Negotiator wrote:Kind reminder of easily verifyable facts:
- Russias currency, the rubel, is performing very well and is rated higher than in the years before the war. Ask ANY bank. Stop dreaming that Russia has economic woes. They clearly dont. Sure, they are inconvenienced by our sanctions, but not actually hurt.
Nonsense. You don't measure economy strength by how "high" a currency is trading, furthermore, the Russian currency is not a freely traded currency and the "exchange rate" are effectively being set by the government. I have first hand experience with this shit as Cuba had a very similar system in which (at the time I was there) the government had set a 26$ cuban pesos for 1$ dollar or 1Euro for 1CUP when essentially neither the peso nor the CUC was worth much because nobody outside of cuba gives a fucking fuck about those currencies. Same thing with russia. Whatever nonsense rate it is going for currently, it is completely meaningless.
- All fighting happends on ukrainian soil. Russia is currently integrating a fifth of Ukraine into its own country. If thats "losing" to you, I would like to "lose" like that all the time, thank you.
It is indeed losing. The perception is that the Russian military was either the 2nd or third largest army in the world (after the US and perhaps china), the expectation is that if you attack a country that is several orders of magnitude weaker in paper than your own, that you win a decisive swift victory. Not only this did not happen, they quickly had to retreat their initial plans (remember when they were advancing on Kiev? Now that would sound ludicrous but apparently moron putin thought it could be done). But now, even as they are declaring "this territory is mine" they are retreating from the territory they just claimed ownership... so basically from the Russian perspective, Russian soldiers are retreating from russian territory because Ukraine is kicking their foking ass.
- Russia owns the Nordstream pipelines with Germany. They invested a lot of money to build them. If they wanted to not use them - they can just cut off the gas. Which by the way they done once in the past. Everyone who seriously tells you that Russia destroyed their own pipeline has a serious mental problem or tries to lie very, very badly. Possibly both. They have no motive whatsoever to do so.
Of course, it was Russia.
You want reasons?
-Send a message that they can blow up pipes and cables undersea.
-Remove any sort of incentive oligarchs in the oil/gas industry might have in order to normalize the situation. If the oil rich people in Russia understand that they will never get western money again, they don't really have an incentive to put pressure on putin to end the war.
- Just for foking fun, they are psychopaths after all.
- Many more, take your pick
- I cant believe I have to remind people of this. If Russia and NATO fight each other directly, mankind will be wiped out by nuclear amageddon followed by a global nuclear winter. Thats why for example NATO said a strong "NO" to Ukraine just now after they asked for joining NATO.
Nonsense. If Russia and NATO fight, Russia will disappear, a few dozen cities would be destroyed. The only real way Russia can realistically reach the US is with ICBMs, they only have ~700, probably a good portion of those would rapidly be destroyed/neutralized at the first detection of an incoming ICBM so unless they coordinate all of them to launch simultaneously in a suicide attack, most of the nukes will be neutralized after we detect the first one. Granted, Russia does have a bunch of mobile ICBMs as well that will be harder to neutralize if not impossible but these are also less accurate. Also we will probably be targeting their communications, satellites, etc as well, as a result, a larger portion, perhaps the majority of ICBMs can be neutralized this way. Sure, a great many of them might end up being launched, but certainly its not going to be thousands, probably hundreds. We have some limited capability to intercept a few of those before they detonate, so the actual number to hit is probably going to be decreased even further. A single nuke, though devastating, is not going to vaporize a city. It will probably vaporize about a 1km radius, and then probably swiftly kill about 10km radius. It would be tragic, a calamity, but not world-ending, not even a nation-ending event for the US. Russia, in the other hand will be toasted, it will be reduced to asshes.
- We dont have good numbers of the losses of either side. Thats true for any war. The first thing that dies in any war is the truth.
What we have is plenty of video evidence of tanks being taken by the Ukrainians from the Russians. Seems to be pretty damn good evidence that they are winning this shit.
- You can read all Putin speeches on the Kremlin website.
Why would anybody want to read that shit?
- Russia has a LOT of friends, most importantly including the two upcoming superpowers China and India.
Sure? And I bet they are rushing to Russia's help right?
China and India were friends for as long as it was convenient for them. Currently, they have the "its complicated" relationship profile and russia is 1 tactical nuke away from getting some frienemies if you catch my drift.
- The west has managed to sanction themselves into a crisis.
What crisis?