maz wrote:Here are two of the top ones in the US.
Covid-19 — Navigating the Uncharted
Ex-Obama health advisor: US needs to ‘stop panicking and being hysterical’ about coronavirus
I am all in favor of people familiarizing themselves with science and knowledge but just grabbing an article and quoting what you think supports your point is misleading at best. The first thing to note is the name of the article "Navigating the uncharted" which is a stark reminder that this is something new and that the information provided should be taken with caution. The bit that you just cherry picked is when they talk about the mortality rate. The mortality rate is just one of many "statistics" that we can use to understand what's going on, it is certainly not the only important one. For instance, if the virus has a mortality rate of only 0.1%, but it is so virulent that most people get infected within a short period of time, this could lead to hundreds of thousands of people dying within a relatively short period of time. There are many things that clearly have a much higher mortality rate than COVID, however, they do not propagate/multiplicate as quickly.
Also there is the issue of different populations. Mortality rate might be x% in the chinese population and y% in the italian population and z% in the US population. For instance, my understanding is that chinese people smoke far more than we do (even though we smoke a lot in this country), for a respiratory pathogen this is certainly a big issue. Access to healthcare is another issue.
Since you quote this article lets keep reading:
However, given the efficiency of transmission as indicated in the current report, we should be prepared for Covid-19 to gain a foothold throughout the world, including in the United States. Community spread in the United States could require a shift from containment to mitigation strategies such as social distancing in order to reduce transmission. Such strategies could include isolating ill persons (including voluntary isolation at home), school closures, and telecommuting where possible.
For context, they say they were writing this around Feb 26th when there were only 14 cases in the US.
They are clearly taking it seriously even back then. Check out the first author's name.
As for the rest, there is a clear difference between panicking and taking something seriously. I hope you can tell them apart.