- 31 Dec 2014 19:10
#14505053
A thought experiment.
You have access to a machine that allows you to access the past, make a specific change, and view the result as a branching timeline. As a controlled experiment you decide to choose specific "great men" to strangle at birth. Julius Caesar, for example, or whoever suits your fancy.
What would the cognate world you create be like? Excluding obvious minor differences of personalities, what would be the change in the general tenor of life?
I hypothesize that the great arc of history would be unchanged. It is forces that shape our world more than personalities; the longer your time perspective, the more character effects recede and forces loom large. We are persons, therefore we have a built-in cognitive bias in favor of personalities. We build a story, a narrative or history that enables us to understand our world; these narratives are built on characters, because a narrative built on impersonal forces would be boring.
Great men are at their core interchangeable. Biology constantly throws them up, like sperm. Most of the time they go to waste, because history has no place for them. US Grant is a perfect example; he was a failure in every aspect of life until an accident of history put him at the right place at the right time.
The old world is dying, and the new world struggles to be born: now is the time of monsters. -Antonio Gramsci