- 13 Jan 2021 02:11
Japan and south korean trade with China continues to boom. To skirt Us sanctions Chinese companies moves into Vietnam and now own the manufacturing capacity there. New HSR lines are being built all the way through Laos to Malaysia. Africa is lost in its entirety to the west outside of a few French colonial states with troops presence. India will go its own way not to mention India just lost its very own trade war against china- trade with china is at record high so is the surplus, despite attempts to block Chinese companies from operating int he country. Chinese tech firms control the Indian telecom market. China is about to build India a metro system. A first. Etc.
So all that's off the books.
That leaves South America to join the north American and (western) European camps. Slight problem...EU is doing its own thing, just integrated itself with China's economic goals a week ago with a massive new agreement. Germany will not allow its economy to implode at the behest of an increasingly unstable US. China just rolled a brand new high speed cargo train off the production line and is increasing land based warehousing hubs along its new silk road routes. Fun fact: Trains are the fastest method of bulk cargo transport. Yes, faster than Aircraft.
South America goes where the wind blows, namely the wind being Brazil. And Brazil just engaged China on a massive new long term hussle (100 million vaccines); not to mention its already part of Brics, which Russia helps steer toward China. Western media is already in trying to discredit the vaccine by claiming 50% efficacy while the rollout is nowhere near complete, recall, 100 million jabs, not a few thousand. The usual bleating goes on.
China will not be contained because it can't be contained. Not by the (dis)collective west and certainly not by a coalition of the (un)willing who are more interested in growing trade with China. That leaves a completely polarized US with its usual puppets; Canada, a useless Australia (too dependent on china with no alternatives and too tiny) and an increasingly useless Japan (as japan is too economically dependent on china now and there are no alternatives). Not nearly enough to affect any kind of change in China's trajectory except speed it up, as Trump showed Biden how to do. Americas most valuable companies are about to lose their market share in the biggest tech market. Intel is already defunct in terms of production can get past their shitty 10nm node, SMIC is catching up and taiwans semiconductor manufacturers who rely on Chinese labor and metals can't afford to continue playing Americas game long term, china is driving most new semiconductor demand and Taiwanese companies risk being left out once mainland companies start producing comparable parts in just 5 years and by then chinese consumers will be even more hungry for new chips. A one-two killing blow to any tech corps looking to distance themselves from china.
Last edited by Igor Antunov on 13 Jan 2021 03:58, edited 1 time in total.
Of all things in the world, metaphysics requires the least amount of effort; as it is neither based on nor subjected to the test of objective reality, people can talk as much nonsense as they like. - Xi Jinping