- 05 Dec 2018 10:53
#14969460
They get some things right and other things wrong, a lot of it comes down to which method of statistical analysis is applied and there are a number of methods that are equally valid(at least from the perspective of someone who isn't an expert statistician anyway). It's ambiguous at best, there's nothing solid or reliable coming out of the models.
They don't match observation very well(they project far more heat than has been observed), they're constructed on a host of assumptions, they're heavily parameterized, and while less buggy(defect density) than most commercial software, their millions of lines of code still contain plenty of errors.
Yeah, this is just another fit of Malthusian hysteria, rich developed societies hit peak hysteria every half century or so. It's the same kind of apocalyptic hysteria that would sweep pre-industrial societies at regular intervals. It's mostly idiocy but at the core of it there is something of a legitimate concern.
Carbon pricing is definitely a scam.
blackjack21 wrote:Models can make a forecast--as the IPCC models have--and the results can be tested against actual results. IPCC models do not walk forward well. They consistently dramatically over-estimate warming and do not account for cooling trends. We saw temperatures peak in 1998, and we've seen cooling over the last few years.
They get some things right and other things wrong, a lot of it comes down to which method of statistical analysis is applied and there are a number of methods that are equally valid(at least from the perspective of someone who isn't an expert statistician anyway). It's ambiguous at best, there's nothing solid or reliable coming out of the models.
They don't match observation very well(they project far more heat than has been observed), they're constructed on a host of assumptions, they're heavily parameterized, and while less buggy(defect density) than most commercial software, their millions of lines of code still contain plenty of errors.
That is why we should not rush to overthrow economic progress just to satisfy a bunch of bed wetters freaking out about an imagined climate apocalypse.
Yeah, this is just another fit of Malthusian hysteria, rich developed societies hit peak hysteria every half century or so. It's the same kind of apocalyptic hysteria that would sweep pre-industrial societies at regular intervals. It's mostly idiocy but at the core of it there is something of a legitimate concern.
Cap-and-trade is a scam folks. It's just a scheme to turn bulk pricing on its head.
Carbon pricing is definitely a scam.
Socialism without freedom is fascism.