MadMonk wrote:If you fight a war ugly, you run the risk of facing a never-ending insurgency in your wake.
Actually if anything its the reverse. The more willing you are to apply terror, the less risk you will have of an insurgency. Take Germany's occupation of France in World War II. Now no one can accuse the French nation of lacking fighting spirit. Well no one who is not a cretinous retard. From the end of the Hundred Years War France was the preeminent militarist nation in Europe. Yet Germany was able to occupy this huge country with virtually no serious insurgency prior to the Normandy Landings. The resistance groups spent more time fighting each other than they did the Germans. After D-Day when there was the prospect of short term liberation, the resistance groups were a significant help to the allied armies, but on their own serious insurgencies are the exception not the rule if the occupier is willing to use terror.
Civilian militias and autonomous civilian fighters played a major role in the defeat of the Russian offensive towards Kiev, but the key point is that the Russians never established administrative control over the territories in the north. Once the occupier has administrative control it gives them a huge advantage. Putin is not Hitler, but he's still prepared to use levels of violence well beyond what say the British used in North Ireland against the Provisional IRA, and I don't think any reasonable person would accuse the British of fighting a clean war in North Ireland. Yes I don't think the Divis Flats would have lasted long if Putin had been in charge of security in North Ireland.
I think we've established that Putin is no great military leader. Now I could be wrong, but I think you'll find that counter insurgency and security play's much better to Putin's skill set. When you're in administrative control its so easy to turn people, to get people to inform and feed you intelligence. Even if you're willing to die, spend your life in prison and with stand torture, most people have other people that they care about,which makes them vulnerable to being turned. As I said I could be wrong, but I expect you'll find that the urbanised Ukrainian steppe, plays out quite differently to the Hindu Kush and that the Ukrainian nationalists are not the Afghan Mujaheddin.