t present there is no ICBM shield in existence. For every one you shoot down 10 will get throught.
That's the general principal, yea.
ICBMs can (generally) only be shot down in their launch phase, when they are moving slowly and predictably. Once they peak, they'll be moving too fast to really be affected by much (gravity doing the rest), especially if they are MIRV.
The *real* threat that everyone seems to ignore is S(ea) Launched missiles. The ICBMs flying aside, the real damage to America in the Cold War scenario would have been from Soviet SLBMs; they're just too fast and going over too short a range to be intercepted. Almost every major US population center is within range of a coast. We had a similar, but lesser, threat to Russia, which is why we needed our MLBMs in Turkey.
Europe would have been pretty fucked in a full Cold War nuclear exchange...
It is exactly this kind of hollow rhetoric which causes so much wasted energy at the funding level.
I shudder to think, in 100 years, how much they will calculate the total waste of spending that went into the ICBM standoff. Probably the most massive endeavor ever undertaken.
And now it is pretty pointless. I do love the irony that America is so dominant that our forces are virtually worthless. The only logical way to confront the US is exactly what we're facing now; decentralized militia groups operating in numerous countries.
I think that the world is in a system now that large scale war is fairly infeasible. The international markets virtually assure that every major country has its infrastructure invested heavily in each other. America and China going to war is pretty laughable, since both countries rely so strongly on each other for trade. The threats we face are the more isolated countries, like North Korea (walled off from the world, even China) and Iran (largely undeveloped and culturally divided). Frankly, if it weren't for Israel's existence, there wouldn't be a lot of conflict, I think. I mean, you have India/Pakistan in a nuclear standoff, but in realistic terms, they're fucking next to each other. Iran can kinda threaten Israel and North Korea can kinda threaten Japan, but again, they're effectively next to each other. China and Taiwan/US have that theoretical fight, but... right next to each other.
And the irony of that all is that the US has to maintain our power projection via the Navy in order for this whole very system that makes it useless to work.