Beren wrote:The impressive thing about that is that it's an indicator like the approval rating, which is especially bad for Trump too.When that number gets up to 75%, then Trump will be lynched.
Well Republicans still approve of him at a rate of 87% or more, which is far more important than a general poll anyway.
After all, its very hard to flip democrats or republicans to the other team anymore, and there are very few independnets anymore these days that aren't basically either republicans or democrats who are just ashamed of the label.
Not to mention, many people who hated trump still voted for the man because they hated hillary more or were single-issue voters like the evangelicals who will vote straight R because of the abortion issue.
I mean, we'll see that happens and by 2020 I don't expect that i'll even participate in elections at all anymore, but i'm a bit too cynical to take polling too seriously after what we've seen in the recent past.
The weaponization and manipulation of information has made me a permanent skeptic.
Likewise, even if we assume everything as true regarding Trump's decline amongst the population, this can only be a hopeful sign if the Democrats don't entirely fuck up by running a candidate that either alienates the hard-left of the party (like what happened in 2016) or run someone so radical that it galvinizes and reinvigorates Trump's base; which, in reality is a line too narrow for the the DNC to walk in my opinion, they won't be able to do both of those things, it will be one or the other and they will likely malfunction like they did before.
Likewise, I think Trump is going to dominate his opponents right out the gate, his commentary and twittering on the DNC primaries will drive the narrative and poison-the-well for the entire field, he will be the first sitting president to do this and by doing so he might just sail into a second term.