noemon wrote:As long as you acknowledge and understand that the EV is far more polluting than an ICE over the course of a 3 year(30k miles) average lease, you will eventually figure out why average lease is more important than average life and why average life(8 years) is more important than scrappage life(at 13.9). Eventually, you will figure out why your author used 17 years to make the emissions palatable for you.
A car lasts X years
It's emissions are the total of what it produces over x years.
Substitute x for
A . 3 lease
B. 8.4 average age on road
C. 13.9 average current scrappage
D. 17 expected life of today's EVs
A cars emmissions are
manufacture (fixed at time of production)
Fuel ( consumption throughout the life of the vehicle).
If the break even is 78k (it isn't as previously explained) then every km over 78k travelled by that vehicle is a reduction in emmissions.
If the break even is 25k then every km over 25k travelled by that vehicle is a reduction in emmissions.
Now providing the average car manages to travel more than (78k or 25k) then it's emissions will be lower than an ICE vehicle.
Now to make your claim stick you need to show that the average car dies before it's travelled 78k (50,000 miles), but the reality is you need to show UK cars die before 25k (16,000 miles).
If you can't then it's all just hot air.
noemon wrote:Why not move the production first and dictate stuff later? Why not upgrade the infrastructure and grid first and make the dictats later?
Why not have a proper conversation on EV emissions before you go ahead and triple car emissions while injuring the earth and the seas with chemical mines for ever with dictat
Why not develop as the demand grows instead of having loads of infrastructure no one yet needs?
But your real question has its answers in COVID and the war in Ukraine. A realisation that global supply disruption can bring western economies to their knees.
What's always strange in these conversations is the ignoring that the rare earths for your phone's and electronics have been coming from these sources for decades, cobalt refining your oil has been going on for decades and will continue to do so even after batteries have phased out.
Oil pollution from tar pits, destruction of the the Okavango for oil, deforestation forpalm oil and biofuel all ignored. Because lithium bad - oil good.