late wrote:They hold all the cards worth a damn.
No, they don't. Israel doesn't control Hamas and, of it attempted to invade Gaza to destroy the organization, you'd be among the first ones to whine about it once the civilian casualties begin.
late wrote:If Israel wanted a deal, they could get one. They don't want one, and they are willing to kill anyone that tries to make one.
Israeli offers disprove this. Hamas doesn't even negotiate, and the PA can't really deliver.
late wrote:The war in Ukraine ends when one of the governments collapses. Neither side could keep this up for several years. On paper Russia has more resources to draw on, but winter is going to be ugly, I hope we've started sending them winter clothing. Ukraine will have to press it's advantage while it still has one.
The war can perfectly end, without any final status deal, when both governments decide no further gains can be made. It's basically what happened after Russia invaded Crimea and the Donbass in 2014.
We'll know the war might be reaching that point if offensives and counteroffensives fail to make any significant progress after several months and their "achievement" is to just leave ground meat, despite the mass mobilizations. We're not there yet, and probably won't be for a while, and once we are then we'll have to wait to see how long will each of them take to realize they won't be making any further gains (a process that can take years).
In the meantime, yes, both economies will suffer yet this has never been a major reason to stop a major war on its own.