- 20 Jul 2018 12:55
#14934258
I don't really see much point of going into these endless discussions about Israel-Palestine any more.
Personally, I doubt Israel will continue to exist through out my life time, like wise I doubt most of its neighbors will continue to exist or atleast in their current form.
The current world order under the US control is fading away, so we'll be seeing a new set of rules to how nations behave soon enough.
And for the middle east, its pretty much going through a filtration process right now where all the weaker factions are being killed off and within a decade or two, only the imperialists factions will remain standing.
The clerics in Iran are on their way out, and they'll most likely be replaced with a monarchic dynasty taking over like always.
Iraq and Syria are already in the process of being dissolved.
Lebanon will most likely expand to include a part of the Syrian coastline with the Alawites and Christians of Syrian, and mostly with Iranian and European support.
Palestine will be swallowed completely by Israel sooner or latter, but then Israel will be facing a variety of rising imperial forces (the ones that are already on the rise all over)from all directions and its highly unlikely it'll be able to withstand its positions indefinitely so that.
Jordan alike is already rapidly being swallowed up by Saudi Arabia.
And if the current Saudi regime couldn't overhaul the country away from oil dependency, we'll be seeing other factions in the country rising up as they already are starting to. With the country either being taken over by Hijazis or by clerics. With the Shia minority of the north east mostly heading towards being ethnically cleansed from the country as their only hope of going independent would be with heavy Iranian support.
The same goes from Northern Yemen with the Houthis.
Egypt is also highly unstable and we'll be seeing a much stronger regime taking over with force sooner than latter, and its highly unlikely to be pro-Israel, more likely either Pro-Saudi or Pro-Iran as the country is currently split on those lines, and in both cases, Israel wont fare well.
So Israel will be surrounded from all sides with much stronger and much more hostile and aggressive enemies in the upcoming decades, and ones with much more readiness and willingness to go to war, whether against each other or Israel. As such, with a rapidly declining US, Israel will either cease to exist all together, or will become a vassal state of one the regional powers. And it doesn't have the potential of achieving a high-power status in the region, it lacks manpower and resources, as well as popular support among the region's residents.
Turkey could also make it through as a major power, though it needs to solve a number of problems first. Mainly the Kurdish problem.
Its much easier for Iran to solve the Kurdish problem, but Turkey is too closely connected to Europe to solve it efficiently so it needs to move away from Europe if it intends on pursuing major power status.
EDIT:
And before anyone starts screaming about how Israel is special and amazing and the regular "god's chosen people" bullshit. It's not. This is the middle east, nations are created and killed off all over the place on routine basis. Israel plays under the same rules irregardless of how many die hard supporters it has in the west.
Vive la révolution