The Uninhabitable Earth - Page 7 - Politics Forum.org | PoFo

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Pollution, global warming, urbanisation etc.
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#14823324
SolarCross wrote:There is a consistent pattern in the alarmists of cherry picking data

Give me an example of when they cherry picked.

SolarCross wrote:Warming will result in more evaporation, which means more clouds which means a greater albedo index reflecting solar radiation away from earth cooling it.
This is compensated by the fact the water vapor is a green house gas.

Before man made climate change it was the coming ice age.
Because models were poor in the 80s. Now we have much better models


Finally, I challenge you to post a peer-reviewed article in a major journal that supports your position
User avatar
By Saeko
#14823327
SolarCross wrote:Sure it is was hotter, a shit ton hotter than today, i already posted a graph of temperature changes across geological time, you should take a look. The point is that was before life got going effectively terraforming the earth. Our planet isn't a dead ball of rock in space anymore but populated by adaptive organisms instead. These adaptive organisms make for dampening effects to the release of CO2 which mitigate the relationship between the temperature and CO2 levels.

There are more dampening factors besides the biosphere, that are neglected in the models of the alarmists. Warming will result in more evaporation, which means more clouds which means a greater albedo index reflecting solar radiation away from earth cooling it. The alarmists talk about the a reduced albedo from melting polar ice but ignore the increased albedo of more cloud cover.

There is a consistent pattern in the alarmists of cherry picking data and theories to produce a doomsday scenario whilst ignoring everything that suggests a less than apocalyptic outcome. In the end it is a revival of doomsday psychology, as seen in prior doomsday cults.

Climate change is just the latest in a long line of doomsday cults including: Planet Niburu, Mayan Calendar, Y2K bug, Late stage Capitalism and all those spawned by the book Revelations.


The dampening effects from the biosphere are miniscule.

The increase in albedo from clouds is irrelevant. While they are highly reflective of visible light, clouds are also extremely absorptive in the infrared spectrum (which is what counts).

Climate change is just the latest in a long line of doomsday cults including: Planet Niburu, Mayan Calendar, Y2K bug, Late stage Capitalism and all those spawned by the book Revelations.


None of these things were supported by any scientists or scientific theories.
#14823334
Suntzu wrote:The science is settled.Damned models just won't cooperate.
Says the person who I doubt has read a single journal article on the topic. Why do 97% of all scientists and 99% of qualified scientists accept climate change?
#14823335
MememyselfandIJK wrote:Says the person who I doubt has read a single journal article on the topic. Why do 97% of all scientists and 99% of qualified scientists accept climate change?


Have you got a credible source that 97% of scientists are doomsday cultists? (former president Obama's imagination doesn't count as a credible source).
User avatar
By Wellsy
#14823337
One Degree wrote:@Wellsy

As I mentioned in another thread, our primary goal should be the future survival of our species and not serving the needs of the current citizens. What does it matter in the scheme of things if I starve to death or am euthanized? My living standard level will have no impact on my view of how important my life was. As we get close to the end of our lives, I believe most of us start wondering what legacy we have left. We realize our life was only important if it contributed to a better future for our children, which requires a better life for our species. If my death, or my having not been born, is the best way to contribute to that, then my life had meaning. Yes, even if I did not actually have a life.
Therefore, I do not adhere to the Marxist view because it is based too much on the people now.
Hope that we will accomplish all these wonderful things as we allow our population to continue to increase so everything will be fine, to me, is the worst possible denial of our reality. It simply can not happen. Our past efforts show it is not going to happen, and it guarantees the destruction of our civilizations to continue to try.

As far as immigration, since the population has already surpassed a level where I believe we can even control that in time, then our only alternative is to demand the people in each area find their own means of survival. It will come down to protecting your own resources for survival, so to allow immigration is very misguided since the lower your population density, the greater your chance of survival.

The over population deniers always point to our technology to not only save us, but bring everyone up to the same standard of living. What is our biggest economic complaint right now? "Fewer and fewer people possessing all the wealth." Does that look like we are solving our problems? It is simply denial of reality, because reducing population is not 'morally' right. Nothing like being a morally correct extinct species.


How can you have a relation with nature when you are covering it with concrete to meet the needs of too many people.

If survival of the species is the goal then I believev you should be totally preoccupied with our mode of production because there won't be survival the way things are heading. If you read the catastrophic predictions within the OP, the entire planet is going to be fucked. It thus seems strange to think one escapes it by existing in a smaller density, the title itself hints at this notion, 'The Uninhabitable Earth'.
And the statement, what does it matter if I live or die (starve, euthanized) is a rather life denying than affirming, and I'm not big on sacrifice as it it is facile and empty to the necessary struggle to affirm one's existence and well being.
http://d-scholarship.pitt.edu/10867/1/VWills_ETD_2011.pdf
Spoiler: show
3.5 MORALISM, SACRIFICE AND UTOPIA

In his writings after The German Ideology, Marx continues to draw the distinction between a rational assessment of how the needs of human beings can best be satisfied, and a moralistic call for self-sacrifice. As I will argue in the present section, one of the most important aspects of this distinction is how the two approaches must rely on different modes of motivation. The scientific communism developed by Marx depends on a correct assessment of the real needs of existing persons, and aims to show rationally how the needs of people can be satisfied through effective political action and revolutionary activity. On the other hand, utopianism relies upon mere moralism—emotional appeals designed to make up for the fact that utopianism lacks the resources to have motivational force on a rational basis. Critiques of moralism play a key role in Marx's arguments against the “True Socialists,” utopian socialists who rely upon the pronouncement of moral edicts to make up for their lack of a concrete political program by means of which socialism could be realized. This distinction between scientific communism—a theory derived using the method of historical materialism—and Utopianism is brought to bear most clearly in a document that Marx wrote with Engels, titled “Circular against Kriege,” which is a critique of the practices of Hermann Kriege, a member of the International Workingmen's Association. Here, I will explain Marx and Engels' criticisms of Kriege, and how these criticisms shed light upon Marx's approach to morality.

Hermann Kriege was the editor of a German-language journal titled Der Volks-Tribun. Der Volks-Tribun was produced and distributed in New York, with the aim of representing the principles of the International Workingmen's Association (now widely referred to as “The First International”) to communists in the United States. Under Kriege's tenure as editor, the line of the journal began to deviate away from scientific communism and towards utopianism and moralism, making irrational appeals to emotion in order to convince readers to take up the cause of communism. Finally, the editorial line of Der Volks-Tribun veered so sharply away from the principles of the organization it was supposed to represent, that Marx and Engels introduced a set of resolutions to a meeting of the First International, denouncing Kriege for what they referred to as the “fantastic emotionalism” he put forward under the guise of communism. These resolutions constitute the aforementioned circular.

A particularly important piece of evidence in their case against Kriege is Kriege's enthusiastic promotion of self-sacrifice as a value for communists (“Circular Against Kriege”, MECW 6:45). Instead of arguing for the coincidence of every person's self-interest with the interest of humanity, Kriege posits a moral sacrifice of setting one's own interests aside for the good of “others” who will benefit from a transition to socialism. This notion of sacrifice, of setting one's own interests aside, is totally at odds with Marxism, which argues that all human beings have an objective interest in the realization of a communist society. Kriege argues for communism not as an answer to the problems that are facing human beings, but rather as a moral imperative to be realized out of a sense of one's duty to humanity. It does precisely what, as we saw in the previous chapter, critics such as Max Stirner accused communism of doing—it posits “the common good,” or “humanity” as an abstraction that demands sacrifices from real, concrete, human individuals, and thereby only replicates alienation in a different form, rather than abolishing it.

The argument becomes yet clearer when Marx and Engels strike their final blow against the “sacrificing” Kriege (“Circular Against Kriege”, MECW 6:49). Marx criticizes Kriege because he expects to be praised for sacrificing himself for the good of others, instead of seeing revolutionary activity as something that he carries out for his own benefit as well as that of others. As Kriege writes to the reader of Der Volks-Tribun, “We have other things to do than worry about our miserable selves, we belong to mankind.” Marx replies:

With this shameful and nauseating grovelling before a “mankind” that is separate and distinct from the “self “ and which is therefore a metaphysical and in his case even a religious fiction, with what is indeed the most utterly “miserable” slavish self-abasement, this religion ends up like any other. Such a doctrine, preaching the voluptuous pleasure of cringing and self-contempt, is entirely suited to valiant — monks, but never to men of action, least of all in a time of struggle. It only remains for these valiant monks to castrate their “miserable selves” and thereby provide sufficient proof of their confidence in the ability of “mankind” to reproduce itself! — If Kriege has nothing better to offer than these sentimentalities in pitiful style, it would indeed be wiser for him to translate his “Père Lamennais” again and again in each issue of the Volks-Tribun. (“Circular Against Kriege”, MECW 6:49)

Marx and Engels accuse Kriege of misrepresenting communism as “a religion of love” (“Circular Against Kriege”, MECW 6:46), rather than presenting it as a science of human progress and development, because to follow Kriege's reasoning would be essentially to take up a religious attitude towards humanity as a new god rendered into pseudo-materialist terms. We do not “belong to mankind,” to which we must constantly sacrifice our individual self-interest. One should be “worried about oneself”--it is in fact this concern with oneself and one's own circumstances that can be linked together with an argument for rational social control over society's resources. There is no need for a moral leap across some perceived gap between one's self-interest and the general interest of society

Marx and Engels are quite clear in separating their own theory from Kriege's moralistic grandstanding. The point of communism is not for people to stop “worrying about themselves.” Although Marx does not refer to “alienation” here, his comments here on sacrifice relate directly to the problem of alienation. To sacrifice oneself, after all, is to alienate oneself from oneself, to give oneself over to a being that is separate, for the satisfaction of aims that are considered more important than one's own. Marx does not think human progress can be aided by human beings denying themselves, but rather, by human beings seeking their satisfaction and fulfillment. So what Kriege presents is not communist practice, but rather, as Marx and Engels call it, “a religion of love,” an irrational and emotionalist call to self-alienation. Without a material link between self-interest and the general interest, Kriege retreats to an irrational appeal to emotion to make individuals do what is necessary for “society,” an entity whose interests are imagined to be opposed to their own.

And I don't believe, what ever the Marxist position is said to be, is concerned only with people in the present as its in fact quite concerned with the temporal/historical nature of things and puts real existing people in relation to both past and the possible future.

And indeed, it's not enough to hope for such things, but it seems that you're already hopeless and already predict our self destruction, to which I can understand the pessimism but its a suicidal paralysis. I think this recent post makes it clearer that you aren't concerned with a possible solution, because as I noted earlier, it seems you in fact reject the possibility of it being addressed. And thus have resigned to our self destruction as an inevitability to which we must prepared by having less people in order to best survive, though i believe it's dubious anyone will survive such conditions in the long term so I don't know what you imagine would be preserved.
And though this is for the contxt of capitalism itself, I think this is an illuminating point of the sort of paradox your point finds itself in.
https://www.guernicamag.com/john_berger_7_15_11/
The authorities do their systematic best to keep fellow prisoners misinformed about what is happening elsewhere in the world prison. They do not, in the aggressive sense of the term, indoctrinate. Indoctrination is reserved for the training of the small élite of traders and managerial and market experts. For the mass prison population the aim is not to activate them, but to keep them in a state of passive uncertainty, to remind them remorselessly that there is nothing in life but risk, and that the earth is an unsafe place.

This is done with carefully selected information, with misinformation, commentaries, rumors, fictions. Insofar as the operation succeeds, it proposes and maintains a hallucinating paradox, for it tricks a prison population into believing that the priority for each one of them is to make arrangements for their own personal protection and to acquire somehow, even though incarcerated, their own particular exemption from the common fate. This image of mankind as transmitted through a view of the world is truly without precedent. Mankind is presented as a coward; only winners are brave. In addition, there are no gifts; there are only prizes.

This isn't something that some of us escape, we're all in it. From your position I would imagine it more reasonable to contemplate some acceptance of an inevitable death of humanity than what seems to be an amazing hope of the continuous of the species in spite of such catastrophe.

The standard of living is a vague term in that quite often its put on par with the consumerism of Americans to which much of the lifestyle is over the top consumerism for the economy's sake.
Which again is why the point comes that a revolution not only in mode of production but the very economy is necessary because capitalist economy simply doesn't have the capacity to not be so wasteful even in developing technologies.
Indeed the problem hasn't been solve, the concentration of wealth is a inherent tendency within capitalism, which again speaks to the problems within society that warrant extreme and conscious intervention from humanity if it wants to survive.
And with our current means everyone could live a reasonable standard of living that wasn't as wasteful in the interests of the economy but merely of human needs as capitalism alienates people from seeing that they are the ones with agency an that the commodities of the market don't rule over as a natural force.
And again, I don't think its about denying that the population plays a part, but simply your emphasis on the population is insignificant to the problem at hand, fewer people wouldn't solve the problem. And as mentioned earlier, it seems you don't seem to even believe in the possibility of the solution being solved which is why your ideal culling of the population is a contingency for a perpetuation of the species post everything going to shit rather than a pre-preemptive attempt to divert things from the direction they're in.
It's not about a question of the morality of population reduction but rather your emphasis on it doesn't address the issue and as stated by yourself is merely preparation for an expectation shit storm that somehow people are going to survive and not focused on the possibility of steering things in avoidance of the shit storm. Thus your depopulation sentiment isn't a solution to anything, it's a contingency plan for failure.
stuffed.

I don't believe it's concrete that is threatening our existence in the disruption of the planet's climate.
But human beings are part of nature, even our supposedly non-natural things are but extensions of the unique nature of humans which is our labor as a transformation of nature and ourselves.
http://d-scholarship.pitt.edu/10867/1/VWills_ETD_2011.pdf
Spoiler: show
Marx argues that the essence of human existence is the labor process, in which human beings intervene consciously and purposively into the natural world and the processes unfolding within it, as well as intervening into their own relationship to nature and into their own relationships to other human beings.
...
Unlike animals, which engage in their animal behaviors unconsciously and instinctively, human beings are what Marx calls “species-beings.” They possess and operate under a conception of themselves as a species. Humans can understand what necessary conditions must be fulfilled in order for their species to survive and, more than that, to thrive and to realize its capacities. More than this, human beings can also produce in accordance with the standards of any other species. They are able to understand the needs of another species and provide for that species accordingly, in such a way as to promote and direct the processes of nutrition, growth, and reproduction that occur within it. Humans can also produce in accordance with abstractions such as beauty (as when they produce art). Marx explains the difference between animal activity and human activity thus:

The animal is immediately one with its life activity; it is that activity. Man makes his life activity itself an object of his will and consciousness. He has conscious life activity. It is not a determination with which he directly merges. Conscious life activity directly distinguishes man from animal life activity. Only because of that is he a species-being15 . (“Estranged Labour,” MECW 3:276)

Human nature is not a ghostly something that exists in the heart of every man or that “stands behind” the myriad appearances of human existence. Rather, it is what is common to the wide range of appearances that human activity can take on. Hence, Marx can write that “the essence of man is no abstraction inherent in each single individual. In its reality it is the ensemble of the social relations” (Theses on Feuerbach, MECW 5:7). In order to determine the essence of human existence, Marx assesses a concrete totality of determinate instances of human activity and social relations, analyzing them to determine what is common to each of those instances.

Human nature is, according to Marx, that complex of human activity taken as a whole. It is therefore dynamic, constantly developing and being transformed as human beings act and produce in different ways16. As Marx writes in Capital, in “acting on the external world and changing it, [man] at the same time changes his own nature.” Out of this concrete totality of human activities and social relations, it is possible to develop an abstraction which is valid for each of these concrete appearances. That abstraction is the labor process as the conscious intervention of human beings into the world, setting causal processes into motion in order to realize ends that they first posit in thought. Marx argues that this teleological realizing of ends is the essence of human existence; it is what separates human beings from other forms of life17 and it is the basis out of which human existence develops in its diverse and dynamic appearance.

And I think you should look to the principle from the quote and think on it some
But to return to our theme, the bitter truth is that those human actions which violate the laws of nature, the harmony of the biosphere, threaten to bring disaster and this disaster may turn out to be universal. How apt then are the words of ancient Oriental wisdom: live closer to nature, my friends, and its eternal laws will protect you!

The idea being that we bring our mode of production closer into harmony with the nature of the world's functions. Which is exactly what the rising environmentalism and criticisms of old industry has been about, a fetter on using things that aren't as disruptive to the balance to still satisfy human want and need. At the very least, the steps towards say changing our energy production would go a long way in improving our current mode of production and impact on the environment. Such is a starting point without necessarily writing out some grand plan of how to totally annihilate all environmental impact, that which can be considered significantly detrimental and worthwhile removing. I suppose i'm thinking that should see the particularities of our current production as something we've refined from production we developed during the industrial revolution and thus we haven't really revolutionized our production itself in a while and so we've been enhancing our old industries and making them bigger when now it's becoming more apparent that we can step away from those old industries. This is why its such a big political issue in my country to get something as measly as a carbon tax, because of the stranglehold of coal energy. And whilst not all the countries as able to tap into things in a similar way, like some produce much of their energy from geothermal stuff, there are certain things that can be improved upon and mass produced to satisfy the current needs and want of countries if we so compelled ourselves. It's not as if its an impossibility to change things, it'll just be very hard to do so until theres something to help topple the old powerful industries that control government policies. To which its more complicated than that but an important part of our current stagnancy.
It means a radical change of life, where our old selves must die with old ways in order to adapt to new needs.
Spoiler: show
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dQMeVLHqL0&t=335s

And whilst it may be that we simply destroy ourselves, we're still at a stage where it's not yet determined.
The future isn't strictly determined, it has certain probable determinations but things can change them.
#14823340
@SolarCross National Review denies climate change and does not defend vaccines (instead supporting anti vaxxer's right to choose). Its hardly pro science
#14823342
@Wellsy
I have not given up on a solution, but my responses on the site are limited to what I believe the key points are. I am simply not a writer and I get lost in my own thoughts when trying to write a lengthy response that would fully explain what I mean. I also believe no one would want to read it, so this requires a lot of misinterpretation due to my brevity.
We seem to agree that Capitalism as excessive consumerism is the main culprit. The citizens of the major Capitalist countries have controlled their populations. The citizens of the major Capitalist countries have not even began to make the changes we need in production and consumption. So my choice of population control is made from pragmatism. It is the most likely method of receiving the support of Capitalist countries. Capitalist are in control and a solution requiring their removal from control will not happen in time to be a viable solution.
Our best chance of buying time for the other changes is in population control and reduced immigration to first world countries. Your changes will not come for a very long time and maybe never. Should we sit and wait or should we do what we can do. Yes, Capitalist will fight population reduction but they made the mistake of allowing it with their own citizens because they could use immigration. This provides the political loophole needed to support a solution.

Edit: The best way to defeat Capitalism is to deprive them of unlimited labor and ever growing population markets.
#14823349
Suntzu wrote:To put it bluntly, I don't give a fuck if the climate is changing or not. It surely won't affect me. I plan on cutting back when Algore does.


Whoa, careful not to cut yourself on those edges.
#14823378
Suntzu wrote:To put it bluntly, I don't give a fuck if the climate is changing or not. It surely won't affect me. I plan on cutting back when Algore does.

Yeah, I think most people who are in favor of doing something about climate change have realized that those that don't figure that they won't be affected by it even if it's real anyway. What does an old man care about the future generations when they have already done everything important that they are going to do in life? That's why I'm in favor of age limits for voting and politicians. After a certain point, your only motivation is to extract more out of the system or keep more of your money from the system as is humanly possible.

Young people still have more to do in life and more of an uncertainty about their own future, so they're more willing to put themselves in the shoes of others. That's why we can see the importance in preventing climate change, even if we won't be directly affected. We know that our direct descendants might face the horror of climate change and it scares us. It certainly scares me.
User avatar
By Wellsy
#14823394
One Degree wrote:@Wellsy
I have not given up on a solution, but my responses on the site are limited to what I believe the key points are. I am simply not a writer and I get lost in my own thoughts when trying to write a lengthy response that would fully explain what I mean. I also believe no one would want to read it, so this requires a lot of misinterpretation due to my brevity.
We seem to agree that Capitalism as excessive consumerism is the main culprit. The citizens of the major Capitalist countries have controlled their populations. The citizens of the major Capitalist countries have not even began to make the changes we need in production and consumption. So my choice of population control is made from pragmatism. It is the most likely method of receiving the support of Capitalist countries. Capitalist are in control and a solution requiring their removal from control will not happen in time to be a viable solution.
Our best chance of buying time for the other changes is in population control and reduced immigration to first world countries. Your changes will not come for a very long time and maybe never. Should we sit and wait or should we do what we can do. Yes, Capitalist will fight population reduction but they made the mistake of allowing it with their own citizens because they could use immigration. This provides the political loophole needed to support a solution.

Edit: The best way to defeat Capitalism is to deprive them of unlimited labor and ever growing population markets.


tl;dr answer: If one can achieve what you want, it's just as possible to achieve what I'm aiming at, because it still requires overcoming powers as they presently exist within our global capitalist economy. As such, might as well aim for a solution rather than a minimization. Not that neither of us are actively achieving this ourselves, but I think at least in theory, it makes for a sound point to forget about this population stuff as it doesn't hold much reason to be included beyond the minimial extent of saying it could play a part in minimizing. To which the issue seems beyond considerations of merely minimizing but removing entirely certain things at present.


Well with consumerism I was speaking to how with the rise of monopoly capitalism corporations are too big to rely on human want and thus stimulate want in the population in order to maintain stable demand rather than fluctuation which is merely to satisfy profit and not human needs as expected to capitalism. So it expands but its also incredibly wasteful in ways that need not be supported as we could more consciously directed human labour to satisfy human needs and wants more directly rather than treating market relations as a natural force upon us rather than being an alienation of human relations.
Consumerism is just a particular outcome of modern capitalism.

Indeed, there has been minuscule initiative from a lot of western developed countries on addressing the issues of their production, which I in a basic sense attribute to the influence of those that run the old industries such as coal and such being able to effectively lobby politicians to their interests.
Citizens in general won't change because their change needs to come in relation to a change in our production itself, which is why some middle class folk emphasis on individuals recycling, while nice, is ultimately insignificant comparatively to the problems that are derived from say a corporation like BP or Rio Tinto.
I think in your pragmatism you opt for something that I think is more utopian in that it doesn't appear to me concerned enough with the problem directly and at best aspires to minimize the issue indirectly via depopulation. Such pragmatism can in itself be Utopian in that, as you acknowledged, such an end is counter to the interests of capitalist production in having cheap labour, so if you could achieve your end, you arguably would have already achieved the means to restrain the power of capitalists. Which means one might as well advocate the 'unrealistic' end of radically changing our mode of production as much as we can and active work on developing improvements in it, something which some countries are currently pursuing and have already done.
https://cleantechnica.com/2017/05/08/germany-breaks-solar-record-gets-85-electricity-renewables/
http://www.thinkgeoenergy.com/the-rapid-development-of-geothermal-energy-in-the-netherlands/
http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/sweden-s-recycling-is-so-revolutionary-the-country-has-run-out-of-rubbish-a7462976.html


These are things that have developed within capitalism but are held back in countries like ours because of the influence of old industries that are too well established within lobbying politics.
These being but important steps which don't do away with many issues within capitalism but set the ground for better developments within it and hopefully beyond it.
And I don't see why depopulation would receive more support from capitalist countries beyond the extent of supporting birth control and such. But I don't believe this would divert the problem much at all and if anything, it might within a capitalist system raise concerns in which they crack down on reproduction in order to boost numbers, which they've been known to do, compelling women to pop out babies because the its seen as in the national interest.
And teh reduction of immigration from the third world, if you've been seeing some of the opinions of others on here, is unlikely because its a fundamental part of keeping labor cheap and insecure for the sake of capital. Though when one effectively bars such flow for cheap labor born out of desperation, this can lead to industrialization of the third world to some limited degree as we see in the severe exploitation in China with it's special economic zones which merely shifts the industrial labor from our countries to theirs. An issue which has been raised if whether developing countries should be supported in developing their infrastructure in a way that helps to skip the long term messy industrialization of our own country's history with coal and such and seek to provide technologies that are more immediately environmentally friendlier. Something which is a big concern for China for example which has industrialized and developed at such an intense rate that it's becoming quite polluted and in desperate need of environmental solutions.

If capitalists are going to be resistant to population reduction, I don't see why the struggle shouldn't just go directly to a struggle over the mode of production itself. I just don't see how this emphasis on the population plays a significant part, and that it's even considerably pragmatic, in that I think if one could achieve such an end then it's on par with achieving the more direct end of pressing for changes in our energy sources and such. I don't think it's a substantive position to treat a want of changing something our our level of waste, carbon emissions or what ever through different means and organizing against the old industries is somehow more Utopian and unrealistic than being able to depopulate. Which to me seems to be the task that would take a lot longer in which even if one effectively spread contraception and education and all that, it would only slowly taper the population rate, it wouldn't suddenly reduce it.
It's take time to initiate and implement the changes necessary in production, like alternative energy production and such, but that could be more quickly implemented than the slow decline in population.
http://www.earth-policy.org/book_bytes/2009/pb3ch07_ss3 In 2009, several years ago
Some 43 countries around the world now have populations that are either essentially stable or declining slowly. In countries with the lowest fertility rates, including Japan, Russia, Germany, and Italy, populations will likely decline somewhat over the next half-century. A larger group of countries has reduced fertility to the replacement level or just below. They are headed for population stability after large numbers of young people move through their reproductive years. Included in this group are China and the United States.


And again, you state explicitly that such an end is "Our best chance of buying time". Which I could accept that, if that's the desired end, simply to buy time which is my point that it's not a solution, it plays with the outcome but effectively leaves intact the problem that needs to be addressed. Which in my perspective relates to that which is claimed to lead to intense amounts of CO2 being released such as coal production for electricity for one example. Having fewer people would presumably diminish the demand somewhat, at least from what it might've been, but one would still be polluting the air with burning coal for electricity.
And as mentioned briefly with the earlier articles, it's not impossible to make some changes, and our present state of not making a change is not because of people themselves but because the influence of corporations whose interest is to maintain the profits of their current industries. Being able to disrupt their stranglehold would be a necessary step to leading things in the way of developing necessary changes. Which again, may not satisfy the expectations of what needs to be done, but again I think it at least focuses our attention on the problem in a appropriate way rather than what I feel is the very indirect method of changing population.
I just find the problematizing of human existence as effectively ignoring any possibility of addressing the source of the problem, because instead of saying our current mode of production is incredibly wasteful, toxic and such, we entirely ignore it to speak about humans existence as being the problem. But why is human existence a problem because they consume the products and services which are based in industries that are so destructive. When I turn on a light, I'm using electricity from coal power plants.
But if I could have an alternative source of power, magically that particular thing isn't an issue anymore yet I still do the same thing of turning on the light. I'm focusing in on energy as I'm not giving a comprehensive outline of how to minimize the impact of a humans existence in all its facets, but its to strongly point to the idea that the source of the problem doesn't lie within the person themselves. Because the problems can be done away in many creative ways if the way in which we lived was based on different things. It might even mean that society does radically change, because many things rely on certain materials that might inherently be harmful in obtaining. Which might me developing alternatives or forgoing certain things, but such isn't likely as long as the most economically viable means are already established industries and their products.
User avatar
By Suntzu
#14823435
MememyselfandIJK wrote:Set the voting age to 16-45! or better yet, establish a meritocracy!


I would certainly go for the meritocracy based on say, net worth, education or I.Q., maybe all three. :)
#14823439
@Wellsy
My response seems to have disappeared. Shortened version: It is not what humans do but the level at which they do it that is the problem. This is totally dependent upon the population so population is the real problem.

Edit: The buffalo are starving. They ate all the grass.
Solution 1: Don't worry about it, I think maybe we can figure out a way to make the grass grow faster sometime in the future.
Solution 2: Maybe there are too many buffalo.
How is it possible to believe only humans are exempt from over populating?
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By Wellsy
#14823446
One Degree wrote:@Wellsy
My response seems to have disappeared. Shortened version: It is not what humans do but the level at which they do it that is the problem. This is totally dependent upon the population so population is the real problem.

If the concern is avoiding catastrophe from climate change, the goal of your depopulation should be, through some means, the mass depopulation of the developed world as this is where human consumption plays the most significant role. To which stopping immigration would be but a supplementary point.
Spoiler: show
http://www.thecornerhouse.org.uk/sites/thecornerhouse.org.uk/files/ClimatePop.pdf
The burning of fossil fuels to drive a century and a half of Northern industrialisation is by far the major contributor to human-caused climate change. Once dug, mined and taken out of the ground and burned, coal, oil and gas add to the amount of carbon cycling between the atmosphere and the oceans, soil, rock and vegetation.
...
At the most fundamental level, therefore, the climate solution requires turning away from fossil fuel dependence. Societies locked in to fossil fuels need to adopt structurally different, non-fossil energy, transport, agricultural and consumption regimes within a few decades to minimise future dangers and costs. Infrastructure, trade, even community structure, will have to be reorganised. State support will have to be shifted from fossil-fuelled development toward popular movements that are already constructing or defending low-carbon means of livelihood and social life.

Solutions to the climate crisis thus depend first and foremost on political organising and on social and economic changes.
...
Studies have highlighted the contradictions in trying to correlate population growth with carbon emissions, both historical and predicted.1 They describe how industrialized countries, with only 20 per cent of the world’s population, are responsible for 80 per cent of the accumulated carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. They indicate that the countries with the highest greenhouse gas emissions are those with slow or declining population growth. The few countries in the world where women’s fertility rates remain high have the lowest per capita carbon emissions.

Aggregate per capita emissions figures, however, still tend to obscure just who is producing greenhouse gases and how by statistically levelling out emissions among everyone. One estimate is that it is the world’s richest half-billion people, some 7 per cent of the global population, who are responsible for half the world’s carbon dioxide emissions, while conversely the poorest 50 per cent are responsible for 7 per cent of emissions.

Population numbers, in sum, offer no useful pointers toward policies that should be adopted to tackle climate change. Massive fossil fuel use in industrialized societies cannot be countered by handing out condoms. Nor will reducing the number of births dent the massive annual subsidies, estimated at over $100 billion, that oil companies receive in tax breaks, giving them an unfair advantage over low-carbon alternatives. Carbon trading continues to give incentives to polluting industries to delay structural change and to continue extracting fossil fuels. Carbon offsets wind up increasing fossil fuel emissions rather than compensating for them and reinforcing fossil fuel dependence. In the process, land, water and air on which Southern communities depend continue to be usurped.
...
In climate change debates, overpopulation arguments serve to delay making structural changes in North and South away from the extraction and use of fossil fuels; to explain the failure of carbon markets to tackle the problem; to justify increased and multiple interventions in the countries deemed to hold the surplus people; and to excuse those interventions when they cause further environmental degradation, migration or conflict.


I suppose we're at an impasse, but here's one brief piece to argue that depopulation is inadequate and more utopian than addressing our current CO2 emissions through changes to energy production and even the economy.
http://theconversation.com/no-quick-fix-for-overpopulation-lets-focus-on-climate-33735
Really, you'd have to slaughter a lot of people to really put a dent in the population enough to do something significant for climate change, like Ghenghis Khan's empire.


Edit: The buffalo are starving. They ate all the grass. Solution 1: Don't worry about it, I think maybe we can figure out a way to make the grass grow faster sometime in the future. Solution 2: Maybe there are too many buffalo. How is it possible to believe only humans are exempt from over populating?

We're not talking about starvation to which we already have the capacity to feed everyone but don't.
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