Canada and the whole of the West are trying to cover up for economic difficulties stemming from the fact that they are experiencing inverted age pyramids. Of course, right now they aren't,
really, due to immigration, but even the new immigrants tend to have lower birth rates which necessitates bringing in
more immigrants to fill up the coffers that cover the expensive healthcare and pensions of the seniors.The big problem is, though, that third world states
just don't have birth rates like they used to.Just some random numbers on total fertility rates:
Brazil: 1.7
Bangladesh: 2.0
Vietnam: 2.06
Mexico: 2.1
India: 2.28
Philippines: 2.89
Yes, there are other countries out there, like Chad, Nigeria, and Somalia, that sport TFRs above 5...
But the demand for immigrants throughout the whole of the world is going to increase by a lot. Somalia can't supply the whole world with replacements for the aging population and while the immigrants that are replacing your mom & dad right now may actually have a TFR above your own, it's scarcely the case.
The real funny question for everyone is
what're Bangladesh & Brazil going to do when their age pyramid begins to really invert..? Who's going to choose to go to these places and work? Unless it has gone entirely belly up in W. Europe and N. America, why would you go there..?
This is a strange prediction but I think that we will eventually see some of these countries move towards limiting emigration and also take drastic measures to increase their own TFRs. As it stands, S. Korea and much of the West has tried to increase their women's fertility... but all the incentives in the world do not seem to be growing it.
I suspect more authoritarian countries will take drastic measures, and those countries which are poor and free and would not normally take drastic measures will begin to have Duterte moments. But IDK. Lots of room for speculation.
Fasces wrote:"China is doomed. It is entering a demographic crisis. The West will prevail because it attracts migrants and laborers from all over the world to keep its population above replacement levels, while China cannot."
"Immigration and migrant families are an existential threat to the West and must be stopped at all costs."
Pick a lane, Western far-right.
I did not know that China being doomed because of a demographic crisis could even really be a Western far right talking point other than potentially a criticism of the hypercapitalism that begins to sterilize the Chinese... Which is an undeniable fact. As it stands, they already have a sizable amount of immigrants going there to work.
But I think it is an undeniable fact that populations are going to be dramatically altered, and cultures will shrink greatly in size. At the rate things are going in South Korea, we will be losing half of the population every single generation because the TFR is below 1..!
Yes, immigrants can learn the Korean language and, to some degree, they integrate themselves into Korean culture... Kind of. But a leopard can't change its spots. They do not give up 100% of their own cultural practices even when they marry, and they do not only pass on Korean cultural traits to their children. My point only being that the Korean population, failing a dramatic and highly unlikely population rebound, will diminish greatly in size within its own country, a fact that they all acknowledge and are concerned about.
I guess the West is less concerned minus the far right because they believe that their cultures are either fully transmittable to foreigners, or that
cultures always change. The whole
cultures always change shtick is very useful to progressives, and also
not necessarily untrue, cultures do change... But I think the progressives will feel different about this when they are in the nursing home and the MENA and African migrants are replacing their drag queens with Hijabis.
(Of course, the fantasy is that Muslims are immediately enlightened & secularized but, to the credit of Muslims, this has not been the trend in France - I do not have the link to an article I read just a few years ago on this,
but this was a trend that was evening happening from the 1990s to 2000s... Sadly, I could not find the awesome study I had seen earlier, but this excerpt works:
"85% of Muslims aged 17-25 say religion plays an important role in their lives, compared to only 22% of the same age group of Catholics." from
Le Figaro).