[Chad]

President Trump will still get re elected. Thank God crooked Hillary lost in 2016. God Bless America. Poor brain dead Biden and his career criminal political past has been exposed. Only commie pinko Democrats support the Left.

In other news...

Biden's town hall drew 2 million more viewers than Trump's .

Biden drew 12.7 million total viewers on the Disney-owned network, while Trump drew 10.4 million in the same 9-10 p.m. time slot on NBC. Across the entire runtime, the Biden town hall averaged 12.3 million viewers. In terms of the fast national 18-49 demographic, Biden is comfortably on top with a 2.6 rating to Trump’s 1.7.

— Variety

Yep. President Trump will easily get re elected. The Leftist Commie Coup Klan is toast. Even the Lefts voter fraud is being exposed. The Democrat party has died on Piglosi's watch.

[ingliz]

Yep

Only a page ago you Trumpists were all arguing the opposite...

"NBC winning the ratings by a good margin is good news for Trump and you all know it.

I bet Trump/NBC trounced Biden/ABC."

[SpecialOlympian]

Are you saying your name is Finfinder in real life? Lol.

[Doug64]

In other news...

Biden's town hall drew 2 million more viewers than Trump's .

If I was an undecided voter that watched shows or news when they’re broadcast (which I’m not and I don’t), I would have picked the Biden town hall. After all, whatever else you might think about Trump, he doesn’t exactly hide his opinions. I’d want to see if Biden has decided to be more informative. And of course when it came to packing the Supreme Court, he wasn’t.

[Finfinder]

I'm having fun watching you guys channel the president's own sense of aggrievement into each of your posts. You share in his pain as the most powerful, most accomplished man in history while also being the most persecuted.

I guess when you're a reactionary and your entire worldview and media ecosystem is built on shouting lies back and forth at each other of course you're going to have a full on toddler style meltdown when materials that are:

1) Admittedly stolen by the person who "found" them
2) Forged by an obvious lunatic
3) A violation of the platform on which they were shared (doxxing, illegally obtained materials)

So yes, I agree, not allowing the obviously fake NYPost article to be shared is censorship when the basis of your entire worldview is shared Facebook conspiracy theories. That must make it difficult for you and your constant struggle against reality.

Oh the projectionists forget that every time they hold up an illegally obtained fake copy of Trumps tax return they are laughed at.

Joe Biden's candidacy is so sleepy and crooked it's come down to only Drlee, SO and a bunch of Anti American foreigners defending him.

[SpecialOlympian]

Which copies were fake?

[Drlee]

@Chad Yep. President Trump will easily get re elected. The Leftist Commie Coup Klan is toast. Even the Lefts voter fraud is being exposed. The Democrat party has died on Piglosi's watch

Just curious. Which high school is it from which you dropped out?

[maz]

[Wulfschilde]

Now I've seen everything, Trump supporters crowd surfed a politician.

We're only days out from most states starting in-person early voting. Biden's campaign might melt down as early as next week!

[Drlee]

Over 21 million people have already voted. Do try to keep up.

[Beren]

I wonder if Biden's got enough momentum to last out till the end. It should be telling that the Dems, with Independents caucusing with them, seem to win a Senate majority as well. What a pity Ginsburg only cared to die on Rosh Hashanah at the end.

[Dimetrodon]

In my state, Cal Cunningham (Democrat) got caught sexting and the Republicans are acting like they've got gold and want to spread the word for the sake of "decency." We have a president in office right know who said "grab them by the pussy" and paid off porn stars and also engaged in other unsavory stuff, so I don't care what Cunningham did, as the Republicans set the bar low, and don't get to have it both ways.

[Beren]

In my state, Cal Cunningham (Democrat) got caught sexting and the Republicans are acting like they've got gold and want to spread the word for the sake of "decency." We have a president in office right know who said "grab them by the pussy" and paid off porn stars and also engaged in other unsavory stuff, so I don't care what Cunningham did, as the Republicans set the bar low, and don't get to have it both ways.

It's North Carolina then. He's been leading since midsummer and his sex scandal hasn't had much impact so far. How much would you care about his extramarital relationship if it weren't Trump in the WH?

[Dimetrodon]

It's North Carolina then. He's been leading since midsummer and his sex scandal hasn't had much impact so far. How much would you care about his extramarital relationship if it weren't Trump in the WH?

A lot more than I do now, but Trump set the bar extremely low. Anyway, I seen many Republicans run with it. They think it will win them the election, regardless of what the polls say.

[colliric]

And in case you think the Democrats are winning, here's proof they're not.... Preparing the "It was Putin!" excuse for a second run though.

[Doug64]

Here's the latest from RealClearPolitics:

Over the past week, Biden's lead in the RCP's average betting odds lost almost all his gains from the week before, dropping to Biden +24.1 (R+11.1).

RCP National Average: Biden 51.3 Trump 42.3 Spread Biden +9.0 (R+0.
Battleground States Average: Biden 48.2 Trump 46.0 Spread Biden +2.2 (D+1.5)

Electoral College Map: Biden 272 (-6) Trump 164 (+42) Toss Ups (spread less than +5) 102 (-31)
Electoral College No Toss Ups: Biden 355 Trump 183 (R+3)
Electoral College No Toss Ups (< Biden +3): Biden 289 Trump 249 (R+19)

Battlegrounds
*Arizona: Biden 49.2 Trump 46.0 Spread Biden +3.2 (D+0.5)
*Florida: Biden 48.2 Trump 46.8 Spread Biden +1.4 (R+2.3)
*Georgia: Biden 47.8 Trump 46.6 Spread Biden +1.2 (D+1.6)
*Iowa: Biden 49.5 Trump 47.0 Spread Biden +2.5 (D+1.3)
*Maine CD2: Biden 44.0 Trump 46.0 Spread Trump +2.0
*Nevada: Biden 48.0 Trump 43.3 Spread Biden +4.7
*North Carolina: Biden 48.5 Trump 45.8 Spread Biden +2.7 (D+1.3)
*Ohio: Biden 45.7 Trump 46.3 Spread Trump +0.7 (R+1.3)

2020 vs. 2016
Top Battlegrounds: 2020 D+4.5 2016 D+5.2 Spread Trump +0.7 (R+0.2)
RCP National Average: 2020 D+9.0 2016 D+5.3 Spread Biden +3.7 (R+0.4)
Favorability Ratings: 2020 D+18.3 2016 D+15.8 Spread Biden +2.5 (D+0.9)

For the Senate, as per the Cook Report, this week there's a number of shifts, all in the Democrats' direction. Giving each party 2/3 of their leaners, 1/2 of the toss-ups, and 1/3 of the opposite party's leaners, this would give the Democrats 51.8 (+0.8 ) and the Republicans 48.2:

• No election Democrat (35)
• Safe Democrat (10): Delaware (D), Illinois (D), Massachusetts (D), Minnesota (D), New Hampshire (D), New Jersey (D), New Mexico (D), Oregon (D), Rhode Island (D), Virginia (D)
• Leans Democrat (3): Arizona (R), Colorado (R), Michigan (D)
• Toss-Ups (7, +1): Georgia (R), Georgia (R), Iowa (R), Maine (R), Montana (R), North Carolina (R), South Carolina (R)
• Leans Republican (4, +1): Alaska (R), Alabama (D), Kansas (R), Texas (R)
• Likely Republican (1, -2): Kentucky (R)
• Safe Republican (10): Arkansas (R), Idaho (R), Louisiana (R), Mississippi (R), Nebraska (R), Oklahoma (R), South Dakota (R), Tennessee (R), West Virginia (R), Wyoming (R)
• No election Republican (30)

And for the House, again per the Cook Report, there are no changes this week. Giving each party 2/3 of their leaners, 1/2 of the toss-ups, and 1/3 of the opposite party's leaners, that gives us Democrats 237.5, Republicans 197.5. So again absent a wave that's essentially a wash from 2018's 235 D / 199 R:

• Safe Democrat: 190
• Likely Democrat: 18
• Leans Democrat: 18
• Toss-Ups: 25
• Leans Republican: 15
• Likely Republican: 16
• Safe Republican: 153

There are eleven governors up for election, and once again no change from last week. This would give us a slight shift to Democrats 23.5, Republicans 26.5—maybe the Republicans will net a +1:

• No election Democrat (20)
• Safe Democrat (2): Delaware (D), Washington (D)
• Leans Democrat (1): North Carolina (D)
• Toss-Up (1): Montana (D)
• Leans Republican (1): Missouri (R)
• Likely Republican (1): New Hampshire (R)
• Safe Republican (5): Indiana (R), North Dakota (R), Utah (R), Vermont (R), West Virginia (R)
• No election Republican (19)

[Doug64]

@Random American, there's no doubting Trump's lack of character, and that's why I'm not voting for him. But he didn't run on his personal integrity, either, as I understand it Cunningham has. And Trump wasn't a member of the Army Reserve, with its prohibition of extramarital affairs in its Military Code.

Taking a look at mail-in ballots returned and early in-person voting in some battleground states by party breakdown, and how the total compares to 2016:

• Ohio: R 47%, I 12%, D 41%, +143%
• Michigan: R 41%, I 20%, D 39%, +266%
• Wisconsin: R 38%, I 22%, D 40%, +354%

And while Gallup isn't polling the actual election, that doesn't mean they aren't asking questions:





Note that Gallup is polling registered voters, likely voters will be more Republican/Conservative.

Edited to add:



Gallup asked this question from 1992 to 2012 and NBC asked a similar question in 2016, and every time respondents correctly predicted the winner of the popular vote.

[Wulfschilde]

We're entering the final stretch and the polls are "tightening" so that everyone can talk about how accurate their poll was last time, after having given Biden a double-digit lead for months, he's now within the margin of error in battlegrounds. Certain PoFo users will just stick with polls from the past until further notice, or pointless country-wide polls.

All eyes should be on early in-person voting since that is what will indicate if the theoretical Republican voter surge is plausible or not.

And as I wrote before, if it starts looking like it's real I expect Biden and the MSM to implode as early as this week.

[colliric]

Trump needs to get some good polling numbers next week. He is currently 9 points down on RCP, but this week he did claw back 2-3 points. A good week of polls putting him into 5-7 points on RCP and then another good week to get him within 3-5 before the election is what I'm predicting he needs.

I am predicting Electoral College victory and hopefully your country's political parties going back to favouring encouraging swinging voters, instead of the stupid Democratic "I'll never vote Republican no matter what" tribalism killing the effectiveness of your two-party system.

[Sivad]

We're entering the final stretch and the polls are "tightening" so that everyone can talk about how accurate their poll was last time, after having given Biden a double-digit lead for months, he's now within the margin of error in battlegrounds.

It's gonna be hilarious when all these fakewads realize that they faked themselves out with fake polls.