Primary Elections 2022 - Politics Forum.org | PoFo

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#15228008
So, I will be voting early tomorrow in the primary elections taking place in my state of Georgia. Trump has endorsed several Republican candidates in my state it seems. I am not a Republican. However, I will vote in the Republican primary to vote for the candidate that leads the closest or exceeds the Trump-endorsed Republican candidate to hopefully contribute towards defeating that Trump-endorsed candidate in the primary. The strategy is part of my own effort to break Trump's hold on the Republican party with insincere voting. Then, when the General Election comes, I vote for the Democrats running against the Republicans.
#15228035
insincere voting

We call it “tactical voting”, @Politics_Observer. It sounds better. ;)
#15228081
@Potemkin

Potemkin wrote:We call it “tactical voting”, @Politics_Observer. It sounds better. ;)


That's exactly what it is. Though I am a Democrat, I just voted in the Republican primary. What I did was get a copy of the Republican ballot and research all the candidates. I determined which candidates were endorsed by Trump and then which candidates were less Trumpy than Trump. I voted for the candidates that either lead the Trump-endorsed candidate or are closest behind the Trump candidate that was less Trumpy than Trump.

For example, Trump endorsed a candidate in my state of Georgia, Trump has it out for Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger and Governor Brian Kemp because they followed the law and wouldn't cave into Trump and falsely give him the votes he wanted to win Georgia. So, Trump endorsed candidates for governor of Georgia and for Secretary of State that he thinks would break the law for Trump and manufacture votes that don't exist to give Trump the state in a future election.

So, I voted for the incumbent Secretary of State who Trump is trying to unseat, Brad Raffensperger, and the Governor of Georgia Brian Kemp, since they are leading the Trump-endorsed candidate or are closely behind the Trump candidate. Now, my state of Georgia has runoff elections. The intent of those runoff elections is to try to curve the influence of tactical voting in which I am engaged.

However, by voting for the candidates that are less Trumpy than Trump AND either lead or are closely behind a Trump-endorsed candidate, it's more difficult for a runoff election to curve the influence of my vote. So, I calculated the influence curving effect a run-off election might have on my vote.

I will of course, also vote in any run-off election in the Republican primary should they happen. I don't think run-off elections can completely curve the influence of more savvy voters who engage in tactical voting. Especially those who are educated in Game Theory and will calculate the influence of runoff elections on their tactical votes.
#15228083
@Unthinking Majority

Unthinking Majority wrote:Trump is the symptom, not the cause. You gotta kill the ideas.


Part of the war of ideas is defeating those ideas at the ballot box and those candidates who spread such ideas.
#15228087
@Rancid

Rancid wrote:Let me guess, all the trumper MAGAs won? :hmm:


We are still doing early voting here in Georgia. So, the official day for the primary election hasn't come yet here in Georgia. Nothing has been decided yet. In other states, some Trump-endorsed candidates were defeated while some won. There have been mixed results for Trump-endorsed candidates.
#15228109
@Potemkin

It would appear that my tactical voting might be more influential than I previously thought given that Georgia's runoff election law, implemented by white supremacists in the state in the 1960s was designed to dilute the black vote. Trump is racist and my votes have gone against Trump-endorsed candidates (which by default makes them racist too as far as I am concerned) but such votes were done in the Republican primaries and the votes were given to those candidates less Trumpy than Trump but either leading the Trump candidate or closely behind the Trump candidate. That could help to potentially force a runoff, which in turn would participate in voting for the least Trumpy candidate likely to win. Here are the racist roots of my state's runoff election laws:

The Conversation wrote:In the U.S., the adoption of runoff voting at the state level first occurred in the South, after a long process of electoral experimentation.

The Georgia Constitution of 1777 directed that the governor was to be chosen each year by the legislative assembly. That system continued until an 1824 constitutional amendment required that governors be directly elected by voters. Notably, however, in situations where no candidate received a majority, the legislative assembly would make the final determination. This provision was later incorporated into successive Georgia constitutions up through 1945.

It’s important to remember that Abraham Lincoln was a Republican. After the Civil War, many white Southerners came to the realization that only through a united political front could a culture of white supremacy be preserved. As a result, Southerners who were pro-segregation and anti-civil rights universally supported Democratic candidates to all political offices.

In 1966, Howard Callaway decided to try to challenge this legacy by becoming the first Republican nominee for governor of Georgia since 1876. In the election, Callaway won 46.53% of the vote, which was slightly more than Democrat Lester Maddox – his nearest competitor – who netted 46.22% of the vote.

Despite winning a plurality, Callaway did not obtain a majority. Following the 1824 provision, Georgia’s legislative assembly – which was dominated by Democrats – ended up choosing Callaway’s Democratic opponent as the next governor. This led to a series of court battles, eventually culminating in a U.S. Supreme Court decision, which upheld the right of Georgia’s legislative assembly to choose a governor who had lost the popular vote.

The contested election of 1966 provided Georgians with an opening to adopt runoff voting for the election of future governors, other statewide officeholders and its congressional delegation. Runoff voting was already on the minds of many proponents of reform, as Georgia had adopted the system for primary elections just a few years prior.

Back in 1917, Georgia adopted the “county unit system” for all primary elections.

Under this system, “urban” counties were allocated six votes, “town” counties were allocated four votes and “rural” counties were allocated two votes. Each county’s votes were then awarded to whomever won that particular county, similar to how the U.S. Electoral College works for most states.

Just as the U.S. Electoral College gives proportionately more power to less populous states, the county unit system similarly favored less populous counties. This system was particularly harmful to the voting influence of African Americans, who largely lived in urban counties.

In 1963, the U.S. Supreme Court declared the county unit system unconstitutional as a violation of the “one person, one vote” principle. This prompted Georgian legislators to look for a new electoral system that could similarly, yet legally, suppress the African American vote. Later that year, Denmark Groover – a staunch segregationist – proposed the adoption of runoff voting, as it “would again provide protection which … was removed with the death of the county unit system.”

The fear among whites was that if elections were left to plurality voting, the white vote could be split among several different candidates, while African Americans could – in theory – vote as a single bloc for an African American candidate, who could end up winning with the most votes overall.

Groover was quoted by State Representative James Mackay as having said on the floor of the Georgia House of Representatives that with plurality voting, “the Negroes and the pressure groups and special interests are going to manipulate this State and take charge.”

However, by adopting runoff voting, even if white voters split their vote in the first round and an African American somehow made it to the second round, white voters – from both parties – would still have a chance to unite behind the white candidate to ensure victory. Groover himself advertised his runoff voting bill as being designed to “prevent the Negro bloc vote from controlling the elections.”

In 1964, Georgia adopted Groover’s runoff plan for primary elections. After the contested 1966 gubernatorial election, the state also adopted it for general elections.

Notably, Georgia’s runoff voting process works slightly differently in the event of a special election, such as the upcoming Loeffler versus Warnock Senate race. In such cases, there is no primary, and instead, all candidates – from all parties – appear together on a single ballot in what is called a “jungle primary.” If a candidate wins a majority, they are elected. If no candidate wins a majority, a runoff is held between the top two candidates – even if both are from the same party.


https://theconversation.com/a-brief-his ... ots-150356
#15229384
Looks like Kemp defeated the Trump-endorsed candidate Perdue in the Republican primaries here in my state of Georgia which has become an important battleground state for U.S. elections. So far, Brad Raffensperger for the position of Georgia Secretary of State, the man who refused to cheat the election for Trump is ahead against the Trump-endorsed candidate Jody Hice. This is good news for me. So, I think voting in the Republican primaries, even though I am a Democrat, against Trump-endorsed candidates has so far proven to be a good strategy that has payoffs for me in that such votes are contributing to reducing Trump's hold and sway on the Republican party. The payoff for me is reducing the threat that Trump poses to America's democracy and the U.S. Constitution. I am hoping that another additional payoff will be that Republicans will have an easier time standing up for U.S. democracy against Trump or Trump-like candidates or elected officials.
#15243218
A comprehensive look at Trump's 2022 endorsement record

Winners
Jerry Carl, Alabama's 1st Congressional District — uncontested
Barry Moore, Alabama's 2nd Congressional District — uncontested
Mike Rogers, Alabama's 3rd Congressional District
Robert Aderholt, Alabama's 4th Congressional District — uncontested
Gary Palmer, Alabama's 6th Congressional District — uncontested
Katie Britt, Alabama Senate
Sarah Palin, Alaska at-large congressional district
Sarah Sanders, Arkansas governor
Tim Griffin, Arkansas attorney general
Rick Crawford, Arkansas's 1st Congressional District
Bruce Westerman, Arkansas's 4th Congressional District — uncontested
John Boozman, Arkansas Senate
Kari Lake, Arizona governor
Mark Finchem, Arizona secretary of state
Eri Crane, Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District
Debbie Lesko, Arizona's 8th Congressional District — uncontested
Paul Gosar, Arizona's 9th Congressional District
Blake Masters, Arizona Senate
Wendy Rogers, Arizona state Senate's 7th District
Robert Scantlebury, Arizona state Senate's 9th District
David Farnsworth, Arizona state Senate's 10th District
Anthony Kern, Arizona state Senate's 27th District
Janae Shamp, Arizona state Senate's 29th District
Doug LaMalfa, California's 1st Congressional District
Kevin Kiley, California's 3rd Congressional District
Tom McClintock, California's 5th Congressional District
Kevin McCarthy, California's 20th Congressional District
Jay Obernolte, California's 23rd Congressional District
Ken Calvert, California's 41st Congressional District
Darrell Issa, California's 48th Congressional District
Connie Conway, California's 22nd Congressional District — unique special election
Lauren Boebert, Colorado's 3rd Congressional District
Leora Levy, Connecticut Senate
Burt Jones, Georgia lieutenant governor
Buddy Carter, Georgia's 1st Congressional District — uncontested
Andrew Clyde, Georgia's 9th Congressional District
Barry Loudermilk, Georgia's 11th Congressional District — uncontested
Rick Allen, Georgia's 12th Congressional District — uncontested
Marjorie Taylor Greene, Georgia's 14th Congressional District
Herschel Walker, Georgia Senate
Russ Fulcher, Idaho's 1st Congressional District — uncontested
Mike Crapo, Idaho Senate
Darren Bailey, Illinois governor
Mike Bost, Illinois's 12th Congressional District — uncontested
Mary Miller, Illinois's 15th Congressional District
Darin LaHood, Illinois's 18th Congressional District
Jackie Walorski, Indiana's 2nd Congressional District — uncontested
Jim Banks, Indiana's 3rd Congressional District — uncontested
Jim Baird, Indiana's 4th Congressional District — uncontested
Victoria Spartz, Indiana's 5th Congressional District — uncontested
Greg Pence, Indiana's 6th Congressional District
Larry Bucshon, Indiana's 8th Congressional District — uncontested
Kim Reynolds, Iowa governor — uncontested
Ashley Hinson, Iowa's 2nd Congressional District — uncontested
Randy Feenstra, Iowa's 4th Congressional District — uncontested
Chuck Grassley, Iowa Senate
Derek Schmidt, Kansas governor
Jerry Moran, Kansas Senate
James Comer, Kentucky's 1st Congressional District — uncontested
Brett Guthrie, Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District
Thomas Massie, Kentucky's 4th Congressional District
Hal Rogers, Kentucky's 5th Congressional District
Andy Barr, Kentucky's 6th Congressional District
Rand Paul, Kentucky Senate
Julia Letlow, Louisiana's 5th Congressional District — unique special election
Dan Cox, Maryland governor
Tudor Dixon, Michigan governor
John Moolenaar, Michigan's 2nd Congressional District
John Gibbs, Michigan's 3rd Congressional District
Bill Huizenga, Michigan's 4th Congressional District
Lisa McClain, Michigan's 9th Congressional District
John James, Michigan's 10th Congressional District
Jonathan Lindsey, Michigan state Senate's 17th District
Rachelle Smit, Michigan state House's 43rd District
Matt Maddock, Michigan state House's 44th District — uncontested
Angela Rigas, Michigan state House's 79th District
Mike Hoadley, Michigan state House's 99th District
Trent Kelly, Mississippi's 1st Congressional District
Ryan Zinke, Montana's 1st Congressional District
Blaine Luetkemeyer, Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District
Sam Graves, Missouri’s 6th Congressional District
Jason Smith, Missouri’s 8th Congressional District
Matt Rosendale, Montana's at-large congressional district
Adrian Smith, Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District
Joe Lombardo, Nevada governor
Adam Laxalt, Nevada Senate
Jeff Van Drew, New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District
Greg Murphy, North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District
Virginia Foxx, North Carolina's 5th Congressional District
David Rouzer, North Carolina's 7th Congressional District
Dan Bishop, North Carolina's 8th Congressional District — uncontested
Richard Hudson, North Carolina's 9th Congressional District
Patrick McHenry, North Carolina's 10th Congressional District
Bo Hines, North Carolina's 13th Congressional District
Ted Budd, North Carolina Senate
Kelly Armstrong, North Dakota's at-large congressional district — uncontested
John Hoeven, North Dakota Senate
Dave Yost, Ohio attorney general — uncontested
Frank LaRose, Ohio secretary of state
Robert Sprague, Ohio treasurer — uncontested
Keith Faber, Ohio state auditor — uncontested
Steve Chabot, Ohio's 1st Congressional District — uncontested
Brad Wenstrup, Ohio's 2nd Congressional District
Jim Jordan, Ohio's 4th Congressional District — uncontested
Bob Latta, Ohio's 5th Congressional District — uncontested
Bill Johnson, Ohio's 6th Congressional District
Max Miller, Ohio's 7th Congressional District
Warren Davidson, Ohio's 8th Congressional District
Mike Turner, Ohio's 10th Congressional District — uncontested
Troy Balderson, Ohio's 12th Congressional District
Madison Gesiotto Gilbert, Ohio's 13th Congressional District
Mike Carey, Ohio's 15th Congressional District — uncontested
J.D. Vance, Ohio Senate
Kevin Stitt, Oklahoma governor
Kevin Hern, Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District — uncontested
Frank Lucas, Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District
Tom Cole, Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District
Doug Mastriano, Pennsylvania governor
Jim Bognet, Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District
Scott Perry, Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District — uncontested
Lloyd Smucker, Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District — uncontested
John Joyce, Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District — uncontested
Guy Reschenthaler, Pennsylvania's 14th Congressional District — uncontested
Mike Kelly, Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District — uncontested
Dr. Mehmet Oz, Pennsylvania Senate
Henry McMaster, South Carolina governor
Alan Wilson, South Carolina attorney general
Joe Wilson, South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District — uncontested
Jeff Duncan, South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District — uncontested
William Timmons, South Carolina's 4th Congressional District
Ralph Norman, South Carolina's 5th Congressional District — uncontested
Russell Fry, South Carolina's 7th Congressional District
Tim Scott, South Carolina Senate — uncontested
Kristi Noem, South Dakota governor
Bill Lee, Tennessee governor — uncontested
Diana Harshbarger, Tennessee's 1st Congressional District — uncontested
Chuck Fleischmann, Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District
Mark Green, Tennessee's 7th Congressional District — uncontested
Greg Abbott, Texas governor
Ken Paxton, Texas attorney general
Dan Patrick, Texas lieutenant governor
Sid Miller, Texas agriculture commissioner
Glenn Hegar, Texas comptroller
Dawn Buckingham, Texas land commissioner
Pat Fallon, Texas's 4th Congressional District
Lance Gooden, Texas's 5th Congressional District — uncontested
Jake Ellzey, Texas's 6th Congressional District
Michael McCaul, Texas's 10th Congressional District — uncontested
August Pfluger, Texas's 11th Congressional District — uncontested
Kay Granger, Texas's 12 Congressional District
Ronny Jackson, Texas's 13th Congressional District — uncontested
Randy Weber, Texas's 14th Congressional District
Monica De La Cruz, Texas's 15th Congressional District
Jodey Arrington, Texas's 19th Congressional District — uncontested
Troy Nehls, Texas's 22nd Congressional District
Beth Van Duyne, Texas's 24th Congressional District
Roger Williams, Texas's 25th Congressional District — uncontested
Michael Burgess, Texas's 26th Congressional District
Michael Cloud, Texas's 27th Congressional District
John Carter, Texas's 31st Congressional District
Brian Babin, Texas's 36th Congressional District — uncontested
Wesley Hunt, Texas's 38th Congressional District
Angela Paxton, Texas state Senate's 8th District
Mayes Middleton, Texas state Senate's 11th District
Pete Flores, Texas state Senate's 24th District
Kevin Sparks, Texas state Senate's 31st District
Steve Toth, Texas state House's 15th District
Ryan Guillen, Texas state House's 31st District
Frederick Frazier, Texas state House's 61st District
Tim O'Hare, Texas Tarrant County judge
Phil Sorrells, Texas Tarrant County district attorney
Chris Stewart, Utah's 2nd Congressional District
Burgess Owens, Utah’s 4th Congressional District
Mike Lee, Utah Senate
Rob Wittman, Virginia’s 1st Congressional District — uncontested
Bob Good, Virginia's 5th Congressional District
Ben Cline, Virginia's 6th Congressional District
Morgan Griffith, Virginia's 9th Congressional District — uncontested
Joe Kent, Washington's 3rd Congressional District
Tim Michels, Wisconsin governor
Derrick Van Orden, Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District — uncontested
Ron Johnson, Wisconsin Senate
Janel Brandtjen, Wisconsin state House's 22nd District — uncontested
Carol Miller, West Virginia's 1st Congressional District
Alex Mooney, West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District

Losers
David Perdue, Georgia governor
John Gordon, Georgia attorney general
Patrick Witt, Georgia insurance commissioner
Jody Hice, Georgia secretary of state
Jake Evans, Georgia's 6th Congressional District
Vernon Jones, Georgia's 10th Congressional District
Janice McGeachin, Idaho governor
Mike Detmer, Michigan state Senate's 22nd District
Jacky Eubanks, Michigan state House's 63rd District
Kevin Rathbun, Michigan state House's 71st District
Jonathan Rocha, Michigan state House's 78th District
Mick Bricker, Michigan state House's 88th District
Charles Herbster, Nebraska governor
Madison Cawthorn, North Carolina's 11th Congressional District
Katie Arrington, South Carolina's 1st Congressional District
Morgan Ortagus, Tennessee's 5th Congressional District — removed from the ballot
Loren Culp, Washington's 4th Congressional District
Adam Steen, Wisconsin state House's 63rd District

Both Winners and Losers (not counted in the tally)
"Eric," Missouri Senate — there were two prominent men named Eric in the race, one of whom won while the other one lost. Trump did not choose either "Eric" over the other.

To be determined
Mike Dunleavy, Alaska governor
Kelly Tshibaka, Alaska Senate
Ashley Moody, Florida attorney general
Jimmy Patronis, Florida chief financial officer
Wilton Simpson, Florida Agriculture commissioner
Kat Cammack, Florida's 3rd Congressional District
Michael Waltz, Florida's 6th Congressional District
Gus Bilirakis, Florida's 12th Congressional District
Anna Paulina Luna, Florida's 13th Congressional District
Vern Buchanan, Florida's 16th Congressional District
Greg Steube, Florida's 17th Congressional District
Byron Donalds, Florida's 19th Congressional District
Brian Mast, Florida's 21st Congressional District
Mario Diaz-Balart, Florida's 26th Congressional District
Carlos Gimenez, Florida's 28th Congressional District
Marco Rubio, Florida Senate
Joe Gruters, Florida’s state Senate's 23rd District
Kevin Cabrera, Miami-Dade District 6 county commissioner
Clay Higgins, Louisiana's 3rd Congressional District
Mike Johnson, Louisiana's 4th Congressional District
John Kennedy, Louisiana Senate
Geoff Diehl, Massachusetts governor
Kristina Karamo, Michigan secretary of state
Matthew DePerno, Michigan attorney general
Elise Stefanik, New York's 21st Congressional District
Claudia Tenney, New York's 24th Congressional District
Markwayne Mullin, Oklahoma Senate
Chuck Gray, Wyoming secretary of state
Curt Meier, Wyoming treasurer
Brian Schroeder, Wyoming superintendent
Harriet Hageman, Wyoming's at-large congressional district

More here: https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news ... ent-record
By late
#15243396
The Republican Party has pulled funding from several battleground states (like Dr. Oz).

Both parties do expensive polling to better determine when and where to fight. IOW, that's almost an admission they are going to lose a bunch of swing states.

As I keep saying, this is going to be a weird one. Actually, with Sarah Palin, Dr Oz, and a bunch of other Right wing weirdos, it already is.
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