- 28 Mar 2020 08:18
#15079237
Godstud wrote:
Your conspiracy theories are dumb. You aren't quoting any medical professional. You're simply talking shit.
Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV2)
Abstract
Estimation of the prevalence and contagiousness of undocumented novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV2) infections is critical for understanding the overall prevalence and pandemic potential of this disease. Here we use observations of reported infection within China, in conjunction with mobility data, a networked dynamic metapopulation model and Bayesian inference, to infer critical epidemiological characteristics associated with SARS-CoV2, including the fraction of undocumented infections and their contagiousness. We estimate 86% of all infections were undocumented (95% CI: [82%–90%]) prior to 23 January 2020 travel restrictions. Per person, the transmission rate of undocumented infections was 55% of documented infections ([46%–62%]), yet, due to their greater numbers, undocumented infections were the infection source for 79% of documented cases. These findings explain the rapid geographic spread of SARS-CoV2 and indicate containment of this virus will be particularly challenging.
https://science.sciencemag.org/content/ ... ce.abb3221
Last edited by Sivad on 28 Mar 2020 08:23, edited 1 time in total.
Socialism without freedom is fascism.