Saeko wrote:Middle Easterners do not control their oil in any way. If they do anything that the US deems against its interests, they will be destroyed, and the recent wars there prove that this is a credible threat.
This is the same thing as saying that nobody controls it. We control ME, by your 'logic', in precisely the same way Saddam controlled the oilfields of Kuwait. Our only point of leverage is the ability to destroy oil infrastructure, and that is one weak poker hand. If we destroy the oil, we don't get to use it (at least not for a long time, and at an enormously increased cost). The other point of leverage is even weaker: our ability to effect regime change. Regime change is a credible threat only to the extent you are able to control resulting outcome. We have proven again and again and again in the ME that we are unable to control the outcome. This is not brain surgery, all the relevant players know this.
The credible threat is zero. We were able only to create chaos, not control the situation to our advantage. The world has learned we can be resisted, and they will gladly face privation and chaos rather than surrender to foreign dictates (as would you, if the situation were reversed).
I don't advise you to sit a poker table. Your grasp of relative strength is nonexistent. The world today is filled with third-rate Machiavelli's who fancy themselves hard-headed realists, but who are in fact are romantic dreamers. Saddam, for example, or Victoria Nuland.
Oh, and that little comment about people not living in the real world...
You might want to remove the beam from your own eye.
The old world is dying, and the new world struggles to be born: now is the time of monsters. -Antonio Gramsci