Heisenberg wrote:I think the message is to treat all stories coming from the middle of a warzone with scepticism. The old saying that "The truth is the first casualty of war" should be branded on journalists' foreheads, since they seem incapable of following it. I'd like to see you apply some of the scepticism you show towards claims made by the Syrians and the Russians, to claims made by the al-Nusra Front and other assorted jihadist groups.
Where did I just embrace "claims made by Nusra et al?" What claims of relevance did Nusra even make recently?
I support Russia's intervention and have called out the hysterical media BS surrounding Aleppo before it fell, and I'm no supporter of Trump's recent adventure. This doesn't mean I won't criticize where it's due, or that I find Assad's regime inherently good in any way apart from the fact that its (hostile) opponents are mostly jihadists. That also doesn't mean that I'll ignore the weight of the evidence tipping the blame for sarin attacks on Assad's side, even though, as I already said, I don't believe he gave the order himself, or that he even knew anything about it.
No one here even supports HTS, as opposed to the people who still believe that "Assad did nothing wrong".
Bulaba Jones wrote:Assad has nothing to gain by using CW on anyone at a time when the Turks would love to distract from domestic troubles to someone like Assad, when the Saudis would like people to forget about their barbarism in Yemen by focusing the world's attention on Assad
What are you even talking about? Turkey is exactly the opposite of being in domestic troubles and no one ever gave a shit about the bombing of Yemen for longer than a day.
People have apparently also forgotten about that one time chemical weapons were "used by Assad" the same day the UN sent inspectors to monitor Syria's use of weapons. Assad is a dictator but he knows it is literally insane to use CW while multiple nations openly and illegally meddle in your country to try and overthrow you.
Having or not having a motive doesn't magically trump all other evidence pointing to just how absurdly implausible the theories blaming the rebels for Ghouta are. Sadly, few sources/people compile all of the known facts into one easy to read text showing the big picture of such an undertaking, but this this excellent and sourced write up did a pretty good job recently:
The East Ghouta Sarin attack exceeded the rebels ability to manufacture and deploy Sarin at a large scale. About 400 to 720 liters of Sarin was used in the attack. Furthermore, the Sarin was delivered using a type of large truck launched IRAM (Lob bomb) rocket only used by Syrian government forces and Hezbollah - the 330mm volcano rocket (Burcan).
Also, Sarin is extremely difficult to manufacture. The process generates corrosive hydrofluoric acid. In military Sarin production plants, pipes and reaction vessels are made from extremely corrosion resistant Hast Alloy or silver. Liters of Sarin cannot be made using a simple bench top laboratory.
Interior of Japanese Aum cult's Sarin plant, Satyen 7
The Aum Cult in Japan spent $30 million building Satyen 7. It was built and staffed by 100 cult members, some with PhDs in Chemistry. They also bribed the secretary of the Russian Security Council, Oleg Lobov, 10 million yen for information on how to make Sarin; in a trip to Russia they visited Aleksandr Rutskoy, Ruslan Khasbulatov, and Lobov in an attempt to discover an more efficient process of making Sarin. It was a giant operation, not a little bench top lab.
The Aum cult's operation was beset by problems, a stainless steel stirrer dissolved at stage 4 of the reaction and a glass reaction vessel partly dissolved, turning the Sarin blue; they made just under 60 liters of Sarin over 18 months, of variable purity (7 liters were used in the Tokyo subway attack).
Despite their best efforts, Aum failed to produce anywhere as much Sarin used in the East Ghouta Attack. That attack used at least 8 and possibly as many as 12 rockets of a type (Volcano/Burkan) only ever used by Syrian government forces, each carrying between 50 to 60 liters of Sarin (see page 24 in the UN report on the East Ghouta Sarin attack);
Thus a total of 400 to 720 liters of Sarin was used in the East Ghouta attack.
And then there's Hexamine found in the Sarin residues by the UN weapons inspectors that investigated the Sarin attack. The Syrian Syrian government used hexamine in their Sarin production process, as an acid scavenger, according to the head of the UN/OPCW inspection mission Ake Sellstrom in an interview with a journalist from CBRNe World:
CBRNe World: Why was hexamine on the list of chemical scheduled to be destroyed – it has many other battlefield uses as well as Sarin? Did you request to put it on the list or had the Syrian’s claimed that they were using it?
Sellstrom: It is in their formula, it is their acid scavenger.
The Syrian Government handed 80 tonnes of hexamine of when it decommissioned it CWs and precursor chemicals. So it strongly suggest that Syrian government Sarin was used in the East Ghouta attack.
To sum up:
Syria has acknowledged that hexamine is part of its formula for producing Sarin. Nobody else used Hexamine to make Sarin. Hexamine was found in the field samples collected by UN inspectors in East Ghouta after the attacks. Syria surrendered 80 tons of hexamine for CW destruction. The Sarin was delivered using Burkan/Volcano rockets, a rocket only used by Syrian government forces and Hezbollah.
A false flag flag attack would require the following:
- Steal 400 to 750 liters of Syria government Sarin.
- Steal 8 to 12 Burkan rockets.
- Steal a double barrel 330 mm Burkan launch vehicle.
- Steal most likely more than one articulated lorries used for transporting 8 to 12 Burkan rockets.
- Organise and train dozens of rebels to transport and deploy 400 to 750 liters of extremely toxic Sarin... aim, fire and reload a Burkan launcher without killing themselves or leaking Sarin before the false flag attack.
- Operate a crane, possibly on yet another truck, to reload the double barreled Burkan launcher.
- Smuggling all this into East Ghouta, which was under a siege.
Link with references
https://www.reddit.com/r/syriancivilwar ... rding_the/GandalfTheGrey wrote:I don't think its too far fetched at all. You would notice hundreds of kids running towards something excitedly, and you wouldn't have to be in the blast zone to find out why. Besides, her story is corroborated by other eye witnesses
I don't find such a possibility surprising as much as I just see that the woman in that video is bullshitting to a painfully obvious degree (even part of the video is cut out lol). The other thing is that an explosion of this magnitude can kill you and will probably a least severely injure you up to a distance between 50-100m. Bonding mines can kill people at over 50m distance, and their explosion is at least dozens of times weaker than this. Literally all vehicles within 10m of the blast are burnt out wrecks.
The same story is being reported by our old friend in London who calls himself the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights - who is notoriously anti regime.
He hasn't been notoriously anti-regime since late 2013 or early 2014, as a matter of fact if I remember correctly, by the second half of 2013 he was regularly reporting about rebel war crimes.
The fact that there was such a disproportionate number of children killed (at least half of them) also gives weight to the story.
Children were the disproportionate demographic of that convoy to begin with, it consisted almost exclusively of women and children, the men remain in the Shia villages and are the last in line to be truced out of them.
Diversity within Oneness.