Drlee wrote:We really don't know. China is leaning toward saying that it is slowing down but given the gargantuan efforts they have made for a slight down tick, this but is a real bad one.
I am extremely surprised that the US has not discovered more. It will be an interesting spring.
Buy masks. Lay in a supply of long-lived foods. Get exam or food service gloves.
Wash your hands obsessively.
Stay away from Maltese Hookers.
All very good advise, especially about the Maltese Hookers.
We really don't know if this is going to be a pandemic, but there is a real chance that it will. Therefore, it's foolish not to prepare. There is no harm in preparing now. The supply chains are still working and shops can order more if people lay in stocks. It'll boost the economy and it'll alleviate the run on the shops if the epidemic does come near you.
I could self-isolate for months or even years since we grow most of our own food and live in a very remote rural area with no neighbor in sight. On the downside, the health system is inadequate in the best of times. If the epidemic does strike here, I wouldn't be able to get treatment. So my best chance is by avoiding infection.
According to a Chinese case analysis of the recorded infections, the death rate varies between 0.2% for young healthy people and 8% to 15% for old people. The overall death rate for men and women is 2.6% and 1.7%, respectively. People with chronic conditions such as diabetes, high blood pressure, asthma, etc., have a higher death rate. In the case of a full-blown epidemic, many people will die because they can't get treatment. About 18% get severely ill and need hospitalization, of which 5% need intensive care. Experts estimate that if the outbreak isn't controlled 60% of the total population could be infected. That would result in millions of severe cases. There is no health system in the world that can cope with that.The Epidemiological Characteristics of an Outbreak of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Diseases (COVID-19) — China, 2020
Iran has reported 3 more cases, bringing the total to 5. They are also quarantining people and have closed the schools in Qom. There are unconfirmed reports from Kamkar hospital in Qom that 20 have died of the virus.
I'm utterly disgusted by how badly Japan has handled the situation on the Diamond Princess and in the country. This really shows that the reflex to cover up is universal and not limited to China, where it is institutionalized. In Japan, critical opinions are suppressed to the point of censorship. Kentaro Iwata, an infectious disease specialist who had criticized the condition on-board the ship, was forced to recant and delete his video from the Internet.
The Koreans seem to take the virus outbreak a bit more seriously but they just passed the 100 infections mark, probably due to close relations with China and an outbreak at a Church. The mayor of Daegu has asked people to stay at home.
In China, the reported new infections are down, but the deaths are up. We don't know if infections are down due to the containment measures or if the figures are massaged to show that the new leaders in Hubei are succeeding in their task.
India is starting to curb exports of medical equipment including masks and drugs that could be needed in a epidemic. So, it's every country to itself and god against all. A perfect recipe for disaster.