late wrote:That was when the Koch brothers used the Tea Party as their hand puppet.
I'll never really look at Pelosi losing her majority as a tragedy. It was a well-deserved loss.
late wrote:The next thing one needs to know is that the party in power always takes a hit in the midterms. But one does need to explain why it was such a big hit.
Probably @Drlee would agree with your analysis that follows. I don't. I think there were three big factors: first, Republicans had voted well over 40 times to repeal ObamaCare. When they finally had the votes, many of them decided to protect ObamaCare. Their action to protect ObamaCare after so many votes to repeal it was inexplicable to Republican base voters, and they knew they were going down. Second, in blue states, the tax cuts came at the expense--in part--of blue state upper income tax payers like me who faced a limitation on SALT deductions writing off state and local income taxes on our federal returns. That cost me about $6k dollars. So you saw places like Orange County, CA going blue; third, you also had just a bunch of milquetoast losers who can't stomach Trump and the Tea Party in power at the national level. People like Kellyanne Conway's husband come to mind.
late wrote:But the underlying reality is that there is a ton of dissatisfaction with Republicans. Trump's crazy may not stop Trump, but Republicans have been losing or retiring in large numbers.
Many are getting older and want to hang it up, which is understandable. I don't think it's that fun a job anymore. John Boehner--who perhaps was the first orange man foretelling the coming of Trump--ended up quitting in frustration, and they more or less had to beg Paul Ryan to take the job. He ended up retiring too, but at a much younger age. Pelosi fought for the job, but I don't think she's enjoying it at all. Right now, the Republicans have a big fundraising advantage, so I think this election is tipping their way. Their is still 11 months, which is a long time in politics.
Politics_Observer wrote:But the underlying reality is that there is a ton of dissatisfaction with Republicans. Trump's crazy may not stop Trump, but Republicans have been losing or retiring in large numbers.
You're hoping a double negative is a positive. Trump has a talking point--they denied him the right to confront his accuser, denied him a the opportunity to call witnesses, denied him the right to know the nature and cause of the charges (Obstruction of Congress and Abuse of Power are not recognizable laws with elements defining an offense), and now they are denying him a right to a speedy trial. Pelosi is not doing well at this at all.
Politics_Observer wrote:And possibly, the American people will demand a fair trial with witnesses and pressure could build on McConnell.
Witnesses aren't a good idea for the Democrats, because the most obvious ones are Joe and Hunter Biden, Viktor Shokin and Erik Ciaramella. Trump can wage an affirmative defense. Prosecutorial speculation during a trial is not allowed. It will backfire almost certainly. Lindsay Graham said it best: Pelosi is the dog who caught the car.
Politics_Observer wrote:But Pelosi has ZERO incentive to send them over and there is no pressure on her to send them to the Senate.
Charging someone with a crime and then refusing to try them looks positively absurd. The pressure builds passively, because her credibility implodes the longer she waits. If Trump is this imminent threat to humanity in the remaining 10 years we have left before global warming kills us all, then we should be moving to trial forthwith.
BigSteve wrote:The democrats are fucked six ways to Sunday.
Yeah. The DNC presidential primaries are having the life sucked out of them by this whole charade, and Trump is not hunkering down in a White House bunker. He's out campaigning to record crowds, while the Democrats struggle to get viewers for their presidential debates.
late wrote:The Founding Fathers wanted the Senate to work with the House.
Well, they aren't entitled to get their wish.
late wrote:“The GOP, Lofgren argued in the aftermath of the debt-ceiling debacle, increasingly resembled “an apocalyptic cult, or one of the intensely ideological authoritarian parties of 20th century Europe” in which “a disciplined minority of totalitarians can use the instruments of democratic government to undermine democracy itself.”
Democracy itself doesn't depend on increasing the national debt. The welfare state depends on it, and it will see it's demise in the next 50 years as demography kills it off.
Finfinder wrote:The Democrats lost the last election and now they feel empowered to do away with any rules and decorum. Democrats don't heed to elections or rules and decorum anymore,
The bigger picture looks like this: if the Democrats lost the election, it didn't matter. They could just turn to the courts. SCOTUS is now nominally conservative, but neither Roberts or Kavanaugh will prove reliable conservatives. If Trump gets more SCOTUS picks, the left's trick of turning to the courts for legislative victories they can't win democratically is over for a generation. So it is something of an existential crisis for them.
Stormsmith wrote:Relax. Negotiating is not a crime.
Neither is Obstruction of Congress or Abuse of Power. No such statutes exist.
late wrote:He's guilty as hell.
Of nothing. Investigating Biden's probable violation of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act is a perfectly legitimate thing to do.
Stormsmith wrote:And that's an invitation to negotiate
If his rights are determined to have been violated, it's an automatic acquittal anyway. Speedy trial is a right that belongs exclusively to the defendant.
Drlee wrote:If the democrats run on health care they slam Trump. They will not be smart enough to do it.
The only parts of PPACA that are really popular are pre-existing conditions and being on your parents health insurance plan. Otherwise, it's the mother of all hairballs. The Democrats are running on things like Medicare for all--which we cannot afford without a massive reform of the existing system.
Drlee wrote:The democrats will run Warren and the gay guy and they will loose. They will win the popular vote and lose.
If Booty Judge is on the ticket, the Democrats will lose more of the black vote than they expected. Maybe they get 75-80%, which will tank them.
Drlee wrote:She can run them right up to election day and force the SCOTUS to either rule that the house has no investigative powers in impeachment or order Trumps folks to testify.
That's not the choice. The issue is whether executive privilege applies to private conversations with the president and his staff, officers, cabinet secretaries, etc. Documentation, tapes, etc. was settled in Nixon. The problem is that they do not have any documentary evidence proving their charges, and none of the witnesses can corroborate the allegations either for "abuse of power" as none of them were actual witnesses, except the light colonel who didn't witness any criminal behavior either. In fact, that's why they invented this notion of "Abuse of Power" to begin with, which isn't a law and would violate ex-post fact if it were made into one.
"We have put together the most extensive and inclusive voter fraud organization in the history of American politics."
-- Joe Biden