- 29 Aug 2018 15:18
#14943186
Trade patterns are mercurial, the flows change, surge and ebb according to innumerable interacting and changeable circumstances, always searching out the optimal solutions for the time. The distance factor is influenced by fuel costs. The cross jurisdictional factor is influenced by regulatory compatibilities, tariffs, subsidies and other bureaucratic barriers or inducements. These are all variable things. In the context where the UK leaves the EU and forms a common market with CANZ then the cross jurisdictional factors will change radically, enough to shift the weight of trade away from the current common pattern. Also note NAFTA which makes easy trade across the US-Canadian border will not necessarily last forever, I am sure I heard somewhere that Trump opposes it, and he is not the only one in the US who does. What will Canada do if the US pulls out?
Though as I noted above trade isn't the main reason for CANZUK closer cooperation, it would just be an optional bonus.
The solution to 1984 is 1973!
Beren wrote:The problem is that they're not the closest trading partners of each other anymore. Australia and New Zealand trade with China, whereas Canada trades with the US and the UK with the EU the most. So the ties between them are rather linguistic and cultural, which means they still could establish and regularly meet in online pubs perhaps.
Trade patterns are mercurial, the flows change, surge and ebb according to innumerable interacting and changeable circumstances, always searching out the optimal solutions for the time. The distance factor is influenced by fuel costs. The cross jurisdictional factor is influenced by regulatory compatibilities, tariffs, subsidies and other bureaucratic barriers or inducements. These are all variable things. In the context where the UK leaves the EU and forms a common market with CANZ then the cross jurisdictional factors will change radically, enough to shift the weight of trade away from the current common pattern. Also note NAFTA which makes easy trade across the US-Canadian border will not necessarily last forever, I am sure I heard somewhere that Trump opposes it, and he is not the only one in the US who does. What will Canada do if the US pulls out?
Though as I noted above trade isn't the main reason for CANZUK closer cooperation, it would just be an optional bonus.
The solution to 1984 is 1973!