annatar1914 wrote:Biden will win the Democratic nomination as candidate for US President, because the establishment has designated him as such.
I want to agree with that assertion, because it generally makes the most sense and because super delegates play a role in the Democratic Party. However, the establishment really pissed off a lot of people with the obvious hits on Bernie Sanders, and now he's rallied in the polls. Sanders will probably do well in Iowa and New Hampshire--very possibly winning convincingly. I think we'd all expect him to do worse in the South, but what if that doesn't happen? Remember Jeb Bush bowed out by South Carolina coming in like 5th or something. This impeachment thing was a really stupid idea, because you have three times the size of the FoxNews audience watching people like Pam Bondi completely shred the Bidens on the floor of the United States Senate, while others make much stronger legal cases to acquit Trump than anything the House managers brought. They never should have given Trump that platform, but they seem impervious to the fact that Trump always counterpunches. So right now, the momentum is with Bernie Sanders. Can he sustain it?
annatar1914 wrote:Sanders himself is a fake candidate just as the other two are, because his role is to make Biden and the others look more moderate or centrist liberal as he represents ironically the younger and outlier wackadoodle fringe of the Democratic Party, geriatric establishment shill that he is notwithstanding.
I think the Democratic party establishment is beginning to freak out a bit, because it's "woke" philosophy alienates white working class voters, while simultaneously making true socialists like Bernie Sanders more appealing. Wall Street firms are talking about cutting off funding to the DNC if Warren or Sanders are the nominees. That's a big threat, but it doesn't resonate with primary voters at all.
Zionist Nationalist wrote:CNN appears to be biased against Sanders so now supporters of Sanders are furious with CNN calling it a fake news
I've been saying for nearly 20 years now that the media has been rigged. People didn't want to believe that was the case, but the Hillary Clinton, John Podesta and DNC email hacks more or less illustrated what many of us knew was going on behind the scenes. So the collateral attack on Bernie Sanders as a sexist was perceived by many as a coordinated hit between CNN and Warren with the blessing of the DNC. If Sanders wins, a lot of centrist Democrats will end up voting for Trump too.
Rich wrote:Doesn't Biden's behaviour in the Ukraine worry you in the slightest. I mean if Biden was willing to engage on such blatant corruption in the Ukraine, God knows what him and his cronies are getting up to in Iowa.
Pam Bondi's presentation today wasn't a mere defense of Trump. It really called into question the judgement of both Bidens. Hunter Biden was hired at Burisma within 30 days of his father taking over the Ukraine portfolio, and it was well known to both of them and the public at large that Burisma was under criminal investigation. The appearance of a conflict of interest did not give either Joe Biden or his son pause at all. Yet, alarm bells went off in the press and in the Obama administration too.
Finfinder wrote:BTW if Biden wins the presidency wouldn't he just get impeached anyway?
Possibly if the Republicans win the House, but he wouldn't be removed from office. It takes two thirds (67), and that's just not going to happen unless someone is selling out US sovereignty or something to that degree.
Drlee wrote:Biden will win on super-delegates.
That's actually the strongest argument for Biden, but I think one of the structural flaws in the Democratic party--they are ultimately nixing the will of their voters as part of the DLC reforms in the 1990s to prevent left leaning candidates (that lose 5 out of 6 presidential races). I understand it, but it really put a lot of people off in 2016 because it was obviously not fair. However, if Sanders does well and persists as he did in 2016, it will weaken Biden as it weakened Hillary.
Drlee wrote:UNLESS the republicans call him as a witness in this absurd impeachment trial and damage him too much.
They already did a pretty good job of that today by noting that Biden was more than aware of the situation and did not recuse himself from the Ukraine portfolio.
Drlee wrote:Then Warren will win on super-delegates.
If the candidate with the most delegates gets replaced by someone else due to super delegates, I think that will fracture the Democrats going into November.
Drlee wrote:I seem to remember the same response just before her husband beat their ass twice.
While he did not 100% deliver on it, he ran on the same sort of foreign policy platform that Trump did. If you recall, they mocked Sarah Palin for her concerns about Russia in 2008 and did the same thing to Mitt Romney in 2012--which makes it bewildering that they would suddenly become so paranoid of Russia after winning two national elections lampooning concerns about Russia.
Rugoz wrote:Sanders could mobilize more voters I think.
I agree. I think the polls are way overrated. I'm much more interested in seeing the size of crowds and their enthusiasm at candidate rallies. The only other politician besides Trump that draws large enthusiastic crowds is Sanders. It's largely how Obama won in 2008 too.
Heisenberg wrote:The only cheap shot that might work is playing on Americans' insane fear of the word "socialism", but even that seems to be losing its power.
It has lost power with young voters, but it is taboo with older voters and with big money donors. So if Sanders can sustain himself without those donors, he will have done the same thing Trump did (and to a lesser degree Obama did)--make the establishment's money irrelevant to deciding who becomes the nominee.
JohnRawls wrote:The funny thing is that, at least on paper, Michelle Obama would wipe the floor with both Biden and Trump.
Once you come out on policies, numbers change very quickly. Having national name recognition and high approval means she can make lots of money in the private sector and have none of the pressure of a presidency. If she ran, her poll numbers would go down almost immediately because then people would focus on policies, not personality.
SaddamHuseinovic wrote:One of them has to leave or the corrupt Biden wins the nomination to loose against Trump.
In recent polls, Sanders is up to 27% with Warren in second and Biden in third.
Sivad wrote:I wish someone would explain to me what exactly is "progressive" about carbon taxes and energy austerity? That fuckwit Sanders somehow got it in his head that highly regressive taxes and artificially induced energy poverty are consistent with socialism, someone should tell him that they are not.
It is in fact a tax on poor people. That's why the Gilets Jaunes became a force in French politics--people cannot afford to live where they work, and there are no jobs where they can afford to live.
late wrote:It's a tax you don't have to pay. You can easily reduce it (with a Prius, for example) but you see people getting off the grid now.
This is precisely the attitude that backfired so badly in France. People were encouraged to purchase diesel cars for their better mileage only to get a carbon tax on top of it. I've got it good. I work at home and I have 30 solar panels ($35k worth). I understand the scam, so it cuts my taxes and my energy bill simultaneously. Poor people who live in apartments, for example, cannot enjoy that tax break. It's immensely unfair to the poor. Again, think Gilets Jaunes...
late wrote:2) Have you tried the new Prius? It's nice, I didn't like the early models, but they have steadily gotten better, earning a place near the top of Consumer Reports recommendations.
In California, Tesla is the thing, because gas taxes are so high here. You should still be North of $4.50 a gallon for that to pencil out, but there are other benefits like access to carpool lanes which is nice on congested California roads. However, Teslas are $40k and up. Again, it's a tax cut for the rich. I would do that too, but I work at home so I'm just going to keep driving the 'ol Bimmer until she wears out.
colliric wrote:Cause of death: Unexpected Suicide
Shoots herself in the head, twice...
colliric wrote:Why the heck was Gabbard excluded from the debate stage? They need young blood up there and everyone knows it.
She's better looking than the rest of them too.