The problem with the case against Cohen - Politics Forum.org | PoFo

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#15270186
The problem with the case against Cohen

In my view, this was part of the witch hunt against anyone in Trump's close circle of associates.
Yes, this guy may have been a slimy businessman and technically broke laws or done some unethical things, but I'm pretty sure the authorities would have never gone after him with an intense investigation, criminal charges, and intense legal vigour, if it had not been for their hatred of Trump.

In my opinion, this prosecution was mostly not justified. They were just looking for any legal excuses to prosecute him, to try to make Trump look bad by extension in the public eye, and maybe even pressure him to say something bad about Trump or testify against him. And part of it may have involved vengeance; if they couldn't get Trump they could at least get those who had been close to him, his former political allies.

Some will disagree with that view of course, so we can take a look at the details, and try to decide if this was really appropriate and legally justified. Wading into the legal matters can be pretty complicated though, probably more complicated than most of the public is willing devote the effort to.


First, a disclaimer. I'm not entirely familiar with the entire case against Cohen so I could be wrong about a number of things. If anyone has more information to add, please correct anything in this post that's wrong. The second thing, it's a kind of complicated case, so I won't be going into all the details, so a lot of this will be a vast oversimplification and summary.

Michael Cohen, Trump's former lawyer, was charged with multiple crimes and pled guilty. (Let's not forget that pleading guilty doesn't necessarily mean they were actually guilty)

As part of a plea bargain, Cohen pled guilty to 8 counts of campaign finance violations, tax fraud and bank fraud. Cohen is facing the possibility of 65 years in prison (which is the equivalent of a life sentence), though because he agreed to a plea bargain the prison sentence will likely be substantially less than that.

But now getting into the details... Charges under the law are one thing, but what did Cohen actually do to merit those charges against him?
Well, it turns out the actual connection between what the evidence shows he did and what all those charges are isn't the most clear.

First, the campaign finance violation charges. The law says that campaign money cannot be spent on "personal uses" and it if it goes into a corporation it has to be reported. This seems reasonable enough, because if donors contributed to a candidate's campaign they wouldn't want that money siphoned off for someone's own use, and the government wants to track where all the campaign spending goes to help determine whether there was excess spending against the rules. But the motivations behind these laws do not so obviously apply in this case.

Cohen paid $130,000 to a former porn star Stormy Daniels as hush money, to keep her quiet so there wouldn't be an embarrassing scandal for the Trump campaign. Paying someone money to keep quiet is not a violation of the law. However, Cohen was being paid out of the campaign finance funds for his legal services. Theoretically, if the funds were paid to Cohen for his legal services and then he paid Daniels out his own discretionary personal income, it would not be against the law. But in this case, it is alleged that Cohen was only being used as a conduit to channel campaign funds to Daniels. An important aspect to this was whether Trump authorized the payment. Cohen claims he did. A tape recording also supposedly exists recording Trump on the phone mentioning the payment to her.
(Of course, it could also be possible Cohen could be misrepresenting what Trump actually said so the prosecutor will be likely to take it easier on him so he will get a reduced prison sentence. The testimony of defendants who are facing long prison sentences is not always reliable when incentive exists mistruth to be told)

The law could be seen as a little bit vague with how it is being applied here.
The legal question is whether the payment to Daniels came out of campaign finance funds. That's not altogether an easy to define question. For one thing, Trump had paid Cohen before out of his private personal funds, and for a second thing it might be possible to argue that Cohen paid Daniels out of his own personal funds. The payoff to Daniels was only a fraction of the amount of money Cohen was being paid, and Cohen may have hoped to gain favor with Trump so he would continue to be employed by Trump later. It's even possible the payment could be seen Cohen simply wanting Trump to win the election, and spending the money out of his own personal pocket in furtherance of making that happen. If, hypothetically, Cohen had paid off a woman that he himself had been having an affair with, there wouldn't be any legal basis for the charges, even though that money was ultimately coming from campaign funds.

The other part of this is that the expenditure did not really represent "abuse" of the campaign money. It is easy to argue the money was spent in furtherance of the political campaign, because it is possible a scandal might have reduced the chance of Trump getting elected. In addition, in this case it's difficult to imagine the Trump supporters who donated to the campaign would not have approved of their money being spent to cover up a scandal. The campaign funds were not being misused or stolen. That is, even if it was technically against what the law says, the reasoning behind why that law was passed does not apply here. Viewed from one perspective, the violation Cohen was charged with stemmed from a legal technicality.

As for the government tracking where campaign money goes, it was already reported that the money went to Cohen (for his legal services), so whether or not that money was passed on to some other use, the government already knew that this particular amount of campaign funds had been spent. It's not like passing this money on to Daniels concealed the amount of campaign money being spent.

Moving on to the other charges, Cohen was also charged with tax fraud. Cohen received a lot of suspicious and highly ethically questionable payments from different corporations, supposedly for "consulting fees". (This isn't that uncommon of a practice, it's a similar situation for Hillary Clinton and Obama's wife) One of these consulting fees was especially high, $500,000 and came from an investment firm with indirect ties to a Russian billionaire. So it does look very suspicious and unethical. But from all the articles about this I've read through, I haven't seen any real tangible evidence that there was something that clearly constituted tax fraud. In other words, what Cohen did in relation to taking these payments was wrong, but not clearly illegal.

One of Cohen's partners in another business, Evgeny Freidman, is being charged with tax evasion in New York, and gave testimony against Cohen in exchange for a reduced prison sentence. (So, again, possibly not reliable because there was incentive to give false testimony)

So, in conclusion, it seems like the evidence and logic behind the charges against Cohen may not be the most clear. Or at least, nothing that I've read in any news article contains enough evidence that would justify these charges against Cohen, in my opinion, if I was the one deciding the case, although I can also see why a jury might choose to have convicted.

It is believed the prosecutor, Mueller, probably wanted to get a conviction so that he could pressure Cohen to give testimony that could be used against Trump. So there is a very strong ulterior motive behind the prosecution of Cohen.

The one tangible bit of evidence I have read is that Cohen may have misrepresented his financial situation to get loans from banks. Part of this stems from what is sort of a technicality regarding "owner occupancy" in one of the apartments he owned, and the evidence for the rest comes from the testimony of his accountant who, no surprise, gave testimony against Cohen in exchange for immunity (to avoid being prosecuted himself).
Some punishment would be appropriate for this, in my opinion, but it doesn't seem like the strongest case.
#15270231
Puffer Fish wrote:it doesn't seem like the strongest case

Cohen, a lawyer, must have thought it was strong enough.


:lol:
#15270233
ingliz wrote:Cohen, a lawyer, must have thought it was strong enough.

:lol:

It doesn't have to be strong, it only has to be strong enough.

There just has to be a decent chance he might get convicted.

If it went to trial and he got convicted on any one of those charges, he'd probably spend as much time in prison as he would if he just pled guilty to all the charges. That's why prosecutors try to throw as many charges as they can against a defendant, when the case is not the strongest. That's how prosecutors coerce people into pleading guilty.
#15270237
Puffer Fish wrote:convicted

Given that the evidence would have been tested by a jury of his peers and the defendant (Cohen) found guilty beyond a reasonable doubt, what's the problem?


:lol:
Last edited by ingliz on 02 Apr 2023 19:54, edited 1 time in total.
#15270277
@Puffer Fish in one thread complains about how the one group is authoritarian, then proceeds to excuse and support a group of people that are authoritarians. :knife:

Puffer Fish is a dangerous person.
#15270280
Rancid wrote:[usermention=78568]

Puffer Fish is a dangerous person.



Puffy is not at all a dangerous person. A detective looks for means, motive and opportunity.

Puffy doesn't seem to be a part of any organisation. He is not happy, but appears to lack the emotions that lead to violence, or even political activity. Then there's the question of opportunity. He never talks about stuff he does. If he was doing something political, he'd talk about it. So is there opportunity? Kinda doubt it.

He is flirting with the Extreme Right, but he's not the type to become a Fight Club Fascist.
Last edited by late on 02 Apr 2023 17:49, edited 1 time in total.
#15270282
ingliz wrote:

Given that the evidence would have been tested by a jury of his peers and the defendant {Cohen) found guilty beyond a reasonable doubt, what's the problem?




The problem is Trump hired good lawyers who will fight for every inch. The good news is that the judge has already ruled out of bounds most of the arguments the defense wants to use.

Trump is clearly guilty. But the good guys don't always win. The defense will likely maintain the intent was to keep the affair from ruining his marriage. The idea is absurd, but with juries, you never know.
#15270287
late wrote:
Puffy is not at all a dangerous person. A detective looks for means, motive and opportunity.

Puffy doesn't seem to be a part of any organisation. He is not happy, but appears to lack the emotions that lead to violence, or even political activity. Then there's the question of opportunity. He never talks about stuff he does. If he was doing something political, he'd talk about it. So is there opportunity? Kinda doubt it.

He is flirting with the Extreme Right, but he's not the type to become a Fight Club Fascist.


Fair point that he's mostly harmless at this time. However, if he continues to go down the far right rabbit hole he is embarking on, he could eventually become a problem.

Puffy also strikes me as one of those man-o-sphere followers. The kind of guys that bitch and moan about how terrible modern women are, but never actually interact with women in any meaningful way to begin with, so they just make shit up about women.

These people have the potential to become very dangerous to society.
#15270294
Rancid wrote:
Fair point that he's mostly harmless at this time. However, if he continues to go down the far right rabbit hole he is embarking on, he could eventually become a problem.

Puffy also strikes me as one of those man-o-sphere followers. The kind of guys that bitch and moan about how terrible modern women are, but never actually interact with women in any meaningful way to begin with, so they just make shit up about women.

These people have the potential to become very dangerous to society.



He's here, which means he's not ingesting a diet of pure BS. One can hope he notices the things he says turn out to be wrong most of the time.

Hopefully some gal will take mercy on him.
#15270298
@late

Where does your hypothetical 'you never know' jury come into play in the case against Cohen? Cohen decided to plead guilty and turn cooperating witness.


:?:
#15270316
ingliz wrote:Given that the evidence would have been tested by a jury of his peers and the defendant (Cohen) found guilty beyond a reasonable doubt, what's the problem? :lol:

For one thing, a jury in that area would likely be extremely biased and be looking for any excuse to be able to convict him, would want to see him convicted. His real "crime" being his association with Trump.

Ironically, the city where Trump comes from (and where his circle of acquaintances comes from, including Cohen) probably hates him more than any other city in the country. (This is a strange coincidence, did not start until 2016 when Trump ran for presidential election as the Republican candidate)
#15270322
ingliz wrote:
@late

Where does your hypothetical 'you never know' jury come into play in the case against Cohen? Cohen decided to plead guilty and turn cooperating witness.




It doesn't, Cohen plead guilty. But one bad juror can screw things up.
#15270604
late wrote:It doesn't, Cohen plead guilty.

But you realise that a person pleading guilty doesn't automatically mean they are guilty, right?

(I don't mean to accuse you specifically, but there are a lot of people stupid and naive enough to not realise that)

There's often a big penalty in the American legal system for insisting on the right to a jury trial, and that penalty is a huge amount more punishment, if you're found guilty.

It's common to be sent to prison for more time if you're found guilty of even one criminal charge, than you if just plead guilty to all five criminal charges the prosecutor has brought against you.
Situations like that are really common.


According to Cohen's former legal adviser Robert Costello, Michael Cohen said he would 'do whatever it takes' to avoid jail.
"I will do whatever the f*** I have to do, I will never spend one day in jail."

This could have included pleading guilty if he thought it would result in much less prison time.
Or saying whatever damaging things against Trump he thought the prosecutor wanted to hear.
#15270611
Puffer Fish wrote:
But you realise that a person pleading guilty doesn't automatically mean they are guilty, right?

(I don't mean to accuse you specifically, but there are a lot of people stupid and naive enough to not realise that)

There's often a big penalty in the American legal system for insisting on the right to a jury trial, and that penalty is a huge amount more punishment, if you're found guilty.

It's common to be sent to prison for more time if you're found guilty of even one criminal charge, than you if just plead guilty to all five criminal charges the prosecutor has brought against you.
Situations like that are really common.


According to Cohen's former legal adviser Robert Costello, Michael Cohen said he would 'do whatever it takes' to avoid jail.
"I will do whatever the f*** I have to do, I will never spend one day in jail."

This could have included pleading guilty if he thought it would result in much less prison time.
Or saying whatever damaging things against Trump he thought the prosecutor wanted to hear.



You've assumed your conclusion.
#15270617
Puffer Fish wrote:But you realise that a person pleading guilty doesn't automatically mean they are guilty, right?

(I don't mean to accuse you specifically, but there are a lot of people stupid and naive enough to not realise that)

There's often a big penalty in the American legal system for insisting on the right to a jury trial, and that penalty is a huge amount more punishment, if you're found guilty.


It does, though.

If you go on TV and say "I like to have sex with children and think it should be legal" it doesn't matter whether or not you actually believe that in your heart of hearts.
#15270737
Fasces wrote:It does, though.

If you go on TV and say "I like to have sex with children and think it should be legal" it doesn't matter whether or not you actually believe that in your heart of hearts.

That's a mistaken assumption though.
I can't believe people can be so ignorant and naive that I have to explain this to you.

Pleading guilty DOES NOT mean that the person is admitting guilt and telling the world they did that crime.

Did this thought ever occur to you? Why do you think anyone pleads guilty? Why do you think 98 percent of U.S. federal cases involve the defendant pleading guilty?

The system punishes people if they do not plead guilty. They get more prison time.

Now, tell us, why do you think pleading guilty would be equal to an admission of guilt if the person knows they are likely to get more prison time if they do plead guilty?

That's kind of a little bit like a confession under torture, isn't it?
#15270744
Puffer Fish wrote: Pleading guilty DOES NOT mean that the person is admitting guilt and telling the world they did that crime.


It literally is. They are literally signing a document telling the world they committed that crime.

Maybe they actually didn't, but they are absolutely claiming they did.

There is such a thing in the US as an "Alford plea" wherein a party pleas guilty but explicitly maintains innocence. Did Cohen submit an "Alford plea"? Nope.
#15270998
Fasces wrote:There is such a thing in the US as an "Alford plea" wherein a party pleas guilty but explicitly maintains innocence. Did Cohen submit an "Alford plea"? Nope.

It's not that simple as you make it out to be.

An "Alford plea" isn't really an official thing.

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