We've been over this many times at this point. I'm not speaking about "what is" but rather what "should be".
Unthinking Majority wrote:The other problem is that there's no meaningful enforcement mechanism. Laws aren't useful if people who break them aren't punished for them. IMO its a systemic problem. As I said, these things are complex.
Which is why, as I've said before, the US needs to cede power, a real way, to establish such an enforcement mechanism.
The international system is not inherently different from the natural progression of centralized order we have seen at the tribal, city, provincial, and national levels. At all points, the rulers below had to
take the step of agreeing to cede some power to an external authority above.
The US, as the current global hegemon, is the entity most responsible for doing so. It needs to start establishing institutions
independent of their control and which have the power to constrain them, agree to accept those constraints and to abide by the terms of these new institutions: even when it doesn't want too or thinks it not in its short-term interest.
Unthinking Majority wrote:Cuba becomes communist, its seen as a major threat to US economic interests in Latin America, so they try regime change in Cuba. How in the hell do you prevent that? It's almost impossible.
You stop thinking that you have any rightful say in the economic agency of other states. Is Cuba an independent sovereign country or not, and does its sovereignty mean anything or doesn't it?
If the US has a right to intervene in Cuban political decision-making, then I think by all rightful standards, it should enfranchise Cubans and give them a vote and stop the charade of Cuban independence.
Unthinking Majority wrote:But again, the others also have to be open to it and there needs to be some kind of indication they'll act in good faith too.
As the premier power, the US needs to be the first to act - precisely because it can cede some power at less risk to itself.
All the above is pie in the sky "this is how it should be."
To get back to "what can be", because obviously creating a whole new global system of government, for lack of a better word, is a multi-generational project at the least.
In the short term, the realizable, achievable, and actual feasible policy objectives I have for US foreign policy (in the next 10-20 years):
1) Adopt a NFU policy on nuclear weapons.
2) Abandon the "two wars" doctrine of strategic primacy.
3) Acknowledge and agree to be constrained by international institutions that exist: recognize the authority of the International Criminal Court. Sign and obey the UNCLOS, Geneva Conventions, and other similar documents. Join the Paris Climate Accord or equivalent other international programs. Stop whining about giving up a modicum of power to other states.
Fundamentally, it must accept that trust, by definition, involves risk, and you cannot build an international system based on trust and cooperation without assuming some national security risk in the short term.
I'm not expecting the US to hand over all its power to China in 1-5 years and hope for the best, but I see the above 3 as necessary to begin the process at all. The actions above do not present any large national security risk to the US. You can't expect China or any other rational actor to trust the US if the US is not willing to do the above, the bare minimum, and show it has trust in the global community.
If the US is unwilling to do even the bare minimum and take that first step, it is guilty of perpetuating a dangerous international order. Again, I am just talking about those specific actions above. Why should I blame others for playing the game the US clearly wants to play, then?
I'm not even talking about shit like stop expanding NATO, disarmament, or getting rid of the Security Council veto, UT. The above is really the barest of the bare minimum.