Bulaba Jones wrote:Would it have been less corrupt if the US-backed coup against the elected government back in 2002 successfully installed Carmona as dictator?
Like it or not, Maduro is an elected president, and the Venezuelan opposition has actual, documented funding and backing of the US State Department, etc. In the US, it has historically been acceptable to crack down on organizations with foreign government backing, or organizations that are dedicated to overthrowing the government (the Communist Party, and even the Socialists). Why is it not acceptable for Venezuela to do the same about opposition groups doing the same thing?
Let me try to put some perspective from a South American at what is really going on. I'm Uruguayan and I currently live in Brazil. I wont get too much into it, but let's say I work with diplomacy.
Venezuela today became a proxy of different power houses. From the Brazilian led South American leftists Foro de São Paulo, to USA and Russian interests in the region, to a silent power-struggle USA has against Brazil to settle a base in the Brazilian frontier USA that goes on and on since WW2 ended, to narcotraffick, oil reserves... oh man... It's hard to try to explain what is going on in Venezuela right now.
The truth is one though, everything in the end falls on Brazil's lap, mostly the lack of action, leadership, from whom should be the region leader. Everyone knows if Brazil doesn't push the trigger , Venezuela will end up becoming another USA backyard. Yes, Russia also has their hands in this because they support Maduro but Brazil is the one with the military and intelligence and most of all interest in ending the madness that became Maduro's Government. PT Party in Brazil was not just a horror show for Brazilians was terrible for the entire region. Both Brazil's ex Presidents, Dilma and Lula, support Maduro. Temer, the VP in power after Dilma was impeached, kept Dilma's token lunatic as Ministry of Foreign affairs.
Roraima is a city that borders Venezuela and so far received over 600.000 Venezuelans.
Let's go back to the frontier with Brazil. There's a Amazonian Belt over there, that is likely the richest zone in minerals in the world and contains a under river that is one of the largest reserves of potable water in the planet.
Millions were invested in certain ONG, movements to demand a region called Triple A became a "reserve". The intention is make that a country inside Brazil in the next decade, a area that would also cross the Andes, something crossing the Pacific and Atlantic.
Then we go back to good old oil, Venezuela has plenty, likely the largest reserve outside the Middle East. For those who don't know, oil has purity levels, the more pure it is the cheaper it is to produce fuel of any kind. Basically, USA oil compared to Venezuelan or Middle East oil is nothing but grass. Venezuela and Saudi Arabia not only have tons of oil, they have tons of the purest oil around. No need to mention USA has plenty of reasons to get their hands in Venezuela.
In many ways, Venezuela is a dear country, most countries like Venezuela, was a prosperous nation before Chavez managed to come into power and Brazil and Argentina know well they have their hands on making Chavez as Brazil payed for his Government. On another note, the alliance with certain Islamic States really goes against Brazilian anti Islamic policy that exists before Islam was a thing. Not gonna get deep into it, but Maduro's alliance with Saudi Arabia and Iran in a political level might be his demise.
Venezuela's current situation and future isn't a tango for 2, more like a group dance with a unfortunate outcome .
USA invited Colombia to join OTAN, Colombia became USA precious token in South America. Colombia also borders Brazil and Venezuela. The outcome will affect Uruguay, Chile and Argentina directly. Macri is a weak man, with a weak Government. My country is small, Uruguay has only 3 million people. Chile can't act alone, again this will fall on Brazil's side of the court.
Elections in Brazil will dictate the future of Venezuela. If the right wing wins, they will likely take action against Maduro with the excuse of the need to do it before "USA or Russia" took over Venezuela. If the Left-Globalist wins they will likely allow USA or Russia to make a regime change favoring them.
Whatever action Brazil takes or not take will directly influence their own territory in the next decade, also Chile's eventual problems since the battle for the Triple A includes crossing to their side of the ocean through the Andes. That will also put Argentina in a tough spot.
Venezuela's issues isn't just their own, the frontier with Brazil and Colombia has a value that is hard to calculate in numbers, like some trillion of dollars in resources.
On top of all that, Venezuela became a Narco state, literally not figuratively. Maduro is where many narco roots start and where others end. From Middle East to USA to South America, every respectful cartel (including USA DEA) has their representative in Venezuela.