You really believe they were headed for NZ?
why not? I've already told you that more than half of all arrivals from Sri Lanka in the last couple of years have been sent back. In light of this, why wouldn't they be deterred enough to try and bypass Australia altogether?
Or even if it was a ploy to get to the mainland so they could get processed on the mainland - well that didn't work either since they are about to be flown off to Christmas Island.
Seems all you are demanding of the government is being implemented, and it is having the desired effect. Either they were deterred enough to try and bypass Australia, or took the extraordinary measure of sailing well south in order to make the mainland directly - presumably because they were deterred by the prospect of offshore processing. Either way they are being thwarted by the government's asylum policies.
The only possible criticism you can lay at the government is the fact that border patrol missed them. Is this a valid criticism though? Is there evidence that labor have been negligent in the allocation of resources for border security - such that missing this boat was their fault? Seems like an unlikely charge - given that this is the first boat to reach the mainland in 5 years - and under Howard 16 boats reached the mainland.
pugsville wrote:In reality the boat arrivals are almost totally regulated by external events
I disagree. Howard's policies did have a dramatic effect on boats - firstly TPVs caused boat arrivals to skyrocket, and the reasons are well known: men who arrived thinking they could bring their families over once they were given asylum (as was their right prior to TPVs), suddenly did not have this right - despite them being acknowledged as genuine refugees. So in sheer desperation, the women and children hopped on to boats and made their own way over. Thus a massive influx of boats. Secondly, Howard's desperate knee jerk reaction to this unprecedented spike in arrivals in the wake of the 2001 election, led to the brutal Operation Relex. This is when the navy was ordered to threaten boats and endanger lives - firing live shots across the bows, standing back while boats sink, and of course towing them back. This is the only action by Howard that had an effect on stopping the boats - not the combination of TPVs + Nauru processing (making up the pacific solution). The point about Relex too, is that it would never be allowed to be implemented again - the navy would likely go into open revolt (as they nearly did during Relex), and Indonesia have made it plain that they will never accept returned boats.