- 12 Oct 2023 15:58
#15290663
I 've watched these.
It's extreme.
Confirms what I told you yesterday, that you are expecting Israel to accommodate the Palestinians.
It's never going to happen.
Possibilities:
1) The Western world imposes an international solution based on the pre-1967 borders. Estimated Probability for this to happen 0.1% or 1000/1 in my view.
2) The Muslim world forces peace terms with war. Estimated Probability is 5-10%(18/1-9/1) in my view.
3) Miracle(other)? Estimated Probability 0%(same as Covid?)
Regardless of that, Palestinian people require immediate evacuation to safety & security.
So do Israelis, near the theater of war.
A historical timeline of the Israel-Palestine Conflict.
Partition plans offered throughout the years:
1) 1937 British Partition Plan 20% Jewish 80% Arab - Accepted by Jews and rejected by Arabs.
2) 1947 UN Partition Plan 54% Jewish 46% Arab -Accepted by Jews, rejected by Arabs; Egypt, Syria, Jordan and Iraq declare war against Israel.
3) 1967, Egypt, Jordan and Syria declare new war. Egypt loses Gaza, Jordan loses the West Bank and Syria the Golan.
4) Israel offers these territories + East Jerusalem (except for the Golan) to a Palestinian state & in the Muslim conference of Sudan, the proposal gets rejected.
5) 1973 Yom Kippur war.
6) 2000, Barak & Arafat Oslo Accords, Gaza & 94% of West Bank + East Jerusalem are offered. 10-year long discussions are thwarted by Hamas suicide bombings for its outright rejection of the plan that cements itself in Gaza onwards.
7) 2008 Israeli soldiers evacuate Gaza.
8 ) 2023 Hamas with Hezbollah & Syria(?) are conducting guerilla & mortar operations while Israel keeps expanding in the West Bank, East Jerusalem and Golan.
The Arab-Muslim world has rejected all the partition plans put before them and even if Israel gave Gaza, West Bank and East Jerusalem, it would still not achieve peace as is quite evident.
So we go back to the Russian roulette. All-or-nothing hustle. Fasces called it the Albanian blood feud. More apt perhaps.
skinster wrote:Two documentaries on Gaza
I 've watched these.
It's extreme.
Confirms what I told you yesterday, that you are expecting Israel to accommodate the Palestinians.
It's never going to happen.
Possibilities:
1) The Western world imposes an international solution based on the pre-1967 borders. Estimated Probability for this to happen 0.1% or 1000/1 in my view.
2) The Muslim world forces peace terms with war. Estimated Probability is 5-10%(18/1-9/1) in my view.
3) Miracle(other)? Estimated Probability 0%(same as Covid?)
Regardless of that, Palestinian people require immediate evacuation to safety & security.
So do Israelis, near the theater of war.
A historical timeline of the Israel-Palestine Conflict.
Partition plans offered throughout the years:
1) 1937 British Partition Plan 20% Jewish 80% Arab - Accepted by Jews and rejected by Arabs.
2) 1947 UN Partition Plan 54% Jewish 46% Arab -Accepted by Jews, rejected by Arabs; Egypt, Syria, Jordan and Iraq declare war against Israel.
3) 1967, Egypt, Jordan and Syria declare new war. Egypt loses Gaza, Jordan loses the West Bank and Syria the Golan.
4) Israel offers these territories + East Jerusalem (except for the Golan) to a Palestinian state & in the Muslim conference of Sudan, the proposal gets rejected.
5) 1973 Yom Kippur war.
6) 2000, Barak & Arafat Oslo Accords, Gaza & 94% of West Bank + East Jerusalem are offered. 10-year long discussions are thwarted by Hamas suicide bombings for its outright rejection of the plan that cements itself in Gaza onwards.
7) 2008 Israeli soldiers evacuate Gaza.
8 ) 2023 Hamas with Hezbollah & Syria(?) are conducting guerilla & mortar operations while Israel keeps expanding in the West Bank, East Jerusalem and Golan.
The Arab-Muslim world has rejected all the partition plans put before them and even if Israel gave Gaza, West Bank and East Jerusalem, it would still not achieve peace as is quite evident.
So we go back to the Russian roulette. All-or-nothing hustle. Fasces called it the Albanian blood feud. More apt perhaps.
EN EL ED EM ON
...take your common sense with you, and leave your prejudices behind...
...take your common sense with you, and leave your prejudices behind...