@Pants-of-dog, @AFAIK, @fuser, @Heisenberg, what I said in my initial post is still valid. You haven't provided a singe valid argument in this whole discussion. I summed up my remarks to a forum on coronavirus which discusses mostly vaccines. Unlike you, at least these people have some knowledge about the Covid vaccine. There was uncharacteristically broad agreement with what I said because it corresponds exactly to the experience of vaccine specialists:
For companies without the know-how, the equipment and an established supply chain, it would take years to produce mRNA or viral vector vaccines in substantial quantities. By that time, there will be a glut of vaccines from existing producers and the newcomers can dump their products.
All the big pharma companies (Merck, Sanofi, GSK, Novartis, etc.) have failed to develop a Covid vaccine. Pfizer has a vaccine because of Biontech and J&J has a vaccine because of a small Dutch company Janssen has taken over a couple of years ago.
The companies that successfully developed a Covid vaccine are small innovative start-ups or Universities (Moderna, Biontech, Curevac, Jenner Institute, Novavax, etc.) which have pioneered the technology for years without making much money.
By depriving the innovators of their property, big pharma will be able to swallow them up for an apple and an egg while destroying the innovation that we need for future vaccines and/or cancer treatments.
Moreover, letting anybody without experience and the required quality control management produce the new vaccines could lead to unsafe vaccines and fuel the antivaxxers.
The proposal to waive patent rights has populistic appeal but won't produce more Covid vaccines in the short term and is bound to hamper desperately needed innovation.
The politicians have failed to stop the pandemic by public health measures. Now we rely on the scientists to save us from the pandemic with innovative vaccines. Don't let the politicians destroy the innovation.
Edit: most existing vaccine production capacity is already used to produce Covid vaccine. Polio and other vaccine production has already been halted to produce Covid vaccines. Where is the additional production capacity to come from? Backyard factories?
All of this stands and you haven't got a single argument.
fuser wrote:Best case scenario now? Just stop, this is getting ridiculous. Also no it didn't take 8 months for Serum Institute when vaccine made by Oxford started rolling in UK , only two months later it was rolling in India too.
Best case scenarios 8 to 12 months:
AstraZeneca was handed the completely developed vaccine including initial trials in April 2020 in addition to several billion dollars to arrange for production. In May 2020, AstraZeneca started to prepare production with the Serum Institute and 25 other vaccine makers worldwide. Today, nearly 12 month later, the production problems are such that the company only delivered 19 million doses of the 120 million promised to the EU for Q1. The outlook for Q2 doesn't look better.
In May 2020, Moderna partnered with the Swiss Lonza for the production of its vaccine. Today, they produce limited amounts and hope to reach full production capacity by April, nearly 12 months later.
In March 2020, Biontech partnered with Pfizer in the US and Fosun in China for the production and marketing of its vaccine. The company is one of only three companies worldwide that has experience producing mRNA vaccines. Limited amounts of its Covid vaccine were produced in December and the companies hope to reach full production capacity in April 2021. A fully equipped and staffed Novartis factory was repurposed in September 2020. If all goes well, the plant will start shipping in April 2021, 8 months later.
The bioreactors, microfilters, the raw materials like the lipid nanoparticles and all the other materials available on the market already supply existing manufacturers. For any company without the experience, the know-how, the equipment and an established supply chain, it will take years.
Most vaccine makers worldwide (China, Russia, India, the West, the 3rd world) already contribute to Covid vaccine production while pausing other vaccines. Never in the history of mankind has a vaccine been developed so quickly and produced in such quantities so rapidly. By the end of the year, there will be a glut of Covid vaccines with 10 to 15 billion doses and some of the existing manufacturers will start closing their production lines long before newcomers are ready. Any newcomer that hasn't got a more innovative vaccine will make a loss.
You guys are ridiculous in your attempts to ignore the elephant in the room: the vaccine nationalism of the Anglo Imperialists. The US and the UK are the only countries that have prohibited the export of vaccines and/or materials needed to produce the vaccines. You are fueling a vaccine war that in old times would have quickly escalated into a shooting war. India has already joined the battle by halting its exports of vaccines; thereby depriving poor countries of the vaccine rich countries have bought for Covax in India.
The EU is continuing exporting with about 80 million doses to date. Russia and China also continue exporting vaccines.
Depriving the innovators of their property will allow corporate America to take over innovative start-ups in Europe and elsewhere on the cheap. The empire is bankrupt and needs to feed on the blood of its vassals.
Imperialists are bad, imperialist lackeys are worse, but the worst are the closet imperialists. Shame on you!