- Twenty-four percent (24%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey for the week ending July 16, 2020. This week’s finding is unchanged from a week ago. By comparison, this number ran in the mid- to upper 20s for much of 2016, President Obama's last full year in office. Seventy percent (70%) of voters believe the nation is headed down the wrong track, down two points from last week. A year ago at this time, 42% said the United States was heading in the right direction, while 53% said it was on the wrong track.
- Strongly Approve: 35% (-1%)
- Strongly Disapprove: 43% (-1%)
- Total Approve: 48% (+2)
- Total Disapprove: 50% (-2)
- Strongly Approve: 34% (+1%)
- Strongly Disapprove: 44% (-1%)
- Total Approve: 46%
- Total Disapprove: 52% (-1)
The Rasmussen Reports Immigration Index for the week of July 12-16, 2020 fell to 103.8, from 105.3 the week before. Voters seem to be comfortable with the immigration restrictions President Trump has put in place to counter the economic effects of the coronavirus.
51% of Likely U.S. Voters believe most reporters try to help the candidate they want to win when covering a political campaign, although that’s down dramatically from the 69% who felt that way during the 2016 presidential campaign. Forty-one percent (41%) disagree and say most try to offer unbiased coverage instead. Seventy-four percent (74%) of Republicans and a plurality (49%) of voters not affiliated with either major political party think most reporters try to help the candidate they favor. But 57% of Democrats say most reporters are trying to provide unbiased coverage. Still, 59% of all voters think Biden, the likely Democratic presidential nominee, has received the best treatment from the media so far. Just 18% believe the media has treated Trump better. Twenty-three percent (23%) are undecided. Looking ahead, 50% expect most reporters to try to help Biden. Only five percent (5%) say most will try to help Trump instead. Thirty-five percent (35%) predict that most reporters will offer unbiased coverage.
66% of American Adults now oppose reducing the police budget in the community where they live to channel that money into more social services. That’s up from 59% in early June when we first asked this question. Just 23% favor defunding the cops where they live, down from 27% in the previous survey. Eleven percent (11%) are undecided. Calls for defunding the police are being aggressively championed by the Black Lives Matter movement, but even among black Americans, 57% are opposed to defunding the police in their home community. Sixty-nine percent (69%) of whites and 62% of other minority adults share that view. Sixty-one percent (61%) of all Americans believe that violent crime is likely to go up in communities that defund the police. Only 12% think violent crime is more likely to go down, while 20% predict it will remain about the same.
The latest national telephone and online survey finds Biden at 47% support among Likely U.S. Voters again this week to Trump’s 45%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate. Four percent (4%) are undecided. A week ago, Biden held a 47% to 44% advantage after leading Trump by 10 points – 50% to 40% - in our first weekly White House Watch survey. The new survey finds Trump with 81% of the Republican vote. Biden has the support of 74% of Democrats. Biden continues to lead among voters not affiliated with either major party: This week, it’s Biden 47%, Trump 36%, but 17% of these voters like another candidate or are undecided.
67% of Likely U.S. Voters now consider a choice between Donald Trump and Joe Biden a choice that they are excited about. That’s up from 60% in late April. Twenty-eight percent (28%) still say they will simply be voting for the lesser of two evils, down from 34% three months ago. The good news for Biden is that 71% of Democrats are now enthusiastic about a Trump-Biden election, up from 57% in late April. Seventy-five percent (75%) of Republicans are excited by a choice between President Trump and the former vice president, compared to 71% in the earlier survey. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 51% are excited about a Trump-Biden matchup; 41% view it as a choice between the lesser of two evils. Seventy-five percent (75%) of all voters still favor the candidate they liked at the beginning of the year. Sixteen percent (16%) have switched candidates since then, while eight percent (8%) remain undecided.
55% of Likely U.S. Voters think federal law enforcement officials should be used to fight the growing level of violent crime in several major cities since the cities appear unable or unwilling to handle the problem themselves. Thirty-six percent (36%) oppose this federal anti-crime help. Eighty percent (80%) of Republicans favor the use of federal law enforcement in these cities, all of which are currently run by Democrat politicians. Democrats by a 53% to 39% margin are opposed. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 48% want the feds to get involved; 39% do not.
57% of American Adults who have children of elementary or secondary school age believe schools in their community should reopen in the fall. Thirty-two percent (32%) disagree, while 11% are undecided. Fifty-two percent (52%) of these adults think it will be bad for students if the schools do not reopen this fall. Just 31% say it will be good for the students instead. Six percent (6%) say it will have no impact if schools stay closed. Eleven percent (11%) are not sure. But then 46% of adults with school-age kids say online learning for stay-at-home students does not work for most students. Thirty-eight percent (38%) disagree and believe online learning does work. Seventeen percent (17%) are undecided. Among all Americans, 41% believe schools should reopen where they live; 39% do not, while 20% are not sure. Fifty-four percent (54%) think it will be bad for the students if the schools do not reopen in the fall. Only 23% say it will be good for the students, while 10% predict no impact. A plurality (48%) also agrees that online learning does not work for most stay-at-home students.
75% of American Adults think the term “racism” refers to any discrimination by people of one race against another. Just 15% say it refers only to discrimination by white people against minorities. These findings have changed little in surveys for the past several years. Eighteen percent (18%) say most white Americans are racist. But 25% believe most black Americans are racist. Fifteen percent (15%) think most Hispanic-Americans are racist, while nearly as many (13%) say the same of most Asian-Americans. These findings parallel surveying done in 2013, although Americans were even more likely at that time to identify blacks as the most racist group. Among adults who think racism refers only to discrimination by whites, 36% consider most white Americans racist versus 21% who feel that way about most black Americans. Sixteen percent (16%) of these adults say most Hispanic-Americans are racist, and 19% feel most Asian-Americans are racist. Among Americans who identify racism as any discrimination by people of one race against another, 15% say most whites in this country are racist, compared to 27% of blacks. Fifteen percent (15%) of these adults think most Hispanic-Americans are racist, and 13% of most Asian-Americans.
And here's the President's job approval over the last week. Rasmussen's -2 for the week is even further below the RCP's current average of -14.25 (once the highest and lowest polls are dropped), again more than last week:
And over the past month:
The RCP's latest average betting odds continues its swing toward Biden this week, +24.4 (+0.8 from last week).
—Mary Chesnut, 1861
To educate a man in mind and not in morals is to educate a menace to society.