Godstud wrote: #1 Then don't expect anyone to take you seriously, then. I consider it (i.e. fogging the whole Arctic Ocean) a pipe dream as logical as turning on more air conditioners to combat AGW.
#2 I gave you a source showing that methane isn't the colossal threat that you make it out to be, and you ignored it.
#3 While methane is a more potent greenhouse gas than CO2, there is over 200 times more CO2 in the atmosphere. Hence the amount of warming methane contributes is 28% of the warming CO2 contributes.
https://www.skepticalscience.com/methan ... arming.htm
#4 Sorry, if I think that any things done to combat AGW have to be economically feasible, or no one will do them. I think that's just being obvious.
#1 --- I guess we will have to just disagree. However, why would anyone take you seriously when twice in a row you posted articles about current conditions to refute claims about what could happen in the future.
#2 --- Godstud, just like the source below the source you gave before was
all about how much methane is in the air now [i.e. in 2010].
Not *one* word of it was about how *more* methane would enter the air in the future. Your sentence in #2 uses the word "threat". A threat is always about the future. So, you claim is about the future but your link is only about now [=2010, I got this date from the dates on the comments].
. . . . I didn't ignore your post. I replied with reasons why it was wrong to just look at how much CH4 is in the air now, and
you ignored my reply. You seem to insist that evidence that it is not much of a problem now is proof that it can not become a problem later no matter what happens.
#3 --- These numbers imply that CH4 is about 60 times worse than CO2. Other sources say 100 times worse.
[showing my work, using my engineering schooling]
If X is how much worse CH4 is [I calculated it at 60 times], then ---
1/200+ times X = 28% of what CO2 does now.
X = .28 times 200+
X = more than 58 which is about 60.
But, again, the article you linked here says not *one word* about how much CH4 will enter the air over the next 20 years.
And, the article was written is 2010 and updated in 2016. But, the graph it uses ends in 2004 [over 13 years ago]. The claim under the graph that CH4 levels have flattened in the last few years therefore is talking about 14 years ago.
Twice in a row now you have posted links about the present with not one word about the future, and claim that they show that CH4 will not be a problem in the future.
To restate my original claim --- A reasonable worst case for the future is that around 500 times more CH4 will be released into the air over the next 20 to 100 years. If it is 20 years then the break down of CH4 into CO2 and H2O can be ignored. So, CH4 is 60 times worse than CO2 and the amount in the air will be 500 times more than it is now, call this Y. Currently Y is 1/200 of CO2 now.
So, starting with the equation about now above ---1/200+ times 60 = ?? times what CO2 does now.
If --- we add 500 times more CH4 to the air then it becomes, 500 times 1/200 times 60 = ?? times what CO2 does now.
So --- 500/200 times 60 = ?? times what CO2 does now.
So --- 2.5 times 60 = ?? times what CO2 does now.
So --- 150 = ?? times what CO2 does now.
So --- ?? = 150 times what CO2 does now
So --- if 500 times more CH4 was released in a short time them the result would result in the same amount of heating
as increasing the CO2 level to 150 times more than the CO2 level is now.Here I'm replying to you claim that a big methane release is
not a big deal.
It looks like a huge deal to me.
This is a worst case scenario. It may not happen, but it could. I think it is a reasonable worst case scenario. YMMV. But, neither link you provided said one word about the chance it would happen. To me that means it is just your gut reaction with no evidence provided to support it.
#4 --- Here you talk about "economically feasible". I'm not even sure what you mean by that. I would be talking about physically feasible. That is, does the world have the physical resources to do it [i.e., the program being suggested].
OTOH, when you ignored my plan to just create the dollars to do it by borrowing or out of thin air; you ignored my response to "Is it economically feasible?" I claimed that it is economically feasible if we choose to embrace the method that MMTers say we can use to pay for it. You just ignored that "because it was off topic, but now you say it is on topic. Glad you can agree with me this much.
But then, maybe you should rethink your claim that fogging the Arctic is not "economically feasible".
There is also "politically feasible". Starting a program to stop the burning of coal and oil has and will be met by opposition from the coal and oil companies. Fogging the Arctic seems like it would not stir up as much strong opposition, i.e. we need to fight this to our dying breath opposition.
So, fogging the Arctic may be easier to do than your plan of stopping the burning of coal and oil.