- 25 Apr 2018 10:28
#14909166
It is said that “Money doesn't grow on trees,” but it is created from thin air every business day. This meme was created when the Gold Standard was still in effect.
Your parents probably told you “Money doesn't grow on trees”, but money is created from thin air in 2 ways.
. . 1] When the US Gov. deficit spends it creates dollars and a bond. The holders of the dollars have money and the bond holders also have money because they can sell the bond at anytime to get money.
. . 2] Whenever a bank makes a loan, it just makes a deposit into an account at that bank (owned by or in the name of the person who was lent the money). The bank does not transfer money that it already has in to the account, it just credits the account with money that comes from thin air. This is a little different from Gov. deficit spending because there is also a legal contract created that specifies how the loan is to be repaid. This exactly offsets the new money created. However, the money is created now and the repayment is mostly in the medium or long term future. So, until the loan is repaid there is more money in the national economy than there was before the loan was make.
The US dollar is a fiat currency and this means that the US Gov. can always just create money (=dollars) to payoff any bond that comes due on any given day. I claim that the damage to the economy and to the wealth of the 1% would always be much, much more if the bond were defaulted on than if the Gov. found a way to create the dollars to redeem the bond. So, generally, the Gov. will find a way to redeem all the bonds that come due, EVEN IF it can't sell new bonds to do it. You can see the truth of this by looking at the actions of the Fed. Res. Bank and the US Gov. in the crisis of 2008. In the crisis, literally, Trillions of dollars were created to shore up the banks. Legal or not didn't matter, it was done.
My point is that --- while everyone is being told to worry about the Gov. deficit and the Gov. debt because they will cause inflation, almost nobody is saying we need to worry about the creation of money by banks because of the inflation that this causes. Why? Is it because the Repud party has an agenda that requires the people to suffer hardships while the 1% get richer?
What this means is --- that all demands that the deficit must be reduced because someday in the future the shit will hit the fan are just lies. That the Repuds recently cut taxes on Corps. and also the wealthy people who own them and now the same Repuds are claiming that they need to reform (=cut) Soc. Sec. because the deficit is too big.
The Repud Party has done this sort of thing in several States already and now wants to do it at the federal level. However, the USA is not a state and it can (and it has in the past) created cash dollars out of thin air. This ability means that the Gov. does not need to worry too much about deficits. The only possible downside is inflation and inflation is not that bad. Unless it gets totally out of hand, and if that happens it can only be because taxes were not high enough to stop it. The simple solution when inflation strikes [i.e. when there is too much money in the system rather than when there is too little resources or production in the economy] is to raise taxes. If the 1% want to see inflation continue enough to block the raising of taxes then they will see their dollar holdings fall in value. The 1% can make a choice --- inflation at 100plus% a year or higher taxes.
Those of you who disagree with this are guilty of using “Gold Standard economic thinking”. The world is now off the Gold Standard; and economic thinking has not caught up to this fact yet. Part of the problem with economics is that the results matter too much to too many people. Consider the 4 disciplines: Physics, Astronomy, Paleontology, and Economics. All are considered sciences by some people. However, they are not the same. Physics can mostly do reproducible experiments, so it is clearly a science. Astronomy can do some reproducible experiments and nobody really cares what the current best thinking is, so it is a science. Paleontology can't do hardly any experiments, but nobody cares about the results, so it is a science. However, Economics very much impacts people's incomes, so they care what the results are, i.e. what theory is being used to shape public policy. Also, Macro-economics can't do hardly any reproducible experiments. The combination of these 2 factors means that Macro-economics is not a science. It is not possible for the experts in the field to reach a consensus in any reasonable amount of time, i.e. not in decades or centuries, because the required experiments can't be done and the experts are pulled in different directions by pressure from people outside the field, but that deeply care what theory is chosen for the consensus.
This means that every informed layman will have to do some in-depth research and form his own conclusions about Macro-economics. Anything less is just believing what the 1st authority told you. And there is no economic authority that you can trust. They all have an ax to grind.
Your parents probably told you “Money doesn't grow on trees”, but money is created from thin air in 2 ways.
. . 1] When the US Gov. deficit spends it creates dollars and a bond. The holders of the dollars have money and the bond holders also have money because they can sell the bond at anytime to get money.
. . 2] Whenever a bank makes a loan, it just makes a deposit into an account at that bank (owned by or in the name of the person who was lent the money). The bank does not transfer money that it already has in to the account, it just credits the account with money that comes from thin air. This is a little different from Gov. deficit spending because there is also a legal contract created that specifies how the loan is to be repaid. This exactly offsets the new money created. However, the money is created now and the repayment is mostly in the medium or long term future. So, until the loan is repaid there is more money in the national economy than there was before the loan was make.
The US dollar is a fiat currency and this means that the US Gov. can always just create money (=dollars) to payoff any bond that comes due on any given day. I claim that the damage to the economy and to the wealth of the 1% would always be much, much more if the bond were defaulted on than if the Gov. found a way to create the dollars to redeem the bond. So, generally, the Gov. will find a way to redeem all the bonds that come due, EVEN IF it can't sell new bonds to do it. You can see the truth of this by looking at the actions of the Fed. Res. Bank and the US Gov. in the crisis of 2008. In the crisis, literally, Trillions of dollars were created to shore up the banks. Legal or not didn't matter, it was done.
My point is that --- while everyone is being told to worry about the Gov. deficit and the Gov. debt because they will cause inflation, almost nobody is saying we need to worry about the creation of money by banks because of the inflation that this causes. Why? Is it because the Repud party has an agenda that requires the people to suffer hardships while the 1% get richer?
What this means is --- that all demands that the deficit must be reduced because someday in the future the shit will hit the fan are just lies. That the Repuds recently cut taxes on Corps. and also the wealthy people who own them and now the same Repuds are claiming that they need to reform (=cut) Soc. Sec. because the deficit is too big.
The Repud Party has done this sort of thing in several States already and now wants to do it at the federal level. However, the USA is not a state and it can (and it has in the past) created cash dollars out of thin air. This ability means that the Gov. does not need to worry too much about deficits. The only possible downside is inflation and inflation is not that bad. Unless it gets totally out of hand, and if that happens it can only be because taxes were not high enough to stop it. The simple solution when inflation strikes [i.e. when there is too much money in the system rather than when there is too little resources or production in the economy] is to raise taxes. If the 1% want to see inflation continue enough to block the raising of taxes then they will see their dollar holdings fall in value. The 1% can make a choice --- inflation at 100plus% a year or higher taxes.
Those of you who disagree with this are guilty of using “Gold Standard economic thinking”. The world is now off the Gold Standard; and economic thinking has not caught up to this fact yet. Part of the problem with economics is that the results matter too much to too many people. Consider the 4 disciplines: Physics, Astronomy, Paleontology, and Economics. All are considered sciences by some people. However, they are not the same. Physics can mostly do reproducible experiments, so it is clearly a science. Astronomy can do some reproducible experiments and nobody really cares what the current best thinking is, so it is a science. Paleontology can't do hardly any experiments, but nobody cares about the results, so it is a science. However, Economics very much impacts people's incomes, so they care what the results are, i.e. what theory is being used to shape public policy. Also, Macro-economics can't do hardly any reproducible experiments. The combination of these 2 factors means that Macro-economics is not a science. It is not possible for the experts in the field to reach a consensus in any reasonable amount of time, i.e. not in decades or centuries, because the required experiments can't be done and the experts are pulled in different directions by pressure from people outside the field, but that deeply care what theory is chosen for the consensus.
This means that every informed layman will have to do some in-depth research and form his own conclusions about Macro-economics. Anything less is just believing what the 1st authority told you. And there is no economic authority that you can trust. They all have an ax to grind.