MiG123 (HWZ) wrote:https://forums.hardwarezone.com.sg/eat- ... t125188766
Last I heard u can't catch cancer on the train and roll over dead in a few weeks.
Talking abt the death rate, it's all fun and games while there's only a sprinkle of infected to worry about and hospital can focus all their resources on supporting/treating you. Wait till theres thousands or millions of cases and see if bodies don't start piling up in hospital walkways. There's why China is locking down cities, and death rate in Wuhan have shot up to 18%, that's exactly where we're headed if we treat this casually and without foresight
1500 deaths for China is just PEANUTS.
Normal life expectancy at birth now is 76 years. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP ... cations=CN
But most of China population is now old age cos few kids and probably smoked etc heavily so if I use life expectancy at 70years is not unreasonable.
1.3 billion people die over 70 years is at least 18.57 million people die in one year.
Pneumonia is super common as cause of death, even LKY died of pneumonia because old and weak and cannot cough out the germs fast enough (so his lungs rotted from inside so mati because cannot breath) , same for all heart failure, stroke, liver, cancer etc patients, bed bound etc.
So say at least 1/3 people, cause of death they write pneumonia cos old age and nobody will question even if just bring down from rural Chinese mountain almost dead and never see doctor before (relative says elderly person cough cough 1 week then now mati)...
That should be at least 6 million annual deaths from ordinary pneumonia alone.
On daily basis, will be 16,438+ people die daily from ordinary pneumonia alone.
Since day 1 the Wuhan virus only killed 1500+ people (45 days). https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east- ... ts-139-new
So average daily death rate of Wuhan virus being responsible for is 33.33 cases.
This is only 0.2% of the China normal pneumonia rate. Even if under estimate by 10x, it is responsible for up to 2% of normal pneumonia death rate.
Yes, we can race to find a vaccine, but will we be fast enough before the next mutation strikes or will be forever be chased and frightened by our own shadows?
Maybe more humans may be saved if we spent our tax monies on alleviation of poverty, environmentalism rather than wearing face masks and restricting our movements and polluting the whole world with medical waste and greenhouse gases from all the medical disposables used in this hysteria.
In the short term, yes we need the stats out like the mortality rate, but if the cause of death was the high prevalence of lifestyle disease like smoking, insufficient sleep and sedentary, high stress lifestyle, then we are probably just missing the woods for the trees by trying to stop the Wuhan virus (COVID-19) from spreading.
Storm in a tea cup, perhaps, possibly, maybe. We shouldn't end up missing the woods for the trees, but we shouldn't be complacent in the early days either.