Rancid wrote:@B0ycey, by the way, lots of people would flip their shit if Taiwan was taken by China, as this would mean China has control over the global semi-conductor supply chain. We know they will use their economic leverage on anyone they want (see Australia for starters). TSMC falling into the hands of the CCP would be worse than a mere trade war though.
If you don't know how TSMC is, you should look them up.
I wasn't aware of TSMC, but I suspect China is working on their own semi conductors in any case. One day they will announce superiority here I suspect.
As for Taiwan, it would cause a lot of anger. But it would be no different than with Ukraine. There is nothing you can do about it if they did. The mere fact they haven't is because it isn't in there interests to do so. Because of the diplomatic clusterfuck it would cause and potential end of the world scenario. Why would they enter a phyrric war to gain an island when they are winning anyway?
People lose their shit with China because they are playing the game better than the West. Not because of actions they have taken. I wouldn't go as far as to say we shouldn't assume they won't pose a risk in the future. That is why you have a military in the first place. And it is why Macron and not Karrenbauer was correct on what actions the EU should take today in terms of security. Nonetheless, when looking at China, for the size of their military compared to their GDP, if their goal was to conquer, it would be significantly bigger. It's size suggests defence. And perhaps that is because they understand history. Large empires always collapse because they over stretch. You cannot bomb your way into the minds of your opponents. It is better to trade. And in many ways, that is why the world away from the West consider the US and not China the greater risk to the world. Because America will enter a war for personal gain. And China does not.