Are There Too Many People? And Can Fiction Help Us? - Page 2 - Politics Forum.org | PoFo

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Pollution, global warming, urbanisation etc.
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#14519152
All of the arguments against limiting population have the same theme;
"We will figure out something. We have not figured it out yet, but I hope we will, so let's keep having children."

Would it not be simpler to not have so many children?
#14519524
One Degree wrote:Would it not be simpler to not have so many children?


We've already been going this way. The average number of births in the world has decreased over the past 60 years from 35.3 children/1000 people to 20.1 children/1000 people. Population growth is expected to level out over the next century, resulting in a population of around 11 billion.
http://data.un.org/Data.aspx?q=world+po ... crID%3A900
Last edited by Jim4120 on 01 Feb 2015 18:23, edited 1 time in total.
#14519562
One Degree wrote:You are quoting one of three scenarios the UN projects.


Actually, the only part of my that I pulled from the UN source I linked to was the data from 1960-2010 that showed the declining birth rate.

But the UN does have different possibilities. However, there's a >80% likelihood that population rates will either level out or start declining over the next century.

Image
http://i.guim.co.uk/static/w-620/h--/q- ... ilable.png
#14519571
The only problem I have with the UN's figures is they are based upon a very short trend period that has no historical equivalent.

No one knows if the trend will continue.

I believe we need to actively keep people aware of the danger to our environment from over population, even if we manage to achieve a balanced population.

I don't have the source handy, but we are using 18 months of the earth's resources every 12 months now. The scenario will be much worse with 11 billion people.
#14519596
http://www.footprintnetwork.org/en/inde ... shoot_day/


http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/ ... th-ran-out

Here are two that both refer to overshoot day. The day of the year that we have used up the renewable resources the earth can replenish in a year.
#14519611
One Degree wrote:http://www.footprintnetwork.org/en/index.php/GFN/page/earth_overshoot_day


This is a measure of our "Global Footprint," which is not just when "we have used up the renewable resources the earth can replenish in a year," but rather
its ability to replenish the planet’s resources and absorb waste, including CO2

http://www.footprintnetwork.org/images/ ... eneral.pdf

Most of the "footprint" in the report comes from Carbon, and its pollution-causing effects. Without the carbon, or with reduced carbon, we would or could be well below the line of "world capacity."
http://www.footprintnetwork.org/images/ ... Report.pdf

A more useful measure of the earth's ability to support more people would be to take away the measure of absorbing carbon, and then we could better see how much of our renewable resources we are consuming each year. This is especially true as we are generally heading towards getting away from using carbon as an energy source, which will greatly reduce this burden on the environment. Again, this is a look at the environment as a whole, not just what percentage of the world's natural resources we are using each year. This also doesn't take into account improvements in technology that, for example, leads to less land used to produce more food, as the data in the study is based upon land use, not actual resource totals.

One Degree wrote:http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/139832/carter-roberts/the-day-the-earth-ran-out


This article cites the first as its source, so the same problems apply.
#14698041
Until the industrial evolution in the 19th Century, the planet could cope with approximately 2 Billion people without any harmful effects. Since then the Earth's population has grown to over 7 Billion and widespread environmental damage has become the norm. Hundreds of Flora and Fauna species have become extinct and this process is speeding up at an alarming rate. It has been proposed by scientists, that many species will vanish before we even know they existed.

Global climate change is already patently obvious to those who see. Storms, floods, droughts and unseasonal weather are becoming more frequent and severe. IMHO this trend is now irreversible - we dug our own graves. Now we have to live with it.
#14710089
The more CO2 we dump into the atmosphere via fossil fuel burning, the greater the probability that a catastrophic collapse of oxygen-producing phytoplankton populations because of rising temperatures. Should such occur, the number of people who can survive maybe those lucky few who find homes in hermetically sealed domed colonies on a planet with an unbreathable atmosphere.

"...“By 2100, the earth at sea level could have atmospheric oxygen levels comparable to the top of Mount Everest today. And as far as I know, people cannot normally stay on Everest without oxygen masks for more than a few minutes,” Petrovskii said.

Professor Petrovskii explained: “Global warming has been a focus of attention of science and politics for about two decades now. A lot has been said about its expected disastrous consequences; perhaps the most notorious is the global flooding that may result from melting of Antarctic ice if the warming exceeds a few degrees compared to the pre-industrial level. However, it now appears that this is probably not even close to the biggest danger that the warming can cause to the humanity.”
..."

http://russgeorge.net/2016/06/17/plankt ... f-century/
#14804986
Just how I interpreted the phrase. Figment is generally used to speak of something that's not real. Thought is considered to have real impact. Just semantics. I could go with us being the result of God's imagination, as you're using the word.

I'm getting the ultimate point of your posts here to be that our planet and the life on it can't really exist in the universe as it is, yet does. Am I off?

.
#14806096
oscar wrote:The more CO2 we dump into the atmosphere via fossil fuel burning, the greater the probability that a catastrophic collapse of oxygen-producing phytoplankton populations because of rising temperatures. Should such occur, the number of people who can survive maybe those lucky few who find homes in hermetically sealed domed colonies on a planet with an unbreathable atmosphere.

"...“By 2100, the earth at sea level could have atmospheric oxygen levels comparable to the top of Mount Everest today. And as far as I know, people cannot normally stay on Everest without oxygen masks for more than a few minutes,” Petrovskii said.

Professor Petrovskii explained: “Global warming has been a focus of attention of science and politics for about two decades now. A lot has been said about its expected disastrous consequences; perhaps the most notorious is the global flooding that may result from melting of Antarctic ice if the warming exceeds a few degrees compared to the pre-industrial level. However, it now appears that this is probably not even close to the biggest danger that the warming can cause to the humanity.”
..."

http://russgeorge.net/2016/06/17/plankt ... f-century/

What an absurd load of bollocks. This is like something some junior high school student might dream up.
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