Rancid wrote:How is their foundation not solid?
And @Beren
Name me an authoritarian system that has survived intact and prospered for the last 100 years? Now compare it to lets say Europe who destroyed itself 2 times in the last century and managed to rebuild itself back up with no problems.
Western Liberal Democratic systems can absord shock and crysis, learn from it and move on onwards. Even if Western Democracies make mistakes then they self correct through different mechanisms. It is not a perfect process but it is something. This is not the case for China. You can see it happening already with XI actually. Memory of Mao times was a motivator for the previous generations but as we move forward those checks and balances are being eroded in China. What I am trying to say is that China has no system besides fear and memory to deal with problems within the country. Previously China changed leaders every 10 years without any oversight because they remember what happened under Mao but now, as the memory fades away, XI sees no problems in violating that term limit of sorts. This is the reality and the erosion of checks and balances without having a system in place.
This is again one of those things that people will laugh about when I talk about it, like my predictions about Trump winning and then loosing or more conflict happening etc. This is a slow process but it will eventually lead China to major problems or even outright collapse if nothing is done about it. Probably within this decade since I can clearly see problems piling up and not getting resolved.
To name a few:
1) XIs violation of term limits. They were not a law in China but it was expected for the chairman to change every 10 years.
2) Oppression of territories that do not agree with the mainland: HK, Uyghurs, Mongols etc
3) Local officials that outright falsify reports to make the social and economic pictures look better what it is.
4) Economic growth that is fuelled by non-stop credit.
5) General lack of transparency for almost everything in China.
There are more I can write on this but I doubt I will be able to change anybodies mind. Let us just wait till the end of the decade and see.