- 20 Feb 2021 10:08
#15157626
I'm seeing predictions that it's likely that the Repuds will take back one or both.
I doubt it for 5 reasons.
1] Usually the Presidents Party did better than usual because he had coattails. This was not true in 2020.
2] The Repud Party and Trump's Party are in a civil war and will very likely split their vote.
3] The independents will go heavily to the Dems in 2022, because of the Jan. 6th riot.
4] the Progressive Dems will run in primaries in more districts, win a bunch, and will win the general election in almost all of those they are running in.
5] The Repuds are defending more Senate seats in 2022 than in 2020.
I doubt it for 5 reasons.
1] Usually the Presidents Party did better than usual because he had coattails. This was not true in 2020.
2] The Repud Party and Trump's Party are in a civil war and will very likely split their vote.
3] The independents will go heavily to the Dems in 2022, because of the Jan. 6th riot.
4] the Progressive Dems will run in primaries in more districts, win a bunch, and will win the general election in almost all of those they are running in.
5] The Repuds are defending more Senate seats in 2022 than in 2020.