14957915
And here's this weekend's round-up of polls. Anyone that wants to check out any possible links over the next week can go to the link to the left. (Anyone wanting more details on a particular poll, just ask):

    The closer we are to the date, the more all news seems tied to the midterm elections, whether it’s the state of the economy, the Honduran caravan traveling through Mexico to the U.S. border, or even gender identity.

    Voters agree with President Trump’s efforts to stop the horde of Hondurans marching through Mexico from entering the United States illegally.

    But Trump and the economy are the major concerns for voters going into the midterm congressional elections.

    Voters also think the media are trying to help Democrats in the upcoming elections which helps explain why Democratic voters are much bigger fans of election news coverage than others are.

    As the election nears, Democrats hold a small lead over Republicans on this week’s Generic Congressional Ballot, and voters are slightly more confident in the nation’s political players to lead the country into the future.

    Trump called the Federal Reserve his “biggest threat” in a recent interview, claiming that the central bank is raising interest rates too fast. But it appears Americans have warmed up to the Fed these days.

    Republican and Democratic candidates alike are making their last-minute attempts at earning the middle class vote. But while Americans may not agree on what income qualifies as middle class, most are pretty sure they fall into that category. Even among the country’s highest earners, only one-in-five consider themselves wealthy.

    Further afield, voters say the disappearance and death of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi is a matter of U.S. national security. But regardless of whether voters see this as a national security issue or media overreaction, most support the Trump administration’s plan to organize several Middle Eastern nations into a so-called “Arab NATO.”

    If the Saudi government was involved in the death of Khashoggi, most voters think the nation should be reprimanded by the United States.

    In other surveys last week:

    -- Health care is a major factor when it comes to whom voters will choose at the ballot this midterm election, but they continue to look to the free market, not the government, to solve the woes of rising health care costs.

    -- Canada last year became the 10th country to allow residents to choose a gender option other than male or female on their passports, but most Americans agree with the Trump administration’s current consideration of limiting the definition of gender strictly to biology and oppose a third gender option on legal documents in this country.

    -- Many Americans continue to feel the impact of bullying but now are more convinced that schools rather than parents need to do something about it.

    -- For the third week in a row, 43% of voters think the country is heading in the right direction.
By Doug64
#14960111
Slightly late, but here's this weekend's round-up of polls. Anyone that wants to check out any possible links over the next week can go to the link to the left. (Anyone wanting more details on a particular poll, just ask):

    Election Day’s almost here, and most pollsters are predicting a blue wave that will sweep the Democrats back into control of the House of Representatives. But is another picture possible?

    Democrats hold just a three-point lead on the latest Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot which has a +/- 2 margin of error. Look for our final Generic Ballot Monday morning.

    Just as in 2016, Democrats are more outspoken about how they’re going to vote in the upcoming elections than Republicans and unaffiliated voters are. Is it possible that another silent red wave is coming?

    In August 2016, 52% of Democrats were more likely to let others know how they intended to vote in the upcoming presidential election, compared to 46% of Republicans and 34% of unaffiliated voters. Some analysts after Donald Trump's upset victory suggested that most pollsters missed his hidden support among voters fearful of criticism who were unwilling to say where they stood.

    But Rasmussen Reports wasn’t fooled in 2016.

    The majority of voters believe the media is more interested in creating controversies about candidates than in reporting where they stand on the issues. Voters also think the media is trying to help Democrats in the upcoming elections which helps explain why Democratic voters are much bigger fans of election news coverage than others are.

    Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Republicans say they always vote in midterm elections, as do 71% of Democrats and 63% of voters not affiliated with either major political party. The real story on Tuesday will be which side turns out even more than usual.

    Most voters in general think Democrats are likely to take charge of the House following the elections but expect them to fall short of capturing the Senate.

    Voters also are slightly more likely to think a Congress at least partially controlled by Democrats is better for the country.

    At week’s end, Trump’s job approval stands at 51% in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

    Most voters now commend the president for his economic leadership but are less impressed by his performance when it comes to foreign affairs. That’s also potentially good news for Republicans facing an election in which voters say Trump and the economy are the big issues.

    Meanwhile, economic and consumer confidence continue to climb further into record territory.

    But one word of caution: 70% of Democrats are concerned that the stock market will crash and throw the country back into recession, a view shared by 43% of Republicans and 49% of those not affiliated with either major political party.

    Forty-eight percent (48%) of all voters also give the president good or excellent marks for his handling of immigration issues, compared to just 34% who felt that way about President Obama's performance in this area in his last year in office. Voters agree with Trump’s efforts to stop the horde of Hondurans now marching through Mexico from entering the United States illegally.

    Voters also tend to favor the president's decision to send troops to the southern border to help prevent illegal immigration, but as is frequently the case on issues related to illegal immigration, there's a sharp difference of opinion between Democrats and Republicans.

    Illegal immigration is the most important voting issue in the upcoming elections for 22% of Republicans, 15% of unaffiliated voters and eight percent (8%) of Democrats.

    Following last weekend's massacre at a synagogue in Pittsburgh, Americans continue to worry that media overcoverage of horrific events like this inspires copycats.

    Democrats (51%) are much more likely than Republicans (13%) and those not affiliated with either major party (25%) to blame the availability of guns for mass shootings more than the person who pulls the trigger.

    Sixty-one percent (61%) of Americans favor the death penalty, and among these adults, 68% think it needs to be carried out in a more timely fashion rather than delayed for all possible legal appeals.

    In other surveys last week:

    -- Forty-three percent (43%) of all voters say the country is headed in the right direction. This finding was in the mid- to upper 20s most weeks during Obama’s last year in the White House.

    -- Fifty-six percent (56%) of Americans say Halloween is a holiday for both adults and children.
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