- 11 Nov 2024 00:02
#15329452
With existing oil revenues rising, back to pre-war levels - there is a lot of mileage yet in the regime, 3-5 years perhaps?
The long term damage is however, real and irreparable. The falling birth rate, the transition to a war time economy and the evisceration of working and skilled people in the trenches of Ukraine - will be Putin’s ultimate undoing.
Perhaps even an exit on par with Ceaușescu.
https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/18 ... 0948634633
Igor Antunov wrote:>paid by NATO
>clothed by NATO
>supplied by NATO
>equipped by NATO, first by sending them huge quantities of Soviet gear (whatever could be scrambled or bought), later given latest NATO gear (M777s, Leopard 2s, Bradleys, Strykers, HIMARS, Patriot, and so on)
>trained and directed by NATO
>provided intelligence and other means of support by NATO
>targeting provided by nato
>advanced weapons system maintenance and operation by NATO
>400 surveillance satellites operated by NATO
Ukrainian Army was de facto the largest force NATO could assemble in Europe to fight Russia. Germany, France and UK together could match maybe 15% of their ground forces. We’re talking 130+ brigades and shitload of smaller units.
And Russians just squashed it without even properly mobilising. They might’ve faced difficulties but at no point, not even in late 2022, were they close to being defeated on the battlefield in total.
Only thing they lacked really was air power, but the idea air power would play decisive role in a conflict with such density of air defenses is another wishful imagination.
They more than made up that deficiency by the fact Ukrainians knew how to fight, they had years worth of experience, and their government had no qualms about shedding enormous quantity of blood.
This is why “NATO intervention” is such a laughable proposition. Even in simplistic terms, NATO lacks the forces to decisively intervene in Ukraine. In more complex practice, the idea UK or Germany could send all of their whooping 11 brigades they have together to Ukraine is laughable.
NATO was defeated. It’s over.
With existing oil revenues rising, back to pre-war levels - there is a lot of mileage yet in the regime, 3-5 years perhaps?
The long term damage is however, real and irreparable. The falling birth rate, the transition to a war time economy and the evisceration of working and skilled people in the trenches of Ukraine - will be Putin’s ultimate undoing.
Perhaps even an exit on par with Ceaușescu.
https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/18 ... 0948634633