colliric wrote:RCP average has tightened to from 11 to 8.5 for Biden in a week and a bit.
And for the top battleground states Biden is at +4, 0.4 lower than Clinton was at this point in 2016. So the question is, have pollsters learned anything in the past four years? Because in 2016 the RCP top battleground state average missed the actual outcome by four points. If the pollsters haven't learned anything, then the top battleground polling average is tied or worse (for Biden).