Andropov wrote:I am saying authoritarian nationalist (meaning, first and foremost acting in the interests of the nation) rule is better than liberal "democracy" where the country disintegrates, living standards drop, civil war wreaks havoc, killing thousands to hundreds of thousands, and the nation's wealth is robbed by a small minority, as was the case in all transitions from large, multi-national "totalitarian communist" countries to liberalism (USSR, Yugoslavia). If China did not put an end to the 1989 protests with force, the chance of them toppling the regime would have been greater and the disasters following such an event very possible indeed.
I get your point. Still, China is not Russia and Russia is not exactly a liberal democracy. How would the country have disintegrated? I really can't see it. Even with the demonstrations, there was no force to challenge the PLA. Even if Tibet or the autonomous regions had broken away, that would not have been a catastrophe. In population and economic terms, these regions are of minor interest. Without these regions, repression in China would be less. The Chinese could concentrate on developing the homeland. Could the Kuomintang have intervened? Hardly! Even if they had been that crazy, the US wouldn't have let them. Would a smaller more democratic China be less successful economically? I don't think so. It would basically have developed along the same lines, just like Korea and Japan. It would moreover fit more easily into the international community without all that belligerence we have seen in recent years. Anyways, if your theory is correct and such regimes always break up in a big bang, then that could be still ahead of us.