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In Pakistan, it's more of a country tearing itself apart between pretty much local ethnic groups, one of which is relatively well-funded known as the Taliban which has fundamentalist religious teachings based on Saudi Arabia's Wahhabist sect of Islam.
The Shia can probably stage Islamic revolution alot more successfully than sunnis could because they can easily rally around religious leadership, while sunnis have a very independent take on Islamic jurisprudence; they are less prone to the organization, leadership and popular support that require successful revolution.
Iran's revolution is also a warning to all socialists and communist groups that religious reformers working
"with you", especially Islamic reformers, can and will betray you.
It is a simple rule: political Islamists are pragmatic. Deal with them as you deal with politicians. Radical Islamists, on the other hand, never compromise. But they are too radical to accept any co-existent ideas at all.
I have to say that, despite of my disagreement with the tough way Taliban leads people, I can't deny that they used to have some positive points when they ruled Afghanistan during the 90's. Most of the time, they protected Afghanistan from the continuous fighting among war lords and squeezed them to some small part in the North. They also banned Opium. The same when fundamentalists ruled over Somalia. Still, the eternal problem is that they believe that applying the Sharia is the end of the story, they didn't try to develop their country (perhaps because they lack the knowledge to do so).
Many in the top echalons of the Pakistani military were placed there by Musharraf. He would have appointed men loyal to him and who hold similar ideals. The Pakistani military will oppose severe military action unless they can lead as they wish to, get credit for any success and blame the government should it fail, and will use either outcome as a means to further empower themselves. I dont see another Junta for a while though, they will wait (and perhaps Engineer) for failures to rock the current government.
With all this in mind, could there be a military coup, one which would perhaps preserve the old political structure of Pakistan, while at the same time revive the good relations between state and the people?
With leaders such as Zardari, Musharraf and Sharif, I fail to see how the Pakistani state can stand.
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